Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Back in July, cashed-up <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokio-marine-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7591:1" rel="noopener">Tokio Marine Holdings (8766 JP)</a> was reportedly running a ruler over <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/insurance-australia-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:712:1" rel="noopener">Insurance Australia (IAG AU)</a> or <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suncorp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4218:1" rel="noopener">Suncorp (SUN AU)</a>.</li>
<li>Berkshire's recent investment in Tokio Marine appears to have jumpstarted its M&amp;A ambitions. Late August, Tokio Marine (also reportedly) identified Suncorp as its preferred takeover target </li>
<li>Suncorp was viewed as (potentially) a cleaner play after selling Suncorp Bank to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anz-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40898:1" rel="noopener">ANZ Group Holdings (ANZ AU)</a> in 2024. IAG is now cleaner after settling the Greensill litigation. </li>
</ul>


Back in July, cashed-up Tokio Marine Holdings (8766 JP) was reportedly running a ruler over Insurance Australia (IAG AU) or Suncorp (SUN AU).
Berkshire's recent investment in Tokio Marine appears to have jumpstarted its M&amp;A ambitions. Late August, Tokio Marine (also reportedly) identified Suncorp as its preferred takeover target 
Suncorp was viewed as (potentially) a cleaner play after selling Suncorp Bank to ANZ Group Holdings (ANZ AU) in 2024. IAG is now cleaner after settling the Greensill litigation. 


IAG AU: Greensill Settlement Removes Overhang. Tokio Marine Will Take Note

Commonwealth Bank of Australia / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 14th September, published on the 18th September.</li>
<li>The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$0.2bn into "Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was A$1bn out of "Diversified Metals". Net shorts decreased A$1.6bn week-on-week.</li>
<li>Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/commonwealth-bank-of-australia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14:1" rel="noopener">CBA (CBA AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/northern-star-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4243:1" rel="noopener">Northern Star Resources (NST AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/westpac-banking-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:444:1" rel="noopener">Westpac (WBC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anz-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40898:1" rel="noopener">ANZ (ANZ AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suncorp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4218:1" rel="noopener">Suncorp (SUN AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sigma-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15966:1" rel="noopener">Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 14th September, published on the 18th September.
The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$0.2bn into "Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was A$1bn out of "Diversified Metals". Net shorts decreased A$1.6bn week-on-week.
Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: CBA (CBA AU), Northern Star Resources (NST AU), Westpac (WBC AU), ANZ (ANZ AU), Suncorp (SUN AU), and Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU).


Aussie Shorts [14 Sep 2026]: CBA, Northern Star Resources, Westpac, ANZ, Suncorp, Sigma Healthcare

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: In Australia, currently four pair trade opportunities persist across three sectors.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: In Australia, currently four pair trade opportunities persist across three sectors.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Australia: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (21 Sep 2026)

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Currently seven pair trade opportunities persist across three markets and four sectors.
</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: Currently seven pair trade opportunities persist across three markets and four sectors.


Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (21 Sep 2026)

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Australia’s active global fund ownership has dropped to record lows of 38.55%, with average weight halving from pre-2020 levels. </li>
<li>Major underweights persist across Financials, especially the four big banks at record-low ownership levels. </li>
<li>Insurance names like QBE and Suncorp see modest rebounds, but Australia remains stuck between growth and value headwinds.</li>
</ul>


Australia’s active global fund ownership has dropped to record lows of 38.55%, with average weight halving from pre-2020 levels. 
Major underweights persist across Financials, especially the four big banks at record-low ownership levels. 
Insurance names like QBE and Suncorp see modest rebounds, but Australia remains stuck between growth and value headwinds.


Australia: Strategic Underweights & Ownership Lows

Australia

ANZ Group Holdings Limited operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides banking and financial products and services to retail and business customers. ANZ Group Holdings offers loans, transaction and institutional banking services, deposits, and other financial products.

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ANZ Group Holdings (ANZ AU)

IAG AU: Greensill Settlement Removes Overhang. Tokio Marine Will Take Note

Suncorp was viewed as (potentially) a cleaner play fopr Tokio Marine after it sold Suncorp Bank to ANZ Group Holdings (ANZ AU) in 2024. IAG is now...

David Blennerhassett

Aussie Shorts [14 Sep 2026]: CBA, Northern Star Resources, Westpac, ANZ, Suncorp, Sigma Healthcare

The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$0.2bn into "Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was A$1bn out of "Diversified...

David Blennerhassett

Australia: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (21 Sep 2026)

Discover four pair trade opportunities across three sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (21 Sep 2026)

Discover seven pair trade opportunities across three markets and four sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Australia: Strategic Underweights & Ownership Lows

Australia is the third largest country underweight globally, with outright ownership hitting record lows. Financials are heavily underweight;...

Steven Holden

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Dividend (Yield)

IAG AU: Greensill Settlement Removes Overhang. Tokio Marine Will Take Note

Suncorp was viewed as (potentially) a cleaner play fopr Tokio Marine after it sold Suncorp Bank to ANZ Group Holdings (ANZ AU) in 2024. IAG is now...

David Blennerhassett

Aussie Shorts [14 Sep 2026]: CBA, Northern Star Resources, Westpac, ANZ, Suncorp, Sigma Healthcare

The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$0.2bn into "Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was A$1bn out of "Diversified...

David Blennerhassett

Australia: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (21 Sep 2026)

​Discover four pair trade opportunities across three sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (21 Sep 2026)

​Discover seven pair trade opportunities across three markets and four sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Australia: Strategic Underweights & Ownership Lows

Australia is the third largest country underweight globally, with outright ownership hitting record lows. Financials are heavily underweight;...

Steven Holden

Discover four pair trade opportunities across three sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Discover seven pair trade opportunities across three markets and four sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.