Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

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Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Ant Group Co. Ltd. has offered to buy back some shares at a whopping 70% discount to the unrealized valuation for its ill-fated IPO, shortly after regulators hit the fintech giant with an almost $1 billion fine.</li><li>Ant Group announced Saturday that it had proposed to repurchase as much as 7.6% at a price that values the company at approximately 567 billion yuan ($78 billion).</li><li>The offer represents a roughly 40% discount to the approximate 960 billion yuan figure achieved in Ant Group’s last fundraising round in 2018, and is around 70% cheaper than the 2.1 trillion yuan valuation touted in its <a href="https://www.caixinglobal.com/2020-11-03/china-suspends-jack-mas-ant-group-shanghai-ipo-after-warning-101622696.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">planned 2020 IPO</a>.</li></ul>

Ant Group Co. Ltd. has offered to buy back some shares at a whopping 70% discount to the unrealized valuation for its ill-fated IPO, shortly after regulators hit the fintech giant with an almost $1 billion fine.Ant Group announced Saturday that it had proposed to repurchase as much as 7.6% at a price that values the company at approximately 567 billion yuan ($78 billion).The offer represents a roughly 40% discount to the approximate 960 billion yuan figure achieved in Ant Group’s last fundraising round in 2018, and is around 70% cheaper than the 2.1 trillion yuan valuation touted in its planned 2020 IPO.

Ant Group Proposes Share Buyback at Roughly 30% of IPO Valuation

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Meituan's food delivery has taken 20% of the Hong Kong market share in its first month’s operations.</li>
<li>The authorities suggests that they will not further restrict financial apps such as AliPay of Ant Group.</li>
<li>Tencent's WeChat Pay charged a money transfer commission, but it exempted university campus the next day.</li>
</ul>


Meituan's food delivery has taken 20% of the Hong Kong market share in its first month’s operations.
The authorities suggests that they will not further restrict financial apps such as AliPay of Ant Group.
Tencent's WeChat Pay charged a money transfer commission, but it exempted university campus the next day.


China Internet Weekly (10Jul2023): Meituan, Alibaba, Ant Group, Tencent

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>China's regulators on Friday imposed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ant-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24240:1" rel="noopener">Ant Financial Services Group (6688 HK)</a> with a fine of RMB 7.12bn. A day later, Ant Group unveiled a share buyback program worth $6bn.</li>
<li>The last time media created a positive narrative around Ant Group was in January 2023 when Jack Ma relinquished control of the company.</li>
<li>However, the media excitement was short-lived as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a>'s share price quickly resumed a downward trend after rising by around 22%.</li>
</ul>


China's regulators on Friday imposed Ant Financial Services Group (6688 HK) with a fine of RMB 7.12bn. A day later, Ant Group unveiled a share buyback program worth $6bn.
The last time media created a positive narrative around Ant Group was in January 2023 when Jack Ma relinquished control of the company.
However, the media excitement was short-lived as Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)'s share price quickly resumed a downward trend after rising by around 22%.


Ant Group's $6.0bn Buyback Move Casts Doubt on IPO Prospects

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)</a> aims to complete a spin-off of the Cloud Intelligence Group via a stock dividend distribution, with it becoming publicly listed in the next 12 months.  </li>
<li>The Cloud business is pursuing a land-grab strategy to reignite growth. While it is the only profitable Chinese cloud platform, the profitability gap to Amazon AWS highlights the opportunity. </li>
<li>The aim to bring in external strategic investors before the spin-off will provide a valuation benchmark. Our analysis points to a Cloud business valuation range of US$45-58 billion. </li>
</ul>



Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US) aims to complete a spin-off of the Cloud Intelligence Group via a stock dividend distribution, with it becoming publicly listed in the next 12 months.  
The Cloud business is pursuing a land-grab strategy to reignite growth. While it is the only profitable Chinese cloud platform, the profitability gap to Amazon AWS highlights the opportunity. 
The aim to bring in external strategic investors before the spin-off will provide a valuation benchmark. Our analysis points to a Cloud business valuation range of US$45-58 billion. 


Alibaba’s Cloud Intelligence Group Spin-Off: The First Look

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Tencent has been busy distributing shares in some of its investments over the past two years, with JD.com’s distribution announced in 2021 and Meituan’s in 2022.</li>
<li>In our earlier note in 2022, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tencent-investee-selldown-the-us-120bn-global-overhang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:81153" rel="noopener">Tencent Investee Selldown - The US$120bn Global Overhang</a>, we had looked at its overall investment portfolio.</li>
<li>With two of its large investments spun-out, we now re-look at Tencent’s shareholding in various companies to try and gauge which ones it could sell out of and how. </li>
</ul>


Tencent has been busy distributing shares in some of its investments over the past two years, with JD.com’s distribution announced in 2021 and Meituan’s in 2022.
In our earlier note in 2022, Tencent Investee Selldown - The US$120bn Global Overhang, we had looked at its overall investment portfolio.
With two of its large investments spun-out, we now re-look at Tencent’s shareholding in various companies to try and gauge which ones it could sell out of and how. 


Tencent Investee Selldown - JD.com Done, Meituan Done, Two More Still Left

China

Ant Group Co., Ltd. develops online payment platforms. The Company produces credit system and financial services platforms which provide consumers and small businesses with safe and convenient inclusive financial services globally. Ant Group provides its services worldwide.

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Ant Group (6688 HK)

China Internet Weekly (10Jul2023): Meituan, Alibaba, Ant Group, Tencent

Meituan’s food delivery has taken 20% of the Hong Kong market share. The authorities suggests that they will not further restrict financial apps.

Ming Lu

Ant Group's $6.0bn Buyback Move Casts Doubt on IPO Prospects

Ant Group unveiled a share buyback program worth $6 billion. This buyback values the company at $78.54bn, which is considerably lower than the...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Alibaba’s Cloud Intelligence Group Spin-Off: The First Look

The aim to bring in external strategic investors before the spin-off will provide a valuation benchmark. Our analysis points to a Cloud business...

Arun George

Tencent Investee Selldown - JD.com Done, Meituan Done, Two More Still Left

Tencent has been distributing shares in some of its investments over the past two years. In this note, we look at which of its remaining investee...

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Ant Group Proposes Share Buyback at Roughly 30% of IPO Valuation

Ant Group Co. Ltd. has offered to buy back some shares at a whopping 70% discount to the unrealized valuation for its ill-fated IPO, shortly after...

Caixin Global

China Internet Weekly (10Jul2023): Meituan, Alibaba, Ant Group, Tencent

Meituan’s food delivery has taken 20% of the Hong Kong market share. The authorities suggests that they will not further restrict financial apps.

Ming Lu

Ant Group's $6.0bn Buyback Move Casts Doubt on IPO Prospects

Ant Group unveiled a share buyback program worth $6 billion. This buyback values the company at $78.54bn, which is considerably lower than the...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Alibaba’s Cloud Intelligence Group Spin-Off: The First Look

The aim to bring in external strategic investors before the spin-off will provide a valuation benchmark. Our analysis points to a Cloud business...

Arun George

Tencent Investee Selldown - JD.com Done, Meituan Done, Two More Still Left

Tencent has been distributing shares in some of its investments over the past two years. In this note, we look at which of its remaining investee...

Sumeet Singh