Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF (00919 TW) tracks the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index and has an AUM of TWD 284bn (US$8.7bn).</li>
<li>We forecast 8 changes a side at the December rebalance with an estimated one-way turnover of around 15.8% and a round-trip trade of around US$2.75bn.</li>
<li>An equal weighted basket of potential inclusions has outperformed an equal weighted basket of potential deletions since beginning September with a pick-up in pace over the last 2-3 weeks.</li>
</ul>


The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF (00919 TW) tracks the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index and has an AUM of TWD 284bn (US$8.7bn).
We forecast 8 changes a side at the December rebalance with an estimated one-way turnover of around 15.8% and a round-trip trade of around US$2.75bn.
An equal weighted basket of potential inclusions has outperformed an equal weighted basket of potential deletions since beginning September with a pick-up in pace over the last 2-3 weeks.


TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Div Index Rebalance Preview: 32% T/O; US$2.75bn Trade; HUGE Impact

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hon-precision-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44938:1" rel="noopener">Hon Precision (7769 TT)</a> should be added to a global index in February and then to a country index in March.</li>
<li>Following the run-up in the stock, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hon-precision-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44938:1" rel="noopener">Hon Precision (7769 TT)</a> now trades at a higher forward EV/EBITDA and forward PE compared to the average and median of its peer group.</li>
<li>While there has been an increase in positioning, we see a similar trend in peers. The rally could have legs for a while longer.</li>
</ul>



Hon Precision (7769 TT) should be added to a global index in February and then to a country index in March.
Following the run-up in the stock, Hon Precision (7769 TT) now trades at a higher forward EV/EBITDA and forward PE compared to the average and median of its peer group.
While there has been an increase in positioning, we see a similar trend in peers. The rally could have legs for a while longer.


HonPrecision (7769 TT): TWSE Listing & Stock Run-Up Leads to Double Index Inclusion

Yang Ming Marine Transport / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 10 changes for the TIP Taiwan Value High Dividend Index in May. The Yuanta Taiwan Value High Dividend ETF (00940 TT) has an AUM of US$4.4bn.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 25.2% and there are 12 stocks with over 4 days of ADV to trade. The rebalance commenced yesterday and will end on Friday.</li>
<li>An equal weighted basket of inclusions has outperformed an equal weighted basket of deletions over the last month. That could continue near-term as the ETF continues to rebalance their portfolio.</li>
</ul>


There are 10 changes for the TIP Taiwan Value High Dividend Index in May. The Yuanta Taiwan Value High Dividend ETF (00940 TT) has an AUM of US$4.4bn.
Estimated one-way turnover is 25.2% and there are 12 stocks with over 4 days of ADV to trade. The rebalance commenced yesterday and will end on Friday.
An equal weighted basket of inclusions has outperformed an equal weighted basket of deletions over the last month. That could continue near-term as the ETF continues to rebalance their portfolio.


TIP Taiwan Value High Dividend Index Rebalance: 10 Changes Implemented This Week; US$2.2bn Trade

<ul>
<li>There are 8 changes a side for the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index in December. The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF (00919TW) has an AUM of US$9.3bn.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 17.2% and that will result in a round-trip trade of US$3.2bn. All adds and deletes have over 5x ADV to trade from passive trackers.</li>
<li>The rebalance will be implemented over 8 trading days and the ETF started trading some stocks late last week and the rest from 17 December.</li>
</ul>


There are 8 changes a side for the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index in December. The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF (00919TW) has an AUM of US$9.3bn.
Estimated one-way turnover is 17.2% and that will result in a round-trip trade of US$3.2bn. All adds and deletes have over 5x ADV to trade from passive trackers.
The rebalance will be implemented over 8 trading days and the ETF started trading some stocks late last week and the rest from 17 December.


TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index Rebalance: US$3.2bn Trade with BIG Impact

<ul>
<li>The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF (00919 TW) tracks the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index and has an AUM of TWD 285bn (US$8.75bn).</li>
<li>We forecast 8 changes a side at the December rebalance with an estimated one-way turnover of around 16% and a round-trip trade of around US$2.8bn.</li>
<li>An equal weighted basket of potential inclusions has outperformed an equal weighted basket of potential deletions since the start of July with most of the outperformance coming from September.</li>
</ul>


The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF (00919 TW) tracks the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index and has an AUM of TWD 285bn (US$8.75bn).
We forecast 8 changes a side at the December rebalance with an estimated one-way turnover of around 16% and a round-trip trade of around US$2.8bn.
An equal weighted basket of potential inclusions has outperformed an equal weighted basket of potential deletions since the start of July with most of the outperformance coming from September.


TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Div Index Rebalance Preview: US$2.8bn Trade as Adds Outperform

Taiwan

Ardentec Corporation develops and provides IC (integrated circuit) wafer test and IC final test services.

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Ardentec Corp (3264 TT)

TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Div Index Rebalance Preview: 32% T/O; US$2.75bn Trade; HUGE Impact

We forecast 8 changes a side in December. Estimated one-way turnover is 15.8% with a round-trip trade of US$2.75bn. The impact on the forecast...

Brian Freitas

HonPrecision (7769 TT): TWSE Listing & Stock Run-Up Leads to Double Index Inclusion

HonPrecision should be added to a global index in Feb and a country ETF in March. There will be nearly US$800m to buy in the stock. Price momentum...

Brian Freitas

TIP Taiwan Value High Dividend Index Rebalance: 10 Changes Implemented This Week; US$2.2bn Trade

There are 10 index changes in May. Estimated one-way turnover is 25.2% and trade is US$2.2bn. 12 stocks with over 4x ADV to trade. Multiple stocks...

Brian Freitas

TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index Rebalance: US$3.2bn Trade with BIG Impact

There are 8 changes for the index. Estimated one-way turnover is 17.2% and round-trip trade is US$3.2bn. All add/deletes have over 5x ADV to trade...

Brian Freitas

TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Div Index Rebalance Preview: US$2.8bn Trade as Adds Outperform

Announcement of the changes will made post market close today. The potential adds and deletes have performed in line since the end of the review...

Brian Freitas

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