Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With a little under a week to the Scheme Meeting, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10934:1" rel="noopener">ESR-REIT (EREIT SP)</a> revised terms to S$0.097 cash plus 1.7729 new EREIT Units for each <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ara-logos-logistics-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:937:1" rel="noopener">ARA LOGOS (ALLT SP)</a> unit.</li>
<li>The revised terms provide an indicative Offer price of S$0.933, a 5.3% increase over the original Scheme consideration. </li>
<li>The Scheme Meeting for ARA Logos  - and ESR's EGM - have been deferred. No definite timetable was provided for its rescheduling although late February is probably a reasonable estimate. </li>
</ul>


With a little under a week to the Scheme Meeting, ESR-REIT (EREIT SP) revised terms to S$0.097 cash plus 1.7729 new EREIT Units for each ARA LOGOS (ALLT SP) unit.
The revised terms provide an indicative Offer price of S$0.933, a 5.3% increase over the original Scheme consideration. 
The Scheme Meeting for ARA Logos  - and ESR's EGM - have been deferred. No definite timetable was provided for its rescheduling although late February is probably a reasonable estimate. 


ARA Logos (ALLT SP): ESR Bumps. Scheme Meeting Delayed

<ul>
<li>There are currently 44  - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma</li>
<li>One new deal this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/akm-industrial-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7206:1" rel="noopener">AKM Industrial (1639 HK)</a> has announced a pre-conditional Scheme from Alpha Luck and AKM Meadville at HK$1.82/share.</li>
<li>Keys updates took place for: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/virtus-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14776:1" rel="noopener">Virtus Health (VRT AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yorkey-optical-international-cayman" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12407:1" rel="noopener">Yorkey Optical International Cayman (2788 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dragon-crown-group-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18919:1" rel="noopener">Dragon Crown Group (935 HK)</a> </li>
</ul>


There are currently 44  - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma
One new deal this week: AKM Industrial (1639 HK) has announced a pre-conditional Scheme from Alpha Luck and AKM Meadville at HK$1.82/share.
Keys updates took place for: Virtus Health (VRT AU), Yorkey Optical International Cayman (2788 HK), and Dragon Crown Group (935 HK) 


Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: Virtus Health, AKM, Yorkey, Dragon Crown

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

<figure>
 <img src='https://api2.sgx.com/sites/default/files/2022-01/Capture_8.PNG' alt='Timeline of SREIT proposed and completed M&As since 2018' />
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 <div class='content-caption'>Timeline of SREIT proposed and completed M&As since 2018</div>
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For S-Reits, listing on the exchange is the beginning of a journey. Twenty-four S-Reits had announced asset acquisitions valued at over S$15.3 billion and exceeding S$12.7 billion in total purchase consideration in 2021.

Aside from asset acquisitions, S-Reits have also been active in terms of mergers and acquisition (M&amp;A) opportunities. They have seen at least 5 consolidations since 2018 and could be seeing 2 more this year.

The 5 consolidated S-Reits since 2018 are CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (by CapitaLand Mall Trust and CapitaLand Commercial Trust), Frasers Logistics &amp; Commercial Trust (by Frasers Commercial Trust and Frasers Logistics &amp; Industrial Trust), Ascott Residence Trust (by Ascott Residence Trust and Ascendas Hospitality Trust), OUE Commercial REIT (OUE Commercial REIT and OUE Hospitality Trust), and ESR-REIT (by ESR-REIT and Viva Industrial Trust). 
Most recently announced on Dec 31, 2021 is the proposed merger between Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT) and Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MNACT) to form Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust (MPACT). 
The proposed merger is expected to propel the combined entity to be the seventh largest REIT listed in Asia with a market capitalisation of approximately S$10.5 billion. 
The combined portfolio will consist of 18 commercial assets diversified across Singapore, China, Hong Kong, Japan and South Korea with assets under management (AUM) of approximately S$17.1 billion (per MCT’s AUM as of 30 September 2021 and MNACT’s AUM as of 31 October 2021). 
The proposed merger is expected to be effected by a trust scheme of arrangement with MCT acquiring all MNACT Units in exchange for new units in MCT or a combination of cash and MCT Units.

Reit managers of MCT and MNACT view the merger as an opportunity to bring together 2 leading commercial Reits with highly complementary qualities and see the combined portfolio in providing higher financial flexibility and debt headroom to accelerate its growth and acquisitions.

The new entity is also expected to benefit from the increased representation in key indices and potentially attract a wider investor base and improved trading liquidity.

Another proposed merger in progress is by ESR-Reit and Ara Logos Logistics Trust (ALOG) to form ESR-LOGOS REIT (E-LOG), with a core focus on new economy real estate. 
The combined entity, E-LOG, will hold a diversified portfolio of 87 properties consisting of logistics/warehouse, high-specifications industrial properties, business parks and general industrial properties with total assets of approximately S$5.4 billion across Singapore and Australia (as of 30 June 2021). 
Similarly, via a trust scheme, the proposed merger will see ESR-Reit acquire all units in ALOG in exchange for a combination of cash and new units in ESR-Reit.

Reit managers of ESR-Reit and ALOG have noted that the proposed merger will enhance E-LOG's growth trajectory backed by its sponsor, ESR Group, by providing access to the sponsor's new economy pipeline properties in Asia-Pacific worth over US$50 billion.  REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times, <a href="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/real-estate/s-reits-bigger-and-bolder-over-the-years">read </a>the original version.
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    Timeline of SREIT proposed and completed M&As since 2018


For S-Reits, listing on the exchange is the beginning of a journey. Twenty-four S-Reits had announced asset acquisitions valued at over S$15.3 billion and exceeding S$12.7 billion in total purchase consideration in 2021.

Aside from asset acquisitions, S-Reits have also been active in terms of mergers and acquisition (M&amp;A) opportunities. They have seen at least 5 consolidations since 2018 and could be seeing 2 more this year.

The 5 consolidated S-Reits since 2018 are CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (by CapitaLand Mall Trust and CapitaLand Commercial Trust), Frasers Logistics &amp; Commercial Trust (by Frasers Commercial Trust and Frasers Logistics &amp; Industrial Trust), Ascott Residence Trust (by Ascott Residence Trust and Ascendas Hospitality Trust), OUE Commercial REIT (OUE Commercial REIT and OUE Hospitality Trust), and ESR-REIT (by ESR-REIT and Viva Industrial Trust).  
Most recently announced on Dec 31, 2021 is the proposed merger between Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT) and Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MNACT) to form Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust (MPACT).  
The proposed merger is expected to propel the combined entity to be the seventh largest REIT listed in Asia with a market capitalisation of approximately S$10.5 billion.  
The combined portfolio will consist of 18 commercial assets diversified across Singapore, China, Hong Kong, Japan and South Korea with assets under management (AUM) of approximately S$17.1 billion (per MCT’s AUM as of 30 September 2021 and MNACT’s AUM as of 31 October 2021).  
The proposed merger is expected to be effected by a trust scheme of arrangement with MCT acquiring all MNACT Units in exchange for new units in MCT or a combination of cash and MCT Units.

Reit managers of MCT and MNACT view the merger as an opportunity to bring together 2 leading commercial Reits with highly complementary qualities and see the combined portfolio in providing higher financial flexibility and debt headroom to accelerate its growth and acquisitions.

The new entity is also expected to benefit from the increased representation in key indices and potentially attract a wider investor base and improved trading liquidity.

Another proposed merger in progress is by ESR-Reit and Ara Logos Logistics Trust (ALOG) to form ESR-LOGOS REIT (E-LOG), with a core focus on new economy real estate.  
The combined entity, E-LOG, will hold a diversified portfolio of 87 properties consisting of logistics/warehouse, high-specifications industrial properties, business parks and general industrial properties with total assets of approximately S$5.4 billion across Singapore and Australia (as of 30 June 2021).  
Similarly, via a trust scheme, the proposed merger will see ESR-Reit acquire all units in ALOG in exchange for a combination of cash and new units in ESR-Reit.

Reit managers of ESR-Reit and ALOG have noted that the proposed merger will enhance E-LOG's growth trajectory backed by its sponsor, ESR Group, by providing access to the sponsor's new economy pipeline properties in Asia-Pacific worth over US$50 billion.   REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times, read the original version.



REIT Watch - S-Reits: Bigger and bolder over the years

<ul>
<li>There are currently 45 - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>One new deal discussed this week - SASAC-backed Hubei Ports' tilt for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-infrastructure-logis" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16710:1" rel="noopener">China Infrastructure &amp; Logistics Group (1719 HK)</a>.</li>
<li>There were updates for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crown-resorts-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:808:1" rel="noopener">Crown Resorts (CWN AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/razer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24380:1" rel="noopener">Razer Inc (1337 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/australian-pharmaceutical-industries-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19399:1" rel="noopener">Australian Pharmaceutical Industries (API AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/katakura-industries-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2007:1" rel="noopener">Katakura Industries (3001 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/irongate-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30897:1" rel="noopener">Irongate Group (IAP AU)</a>.
</li>
</ul>


There are currently 45 - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.
One new deal discussed this week - SASAC-backed Hubei Ports' tilt for China Infrastructure &amp; Logistics Group (1719 HK).
There were updates for Crown Resorts (CWN AU), Razer Inc (1337 HK), Australian Pharmaceutical Industries (API AU), Katakura Industries (3001 JP), and Irongate Group (IAP AU).



Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: Razer, Crown Resorts, Katakura, Ausnutria, API, Irongate

Forensic Analyst

Jason Yap, CFA

Forensic Accounting

Sabana Industrial REIT / Forensic Accounting

<ul>
<li>In December 2020, Sabana's unitholders voted down a proposed merger with ESR-REIT</li>
<li>While Sabana's unitholders were ostensibly holding out for more favourable transaction terms, this was not forthcoming and transaction ultimately fell through</li>
<li>In this Insight, we look into Sabana a year on and discuss whether its unitholders have been left to rue the failed transaction and this was but a pyrrhic victory</li>
</ul>


In December 2020, Sabana's unitholders voted down a proposed merger with ESR-REIT
While Sabana's unitholders were ostensibly holding out for more favourable transaction terms, this was not forthcoming and transaction ultimately fell through
In this Insight, we look into Sabana a year on and discuss whether its unitholders have been left to rue the failed transaction and this was but a pyrrhic victory


One Year After Failed Merger, A Pyrrhic Victory for Sabana's Unitholders?

Singapore

ARA LOGOS Logistics Trust operates as a real estate investment trust. The Company invests in logistics warehouse properties. ARA LOGOS Logistics Trust serves customers in Singapore.

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ARA LOGOS (ALLT SP)

ARA Logos (ALLT SP): ESR Bumps. Scheme Meeting Delayed

I don't see the revised terms swaying the proxy advisors. The recent voting for Soilbuild Business Space REIT's Scheme was very close. 89.32% voted...

David Blennerhassett

Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: Virtus Health, AKM, Yorkey, Dragon Crown

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

REIT Watch - S-Reits: Bigger and bolder over the years

For S-Reits, listing on the exchange is the beginning of a journey. Twenty-four S-Reits had announced asset acquisitions valued...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: Razer, Crown Resorts, Katakura, Ausnutria, API, Irongate

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

One Year After Failed Merger, A Pyrrhic Victory for Sabana's Unitholders?

In Dec 2020, Sabana's unitholders voted down a proposed merger with ESR-REIT. A year on, we look into Sabana and discuss whether its unitholders...

Jason Yap, CFA

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