Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Sunwoda Electronic Co Ltd A / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>Market dynamics remain overwhelmingly risk-on; with plenty of global liquidity, we expect upside to continue into year-end and the early part of 2026.</li>
<li>Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, U.S., and Greece. Many buys in these countries, and also Europe and Japan. EURO STOXX 50 on the cusp of major breakout above 5500</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
Market dynamics remain overwhelmingly risk-on; with plenty of global liquidity, we expect upside to continue into year-end and the early part of 2026.
Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, U.S., and Greece. Many buys in these countries, and also Europe and Japan. EURO STOXX 50 on the cusp of major breakout above 5500


Buys Focused in China, Taiwan, and Korea; Bullish Outlook Intact

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the 1Q2025 Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine as the exchange changed the rule to only disclose north bound position once a quarter.</li>
<li>We estimate that the inflows in 1Q2025 were US$1,760 million and holdings were US$307 billion, compared to outflows of US$20 billion in 4Q. </li>
<li>We highlight flows for BYD, Naura Technology, Cmb, Yangtze Power, Weichai Power.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the 1Q2025 Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine as the exchange changed the rule to only disclose north bound position once a quarter.
We estimate that the inflows in 1Q2025 were US$1,760 million and holdings were US$307 billion, compared to outflows of US$20 billion in 4Q. 
We highlight flows for BYD, Naura Technology, Cmb, Yangtze Power, Weichai Power.


Northbound Flows (1Q2025): BYD, Naura Technology, Cmb, Yangtze Power, Weichai Power

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>In last week's Int'l Compass (Aug. 18) we discussed that global equities are going through a bottoming process, but that the real test will come during the eventual pullback.</li>
<li>We are getting the pullback now, but so far, there has yet to be any failed breakouts among the indexes discussed over the past month -- a positive sign.</li>
<li>Worth noting- <em>further</em> breakout attempts have failed on some of the leading market indexes, notably the Nasdaq 100 and India's SENSEX, but they remain well-above their breakout levels from July.</li>
</ul>


In last week's Int'l Compass (Aug. 18) we discussed that global equities are going through a bottoming process, but that the real test will come during the eventual pullback.
We are getting the pullback now, but so far, there has yet to be any failed breakouts among the indexes discussed over the past month -- a positive sign.
Worth noting- further breakout attempts have failed on some of the leading market indexes, notably the Nasdaq 100 and India's SENSEX, but they remain well-above their breakout levels from July.


Pullback Underway; Buy Ideas: Energy, Materials, Japan/India Motor Vehicles, Japan Health Care

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Index Rebalance

OPT Machine Vision Tech   / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 5 changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> at the upcoming rebalance that will be implemented at the close of trading on 10 December.</li>
<li>The index committee has 'forgotten' they need to reset the minimum listing history to 12 months when the number of stocks that are listed longer than 12 months exceeds 150.</li>
<li>There is more than 1 day of ADV to trade on all stocks and the inclusions could outperform the deletions over the next 10 trading days to implementation.</li>
</ul>


There are 5 changes to the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) at the upcoming rebalance that will be implemented at the close of trading on 10 December.
The index committee has 'forgotten' they need to reset the minimum listing history to 12 months when the number of stocks that are listed longer than 12 months exceeds 150.
There is more than 1 day of ADV to trade on all stocks and the inclusions could outperform the deletions over the next 10 trading days to implementation.


STAR50 Index Rebalance: Oops! They Did It Again...

<div><p>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR 50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> is a free float market cap weighted and is made up of the 50 largest stocks based on full market cap that are listed on the STAR Market.</p></div><div>
<p>The review period for the December rebalance ends on 31 October, the results of the rebalance are likely to be announced on 26 November and the changes will be implemented at the close of trading on 10 December.</p>
<p>There are 191 stocks that will be listed longer than 12 months by 31 October and we expect the index committee to use a 12 month minimum listing history for the December review.</p>
<p>With 11 days remaining in the review period, potential inclusions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xinjiang-daqo-new-energy-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34163:1" rel="noopener">Xinjiang Daqo New Energy (688303 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-goodwe-power-supply-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34165:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu GoodWe Power Supply Technology (688390 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/infovision-optoelectronics-kunshan-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34164:1" rel="noopener">InfoVision Optoelectronics Kunshan (688055 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eyebright-medical-technology-beijing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33455:1" rel="noopener">Eyebright Medical Technology Beijing (688050 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-huafeng-test-control-technology-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30367:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Huafeng Test &amp; Control Technology-A (688200 CH)</a>. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-medicilon-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30368:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Medicilon Inc (688202 CH)</a> is a very close add currently.</p>
<p>The potential deletions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/willfar-information-technology-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30341:1" rel="noopener">Willfar Information Technology-A (688100 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/appotronics-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28235:1" rel="noopener">Appotronics Corp Ltd (688007 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/espressif-systems-shanghai-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30311:1" rel="noopener">Espressif Systems Shanghai (688018 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiamen-amoytop-biotech-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30377:1" rel="noopener">Xiamen Amoytop Biotech Co Ltd (688278 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anji-microelectronics-tech-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30312:1" rel="noopener">Anji Microelectronics Tech-A (688019 CH)</a>.</p>
<p>In the unlikely event that the index committee decides to continue using a 6 month minimum listing history, the potential inclusions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xinjiang-daqo-new-energy-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34163:1" rel="noopener">Xinjiang Daqo New Energy (688303 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zwsoft-guangzhou-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34166:1" rel="noopener">ZWSOFT Guangzhou (688083 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chengdu-xgimi-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34167:1" rel="noopener">Chengdu XGimi Technology (688696 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/opt-machine-vision-tech-co-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33148:1" rel="noopener">OPT Machine Vision Tech Co-A (688686 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-goodwe-power-supply-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34165:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu GoodWe Power Supply Technology (688390 CH)</a>, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/infovision-optoelectronics-kunshan-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34164:1" rel="noopener">InfoVision Optoelectronics Kunshan (688055 CH)</a> is a close add. There is no change to the list of potential deletions from the index.</p>
<p>One-way turnover at the December rebalance is estimated at 11.04% assuming that CSI &amp; SSE use a 12 month minimum listing history.</p>
</div>

The SSE STAR 50 (STAR50 INDEX) is a free float market cap weighted and is made up of the 50 largest stocks based on full market cap that are listed on the STAR Market.
The review period for the December rebalance ends on 31 October, the results of the rebalance are likely to be announced on 26 November and the changes will be implemented at the close of trading on 10 December.
There are 191 stocks that will be listed longer than 12 months by 31 October and we expect the index committee to use a 12 month minimum listing history for the December review.
With 11 days remaining in the review period, potential inclusions are Xinjiang Daqo New Energy (688303 CH), Jiangsu GoodWe Power Supply Technology (688390 CH), InfoVision Optoelectronics Kunshan (688055 CH), Eyebright Medical Technology Beijing (688050 CH) and Beijing Huafeng Test &amp; Control Technology-A (688200 CH). Shanghai Medicilon Inc (688202 CH) is a very close add currently.
The potential deletions are Willfar Information Technology-A (688100 CH), Appotronics Corp Ltd (688007 CH), Espressif Systems Shanghai (688018 CH), Xiamen Amoytop Biotech Co Ltd (688278 CH) and Anji Microelectronics Tech-A (688019 CH).
In the unlikely event that the index committee decides to continue using a 6 month minimum listing history, the potential inclusions are Xinjiang Daqo New Energy (688303 CH), ZWSOFT Guangzhou (688083 CH), Chengdu XGimi Technology (688696 CH), OPT Machine Vision Tech Co-A (688686 CH) and Jiangsu GoodWe Power Supply Technology (688390 CH), while InfoVision Optoelectronics Kunshan (688055 CH) is a close add. There is no change to the list of potential deletions from the index.
One-way turnover at the December rebalance is estimated at 11.04% assuming that CSI &amp; SSE use a 12 month minimum listing history.


STAR50 Index Rebalance Dec 21 Preview: Big Turnover & Moderate Impact

China

Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes semiconductor products. The Company produces copper barriers, integrated circuits, wafer level packages, light emitting diodes, and other related products. Anji MicroelectronicsTechnology (Shanghai) markets its products throughout China.

Anji Microelectronics Technology (688019 CH)

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Anji Microelectronics Technology (688019 CH)

Buys Focused in China, Taiwan, and Korea; Bullish Outlook Intact

Buys Focused in China, Taiwan, and Korea; Bullish Outlook Intact. Actionable Themes: Communications, Manufacturing (Robotics and Batteries),...

Vermilion Research

Northbound Flows (1Q2025): BYD, Naura Technology, Cmb, Yangtze Power, Weichai Power

We analyzed Northbound connect data for 1Q2025 and highlight flows for BYD, Naura Technology, Cmb, Yangtze Power, Weichai Power.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Pullback Underway; Buy Ideas: Energy, Materials, Japan/India Motor Vehicles, Japan Health Care

Pullback Underway; Problem: U.S. Dollar $DXY, Global 10-Yr Sovereign Yields, and Commodities All on the Rise Again; Actionable Themes: Energy,...

Vermilion Research

STAR50 Index Rebalance: Oops! They Did It Again...

There are 5 changes at the Dec rebalance as the index committee have continued to use a 6 month minimum listing history even though the methodology...

Brian Freitas

STAR50 Index Rebalance Dec 21 Preview: Big Turnover & Moderate Impact

We see 5 potential changes to the STAR50 index in Dec and expect a 12 month minimum listing history to be used. The potential inclusions should...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

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