External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

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External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Q1FY24 earnings season saw an overall in-line performance, with wide divergences across sectors and companies</li><li>Aggregate revenue/PAT grew by 3%/52% YoY across the HSIE coverage (~219 stocks), with their four-year CAGRs at 12%/22%</li><li>Large-cap stocks of the coverage universe dominated the incremental earnings, which grew by 55% YoY, while the midcap category grew by 24% YoY</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Q1FY24 earnings season saw an overall in-line performance, with wide divergences across sectors and companiesAggregate revenue/PAT grew by 3%/52% YoY across the HSIE coverage (~219 stocks), with their four-year CAGRs at 12%/22%Large-cap stocks of the coverage universe dominated the incremental earnings, which grew by 55% YoY, while the midcap category grew by 24% YoYContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India Equity Strategy: Input cost deflation hurts topline but boosts profitability

<ul><li>ICICI Lombard: ICICI Lombard (ICICIGI) reported NEP 2% above our estimates (+12% YoY); however, better-than-expected loss ratios in the health insurance business were offset by sustained investments into building out the company’s retail health agency network, driving calculated CORs to 105% and APAT to INR4.4bn (+11% YoY)</li><li>We raise our FY24/FY25E earnings estimates by 7/11% to factor in the management guidance of achieving 102-103% CORs over the next couple of years</li><li>Given the strong demand outlook in the underlying autos segment, we argue that the pessimism is overdone and we maintain ADD with a revised TP of INR1,370 (implied Mar-25E P/E of 27x and P/ABV of 4.8x).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ICICI Lombard: ICICI Lombard (ICICIGI) reported NEP 2% above our estimates (+12% YoY); however, better-than-expected loss ratios in the health insurance business were offset by sustained investments into building out the company’s retail health agency network, driving calculated CORs to 105% and APAT to INR4.4bn (+11% YoY)We raise our FY24/FY25E earnings estimates by 7/11% to factor in the management guidance of achieving 102-103% CORs over the next couple of yearsGiven the strong demand outlook in the underlying autos segment, we argue that the pessimism is overdone and we maintain ADD with a revised TP of INR1,370 (implied Mar-25E P/E of 27x and P/ABV of 4.8x).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily - ICICI Lombard, Angel One

<ul><li>The SEBI, in its Board meeting, dated 29th March 2023, delivered a softer-than-anticipated verdict on the proposed implementation of upstreaming of client funds aside from approving optional ASBA for secondary markets</li><li>While the decision on upstreaming of client funds appears to offer a transient relief to standalone brokers (non-bank owned), we expect the SEBI to gradually nudge towards mandatory adoption of ASBA for secondary trades, flushing the excess float out of the broking channel</li><li>The hits to float income notwithstanding, we believe that dominant FinTech discount broking franchises have sufficient levers to offset this negative impact.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The SEBI, in its Board meeting, dated 29th March 2023, delivered a softer-than-anticipated verdict on the proposed implementation of upstreaming of client funds aside from approving optional ASBA for secondary marketsWhile the decision on upstreaming of client funds appears to offer a transient relief to standalone brokers (non-bank owned), we expect the SEBI to gradually nudge towards mandatory adoption of ASBA for secondary trades, flushing the excess float out of the broking channelThe hits to float income notwithstanding, we believe that dominant FinTech discount broking franchises have sufficient levers to offset this negative impact.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Broking: Transient relief for non-bank owned brokers

<ul><li>ICICI Lombard: ICICI Lombard (ICICIGI) reported NEP 2% below our estimates (+14% YoY); however, better-than-expected loss ratios in motor TP business were offset by continued investments into building the retail health agency business, driving calculated CORs to 105% and APAT to INR3.5bn (+11% YoY, -6% vs estimates)</li><li>Even as we remain wary of heightened competitive intensity in the motor OD segment, we expect loss ratios in the motor TP segment to inch up during FY24, and consequently cut our FY23E/24E earnings by 7/10% to build in slower than industry growth</li><li>However, given the strong demand outlook in the underlying autos segment, we argue that the pessimism is overdone and maintain our ADD rating, with a TP of INR1,270 (implied Sep-24E P/E of 31x and P/ABV of 5x). Angel One: ANGELONE printed flat sequential growth in its top line due to slower retail derivatives ADTVs and weak ancillary transaction revenues</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ICICI Lombard: ICICI Lombard (ICICIGI) reported NEP 2% below our estimates (+14% YoY); however, better-than-expected loss ratios in motor TP business were offset by continued investments into building the retail health agency business, driving calculated CORs to 105% and APAT to INR3.5bn (+11% YoY, -6% vs estimates)Even as we remain wary of heightened competitive intensity in the motor OD segment, we expect loss ratios in the motor TP segment to inch up during FY24, and consequently cut our FY23E/24E earnings by 7/10% to build in slower than industry growthHowever, given the strong demand outlook in the underlying autos segment, we argue that the pessimism is overdone and maintain our ADD rating, with a TP of INR1,270 (implied Sep-24E P/E of 31x and P/ABV of 5x). Angel One: ANGELONE printed flat sequential growth in its top line due to slower retail derivatives ADTVs and weak ancillary transaction revenuesContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: ICICI Lombard, Angel One, Mastek

<ul><li>Avenue Supermarts: Higher bill sizes + lower footfalls aid FMCG profitability/productivity but are a sign of more targeted shopping with little room for discovery-based purchases (courtesy inflationary pressures), which in turn make a dent on the more profitable GM &amp; apparel sales (constituted &lt;25% vs a typical run-rate of 28%).</li><li>L&amp;T Infotech: L&amp;T Infotech’s (LTI) revenue and margin came in line in Q2FY23.</li><li>ICICI Prudential Life: ICICI Prudential Life (IPRU) reported a weak APE growth (+1.7% 3-year CAGR, in line with estimates); however, VNB margins, at 31%, surprised (200bps ahead of estimates), translating into 21% YoY VNB growth.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Avenue Supermarts: Higher bill sizes + lower footfalls aid FMCG profitability/productivity but are a sign of more targeted shopping with little room for discovery-based purchases (courtesy inflationary pressures), which in turn make a dent on the more profitable GM &amp; apparel sales (constituted &lt;25% vs a typical run-rate of 28%).L&amp;T Infotech: L&amp;T Infotech’s (LTI) revenue and margin came in line in Q2FY23.ICICI Prudential Life: ICICI Prudential Life (IPRU) reported a weak APE growth (+1.7% 3-year CAGR, in line with estimates); however, VNB margins, at 31%, surprised (200bps ahead of estimates), translating into 21% YoY VNB growth.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Avenue Supermarts, L&T Infotech, ICICI Prudential Life, Angel One

India

Angel One is an Indian technology-led financial services company that operates as a digital-first retail brokerage. It provides a comprehensive suite of investment and trading products across equity, commodity, and currency segments, along with depository services, margin trading, and mutual fund distribution. The company was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.

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Angel One (ANGELONE IN)

India Equity Strategy: Input cost deflation hurts topline but boosts profitability

Large-cap stocks of the coverage universe dominated the incremental earnings, which grew by 55% YoY, while the midcap category grew by 24% YoY

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily - ICICI Lombard, Angel One

ANGELONE printed a 14/21% sequential growth in its top line/APAT, driven by all-time high retail derivative ADTVs and healthy ancillary transaction...

HDFC Securities

Broking: Transient relief for non-bank owned brokers

The SEBI, in its Board meeting, dated 29th March 2023, delivered a softer-than-anticipated verdict on the proposed implementation of upstreaming of...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: ICICI Lombard, Angel One, Mastek

Even as we remain wary of heightened competitive intensity in the motor OD segment, we expect loss ratios in the motor TP segment to inch up during...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Avenue Supermarts, L&T Infotech, ICICI Prudential Life, Angel One

Higher bill sizes + lower footfalls aid FMCG profitability/productivity but are a sign of more targeted shopping with little room for discovery...

HDFC Securities

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