HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anjoy-foods-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44280:1" rel="noopener">Anjoy Foods Group (2648 HK)</a>'s rally since reporting 3Q25 results is prompted by solid revenue and margin recovery. Its HA discount has narrowed 6.1pp from IPO. </li>
<li>Sales model and geographical optimisation has driven business outlook. With projected EPS CAGR of 10.4%, it is now in line with the sector momentum.</li>
<li>Its PEG of 1.4x is below peer's average of 1.9x. With net cash equalling 15.1% of its share price, it can deliver a decent 5.4% FY26F dividend yield.</li>
</ul>



Anjoy Foods Group (2648 HK)'s rally since reporting 3Q25 results is prompted by solid revenue and margin recovery. Its HA discount has narrowed 6.1pp from IPO. 
Sales model and geographical optimisation has driven business outlook. With projected EPS CAGR of 10.4%, it is now in line with the sector momentum.
Its PEG of 1.4x is below peer's average of 1.9x. With net cash equalling 15.1% of its share price, it can deliver a decent 5.4% FY26F dividend yield.


Anjoy Foods Group (2648 HK): The Start or the End of a Rally?

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Equity Capital Markets

Anjoy Foods Group / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anjoy-foods-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44280:1" rel="noopener">Anjoy Foods (2648 HK)</a> has priced its HK offer at HKD 60/share—10% below the previously indicated HKD66, and a 30% discount to A share price, raising a HKD2.4 billion (USD305 million)</li>
<li>Anjoy’s muted investor response—just <strong>5.85x</strong> coverage on the international tranche—triggered a clawback, increasing the Hong Kong public allocation from 10% to 30%.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/foshan-haitian-flavouring-food-company-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44279:1" rel="noopener">Foshan Haitian(3288 HK)</a> ’s disappointing post-listing performance has probably made investors more cautious, likely contributing to the subdued appetite for Anjoy’s HK offer despite inexpensive valuations.</li>
</ul>



Anjoy Foods (2648 HK) has priced its HK offer at HKD 60/share—10% below the previously indicated HKD66, and a 30% discount to A share price, raising a HKD2.4 billion (USD305 million)
Anjoy’s muted investor response—just 5.85x coverage on the international tranche—triggered a clawback, increasing the Hong Kong public allocation from 10% to 30%.

Foshan Haitian(3288 HK) ’s disappointing post-listing performance has probably made investors more cautious, likely contributing to the subdued appetite for Anjoy’s HK offer despite inexpensive valuations.


Anjoy Foods: Joyless HK Issue-Priced Below Target. Value Play. Valuations Update.

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anjoy-foods-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44280:1" rel="noopener">Anjoy Foods Group (2648 HK)</a>, a quick-frozen food company in China,  raised around US$350m in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>AFG was the largest quick-frozen food company in China in terms of revenue in 2023, with a market share of 6.2%, according to the Frost &amp; Sullivan report.</li>
<li>We have looked at the past performance and likely A/H premium in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Anjoy Foods Group (2648 HK), a quick-frozen food company in China,  raised around US$350m in its H-share listing.
AFG was the largest quick-frozen food company in China in terms of revenue in 2023, with a market share of 6.2%, according to the Frost &amp; Sullivan report.
We have looked at the past performance and likely A/H premium in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.


Anjoy Foods Group A/H Trading - Cheap Price but Sluggish Demand

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anjoy-foods-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44280:1" rel="noopener">Anjoy Foods Group (2648 HK)</a>, already listed in Shanghai, is offering 40 million shares in Hong Kong to raise up to HKD2.6 billion (USD335 million); Offer closes today, June 30th.</li>
<li>HK offer is priced at a decent discount to A share price and at valuation multiples that are aligned with its peer group and business fundamentals.</li>
<li>With limited organic growth and little evidence of a strategic pivot to higher-value offerings, Anjoy Foods lacks a compelling long term investment case.</li>
</ul>



Anjoy Foods Group (2648 HK), already listed in Shanghai, is offering 40 million shares in Hong Kong to raise up to HKD2.6 billion (USD335 million); Offer closes today, June 30th.
HK offer is priced at a decent discount to A share price and at valuation multiples that are aligned with its peer group and business fundamentals.
With limited organic growth and little evidence of a strategic pivot to higher-value offerings, Anjoy Foods lacks a compelling long term investment case.


Anjoy Foods Group HK Offer: Value Stock or Value Trap? Key Facts, Financials and Valuation

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>Anjoy Food Group launched its Hong Kong IPO aiming to raise up to HK$2,639 million (US$336 million). The company plans to sell 39.9 million shares at HK$66 per share.</li>
<li>Anjoy is the largest quick-frozen food company in China, with a market share of 6.6% and 39 signature products, each generating revenue exceeding RMB 100 million.</li>
<li>Pricing pressure due to intense market competition is the concern that seems will persist in the near term. However, the company has long-term growth opportunities.</li>
</ul>


Anjoy Food Group launched its Hong Kong IPO aiming to raise up to HK$2,639 million (US$336 million). The company plans to sell 39.9 million shares at HK$66 per share.
Anjoy is the largest quick-frozen food company in China, with a market share of 6.6% and 39 signature products, each generating revenue exceeding RMB 100 million.
Pricing pressure due to intense market competition is the concern that seems will persist in the near term. However, the company has long-term growth opportunities.


Anjoy Food Group IPO: Buy It Now Frozen, Savor, and Anjoy It Later

China

Anjoy Foods Group Co. Ltd. operates as a food manufacturer. The Company produces and distributes individually packaged quick freezing seafood, meat, flour, rice, and other processed food products. Anjoy Foods Group mainly conducts businesses in China.

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Anjoy Foods Group (2648 HK)