Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Event-Driven

Commonwealth Bank of Australia / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/commonwealth-bank-of-australia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14:1" rel="noopener">CommBank (CBA AU)</a> will announce FY2026 results on 12 August, with options expiring the following day providing direct exposure to the earnings event.</li>
<li>Options pricing implies a reporting-day move above the historical median, while the 11 August RBA decision adds to short-term volatility risk.</li>
<li>Gain insight into CBA’s reporting-day price history, option-implied move, Big Four peer volatility setup, dividend expectations, and index implications ahead of results.</li>
</ul>



CommBank (CBA AU) will announce FY2026 results on 12 August, with options expiring the following day providing direct exposure to the earnings event.
Options pricing implies a reporting-day move above the historical median, while the 11 August RBA decision adds to short-term volatility risk.
Gain insight into CBA’s reporting-day price history, option-implied move, Big Four peer volatility setup, dividend expectations, and index implications ahead of results.


CommBank (CBA AU): Expected Move on FY2026 Results and Option Insights

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
 Highlights: Currently five pair trade opportunities persist across three markets and five sectors. 
</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

 Highlights: Currently five pair trade opportunities persist across three markets and five sectors. 


Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (10 Aug 2026)

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Australia in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on BHP, Rio Tinto, Lynas Rare Earths, Woodside Energy, Evolution Mining, Santos.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Australia in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on BHP, Rio Tinto, Lynas Rare Earths, Woodside Energy, Evolution Mining, Santos.


MS-Australia Index Earning Revision (Jul): BHP, Rio Tinto, Lynas Rare Earths, Woodside Energy

ICICI Lombard General Insurance / Equity Bottom-Up

ICICI Lombard General Insurance (ICICIGI IN)

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
 Highlights: Currently nine pair trade opportunities persist across five markets and four sectors. 
</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

 Highlights: Currently nine pair trade opportunities persist across five markets and four sectors. 


Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (3 Aug 2026)

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>I tally 29 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.</li>
<li>Three new deals were was discussed on Smartkarma this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-signet-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55377:1" rel="noopener">SK Signet (260870 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/energy-one-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19865:1" rel="noopener">Energy One (EOL AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ns-united-kaiun-kaisha-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17238:1" rel="noopener">Ns United Kaiun Kaisha (9110 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>Key updates/news also took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/perpetual-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:599:1" rel="noopener">Perpetual Ltd (PPT AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zenith-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3234:1" rel="noopener">Zenith Minerals (ZNC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/australian-strategic-materials" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30815:1" rel="noopener">Australian Strategic Materials (ASM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pepper-money-ltd-australia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24157:1" rel="noopener">Pepper Money (PPM AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yamada-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16273:1" rel="noopener">Yamada Corp (6392 JP)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yamada-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16273:1" rel="noopener"></a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 29 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.
Three new deals were was discussed on Smartkarma this week: SK Signet (260870 KS), Energy One (EOL AU), and Ns United Kaiun Kaisha (9110 JP). 
Key updates/news also took place on: Perpetual Ltd (PPT AU), Zenith Minerals (ZNC AU), Australian Strategic Materials (ASM AU), Pepper Money (PPM AU), and Yamada Corp (6392 JP).


Asia-Pac Weekly Wrap: Perpetual, SK Signet, Energy One, Superland, WK Group, Ns United Kaiun, Yamada

Australia

ANZ Group Holdings Limited operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides banking and financial products and services to retail and business customers. ANZ Group Holdings offers loans, transaction and institutional banking services, deposits, and other financial products.

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ANZ Group Holdings (ANZ AU)

CommBank (CBA AU): Expected Move on FY2026 Results and Option Insights

Options pricing suggests an above-median move on 12 August, while the RBA decision adds volatility risk. Gain insight into CBA’s reporting-day...

Gaudenz Schneider

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (10 Aug 2026)

Discover five pair trade opportunities across three markets and five sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

MS-Australia Index Earning Revision (Jul): BHP, Rio Tinto, Lynas Rare Earths, Woodside Energy

We analyzed MS-Australia's consensus for Jul 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in BHP, Rio Tinto, Lynas Rare Earths, Woodside Energy, Evolution...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (3 Aug 2026)

Discover nine pair trade opportunities across five markets and four sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Asia-Pac Weekly Wrap: Perpetual, SK Signet, Energy One, Superland, WK Group, Ns United Kaiun, Yamada

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

CommBank (CBA AU): Expected Move on FY2026 Results and Option Insights

Options pricing suggests an above-median move on 12 August, while the RBA decision adds volatility risk. Gain insight into CBA’s reporting-day...

Gaudenz Schneider

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (10 Aug 2026)

​Discover five pair trade opportunities across three markets and five sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

MS-Australia Index Earning Revision (Jul): BHP, Rio Tinto, Lynas Rare Earths, Woodside Energy

We analyzed MS-Australia's consensus for Jul 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in BHP, Rio Tinto, Lynas Rare Earths, Woodside Energy, Evolution...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (3 Aug 2026)

​Discover nine pair trade opportunities across five markets and four sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Asia-Pac Weekly Wrap: Perpetual, SK Signet, Energy One, Superland, WK Group, Ns United Kaiun, Yamada

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Discover five pair trade opportunities across three markets and five sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Discover nine pair trade opportunities across five markets and four sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.