IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cmic-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15558:1" rel="noopener">CMIC Holdings (2309 JP)</a> has recommended an MBO tender offer of JPY2,650 per share, a 55.9% premium to the undisturbed price (7 November).</li>
<li>The transaction is a two-step acquisition through a cash tender offer and subsequent squeeze-out. The lower limit of the tender offer is set at a 41.29% ownership ratio.</li>
<li>Irrevocables to accept represent a 23.29% ownership ratio. While the offer is light vs. peer multiples, the minimum acceptance condition requires a 35.1% minority acceptance rate, which is doable.</li>
</ul>



CMIC Holdings (2309 JP) has recommended an MBO tender offer of JPY2,650 per share, a 55.9% premium to the undisturbed price (7 November).
The transaction is a two-step acquisition through a cash tender offer and subsequent squeeze-out. The lower limit of the tender offer is set at a 41.29% ownership ratio.
Irrevocables to accept represent a 23.29% ownership ratio. While the offer is light vs. peer multiples, the minimum acceptance condition requires a 35.1% minority acceptance rate, which is doable.


CMIC Holdings (2309 JP): MBO Tender Offer at JPY2,650

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-telegraph-telephone-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:623:1" rel="noopener">NTT (Nippon Telegraph &amp; Telephone) (9432 JP)</a> has announced a partial tender offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intage-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3151:1" rel="noopener">Intage Holdings (4326 JP)</a> to make it a consolidated subsidiary. </li>
<li>The offer is for a minimum of 15.4m shares (40.00% ownership ratio) and a maximum of 19.6m shares (51.00%) at JPY2,400 per share, a 26.4% premium to the undisturbed price.</li>
<li>Irrevocables represent a 19.90% ownership ratio. The minimum acceptance condition requires a 20% minority acceptance rate. The offer is attractive and represents an all-time high.</li>
</ul>



NTT (Nippon Telegraph &amp; Telephone) (9432 JP) has announced a partial tender offer for Intage Holdings (4326 JP) to make it a consolidated subsidiary. 
The offer is for a minimum of 15.4m shares (40.00% ownership ratio) and a maximum of 19.6m shares (51.00%) at JPY2,400 per share, a 26.4% premium to the undisturbed price.
Irrevocables represent a 19.90% ownership ratio. The minimum acceptance condition requires a 20% minority acceptance rate. The offer is attractive and represents an all-time high.


Intage Holdings (4326 JP): NTT’s Partial Tender Offer

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/daiken-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15544:1" rel="noopener">Daiken Corp (7905 JP)</a> has recommended <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/itochu-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18448:1" rel="noopener">Itochu Corp (8001 JP)</a>’s tender offer of JPY3,000 per share, a 28.8% premium to the undisturbed price (10 August).</li>
<li>The transaction is a two-step acquisition through a cash tender offer and subsequent squeeze-out. The lower limit of the tender offer is set at a 31.83% ownership ratio.</li>
<li>The minimum acceptance condition (lower limit) requires a 50.0% minority acceptance rate (majority of minority condition). The tender offer is light vs historical multiples but represents a 5-year high price.</li>
</ul>



Daiken Corp (7905 JP) has recommended Itochu Corp (8001 JP)’s tender offer of JPY3,000 per share, a 28.8% premium to the undisturbed price (10 August).
The transaction is a two-step acquisition through a cash tender offer and subsequent squeeze-out. The lower limit of the tender offer is set at a 31.83% ownership ratio.
The minimum acceptance condition (lower limit) requires a 50.0% minority acceptance rate (majority of minority condition). The tender offer is light vs historical multiples but represents a 5-year high price.


Daiken Corporation (7905 JP): Itochu's JPY3,000 Tender Offer

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kyoden-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7002:1" rel="noopener">Kyoden Co Ltd (6881 JP)</a> has recommended the founder’s tender offer of JPY600 per share, a 32.5% premium to the undisturbed price (9 August).</li>
<li>The transaction is a two-step acquisition through a cash tender offer and subsequent squeeze-out. The lower limit of the tender offer is set at a 1.91% ownership ratio.</li>
<li>The minimum acceptance condition (lower limit) requires an undemanding 5.4% minority acceptance rate. The tender offer is reasonable. </li>
</ul>



Kyoden Co Ltd (6881 JP) has recommended the founder’s tender offer of JPY600 per share, a 32.5% premium to the undisturbed price (9 August).
The transaction is a two-step acquisition through a cash tender offer and subsequent squeeze-out. The lower limit of the tender offer is set at a 1.91% ownership ratio.
The minimum acceptance condition (lower limit) requires an undemanding 5.4% minority acceptance rate. The tender offer is reasonable. 


Kyoden Company (6881 JP): Founder's JPY600 Tender Offer

<ul>
<li>Japan Industrial Partners (JIP) will launch the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a> tender offer of JPY4,620 per share from 8 August to 20 September.</li>
<li>The Board has reaffirmed its recommendation to accept the offer. JIP’s inability to raise its bid is used as an excuse to ignore the material peer rerating and unattractive terms.</li>
<li>The 1Q results undermine the Board’s view of an overstated DCF and show its unwillingness to entertain a potential Kioxia merger as a superior alternative, increasing deal risks. </li>
</ul>


Japan Industrial Partners (JIP) will launch the Toshiba Corp (6502 JP) tender offer of JPY4,620 per share from 8 August to 20 September.
The Board has reaffirmed its recommendation to accept the offer. JIP’s inability to raise its bid is used as an excuse to ignore the material peer rerating and unattractive terms.
The 1Q results undermine the Board’s view of an overstated DCF and show its unwillingness to entertain a potential Kioxia merger as a superior alternative, increasing deal risks. 


Toshiba (6502 JP): Tender Offer Launches, 1Q Results Increase Deal Risks

Japan

ARTERIA Networks Corporation provides telecommunication services. The Company offers internet connection, virtual private network construction, colocation, mobile connection, mobile device management, optical fiber network construction, and other services.

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ARTERIA Networks Corp (4423 JP)

CMIC Holdings (2309 JP): MBO Tender Offer at JPY2,650

While the offer is light vs. peer multiples, the minimum acceptance condition requires a 35.1% minority acceptance rate, which is doable as the...

Arun George

Intage Holdings (4326 JP): NTT’s Partial Tender Offer

Irrevocables represent a 19.90% ownership ratio. The minimum acceptance condition requires a 20% minority acceptance rate. The offer is attractive...

Arun George

Daiken Corporation (7905 JP): Itochu's JPY3,000 Tender Offer

The lower limit requires a 50.0% minority acceptance rate (majority of minority condition). The tender offer is light vs historical multiples but...

Arun George

Kyoden Company (6881 JP): Founder's JPY600 Tender Offer

The minimum acceptance condition (lower limit) requires an undemanding 5.4% minority acceptance rate. The tender offer is reasonable.

Arun George

Toshiba (6502 JP): Tender Offer Launches, 1Q Results Increase Deal Risks

The 1Q results undermine the Board’s view of an overstated DCF and show its unwillingness to entertain a potential Kioxia merger as a superior...

Arun George

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