Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>TS Lines' comp Wan Hai has reported strong numbers so far in 2024</li>
<li>But TS Lines is unlikely to match Wan Hai's impressive H124 gains</li>
<li>Next for TS Lines: H124 financials and valuation vs Wan Hai, RCL</li>
</ul>


TS Lines' comp Wan Hai has reported strong numbers so far in 2024
But TS Lines is unlikely to match Wan Hai's impressive H124 gains
Next for TS Lines: H124 financials and valuation vs Wan Hai, RCL


TS Lines Pre-IPO: Should We Expect TS Lines to Match Wan Hai's Strength in YTD 2024?

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/t-s-lines" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39795:1" rel="noopener">T.S. Lines (TSL HK)</a> is looking to raise about US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>T.S. Lines (TSL) is a container shipping firm primarily operating in the Asia Pacific (APAC) region.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the firm’s past performance.</li>
</ul>



T.S. Lines (TSL HK) is looking to raise about US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
T.S. Lines (TSL) is a container shipping firm primarily operating in the Asia Pacific (APAC) region.
In this note, we look at the firm’s past performance.


T.S. Lines Pre-IPO - Looks like an Opportunistic Listing

<ul>
<li>In terms of fleet characteristics, market exposure, and recent financial performance, we believe <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/t-s-lines" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39795:1" rel="noopener">T.S. Lines (TSL HK)</a> and Taiwan's <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wan-hai-lines-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14262:1" rel="noopener">Wan Hai Lines (2615 TT)</a> are directly comparable</li>
<li>WHL has more exposure to the Transpacific, but still boasts a much larger Intra-Asia operation owing to its scale advantage (fleet and revenue about four times the size of TSL)</li>
<li>Given the similarities we outline in this insight, we believe TSL's shares should trade at EV/Fleet and EV/Revenue multiples in line with WHL's; no premium is justified, in our view</li>
</ul>


In terms of fleet characteristics, market exposure, and recent financial performance, we believe T.S. Lines (TSL HK) and Taiwan's Wan Hai Lines (2615 TT) are directly comparable
WHL has more exposure to the Transpacific, but still boasts a much larger Intra-Asia operation owing to its scale advantage (fleet and revenue about four times the size of TSL)
Given the similarities we outline in this insight, we believe TSL's shares should trade at EV/Fleet and EV/Revenue multiples in line with WHL's; no premium is justified, in our view


TS Lines Pre-IPO | Like Wan Hai Lines, but Smaller | Intra-Asia Update | Approaches to Valuation

Equity Bottom-Up

ZIM Integrated Shipping Services / Equity Bottom-Up

ZIM Integrated Shipping Services (ZIM US)

<ul>
<li>Deep-Sea container rates surged in May, yielding best read since June 2022</li>
<li>But volume growth into North American WC ports slowed noticeably...</li>
<li>We believe Q224 results will impress, and still like our Long/Short pairs</li>
</ul>


Deep-Sea container rates surged in May, yielding best read since June 2022
But volume growth into North American WC ports slowed noticeably...
We believe Q224 results will impress, and still like our Long/Short pairs


Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Pricing Surged in May | Did Volume Growth Wobble? | (June 2024)

AP Moeller - Maersk A/S / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Its unclear whether Yemen-based Houthis would end attacks after ceasefire</li>
<li>We've entered peak Summer shipping season from Asia to US, Europe</li>
<li>Higher spot rates have already lifted contract rates in Q2 2024</li>
</ul>


Its unclear whether Yemen-based Houthis would end attacks after ceasefire
We've entered peak Summer shipping season from Asia to US, Europe
Higher spot rates have already lifted contract rates in Q2 2024


Why an Israel-Hamas Ceasefire Probably Wouldn't Lead to Lower Container Rates in Short-Term

Denmark

A.P. Moeller-Maersk A/S is a conglomerate with diversified holdings. The Company operates a fleet including container vessels, tankers, supply ships, special vessels, APM terminials, and oil drilling rigs.  A.P. Moeller-Maersk also operates industrial business and explores for and produces oil and gas. The Company is active worldwide.

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AP Moeller - Maersk A/S (MAERSKB DC)

TS Lines Pre-IPO: Should We Expect TS Lines to Match Wan Hai's Strength in YTD 2024?

Given changes in its market exposure over the past 12-18 months, investors shouldn't expect TS Lines to match Wan Hai's strong YTD performance in...

Tracking Traffic

T.S. Lines Pre-IPO - Looks like an Opportunistic Listing

T.S. Lines (TSL HK) is looking to raise about US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we look at the firm’s past performance.

Clarence Chu

TS Lines Pre-IPO | Like Wan Hai Lines, but Smaller | Intra-Asia Update | Approaches to Valuation

Intra-Asia container carrier TS Lines filed to list its shares in Hong Kong (again) at the end of May, and its filing included full-year 2023...

Tracking Traffic

Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Pricing Surged in May | Did Volume Growth Wobble? | (June 2024)

Deep-sea container shipping price momentum surged in May, even though volumes into the North American West Coast slowed. We think this is a head...

Tracking Traffic

Why an Israel-Hamas Ceasefire Probably Wouldn't Lead to Lower Container Rates in Short-Term

Shares of container shipping companies have dipped in recent weeks, apparently on the expectation that an Israel-Hamas ceasefire could un-do the re...

Tracking Traffic

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