Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

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Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Listed Indian real estate developers reported a blockbuster H1FY26, with aggregate pre-sales soaring 47% YoY to INR 73,100 crore, led by giants like DLF and Prestige Estates.</li>
<li>This isn't a simple cyclical rally. It's a structural consolidation, as deleveraged balance sheets (five of 11 top players are net cash) allow organized players to seize market share.</li>
<li>The battleground has shifted from sales to execution. While pre-sales are strong, flat OCF highlights a critical lag, making 2H launch delivery and cash conversion the key metrics to watch.</li>
</ul>


Listed Indian real estate developers reported a blockbuster H1FY26, with aggregate pre-sales soaring 47% YoY to INR 73,100 crore, led by giants like DLF and Prestige Estates.
This isn't a simple cyclical rally. It's a structural consolidation, as deleveraged balance sheets (five of 11 top players are net cash) allow organized players to seize market share.
The battleground has shifted from sales to execution. While pre-sales are strong, flat OCF highlights a critical lag, making 2H launch delivery and cash conversion the key metrics to watch.


Thematic Report on Indian Realty: Why H1's Record Sales Mask a Deeper Cash Flow & Execution Test

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>We expect companies under our coverage to show a 55% improvement QoQ in pre-sales for Q1FY26.</li><li>This is primarily due to a low base established in the previous quarter, Q4FY25.</li><li>Companies like Prestige Estates and Oberoi Realty are set to report healthy bookings for the year. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We expect companies under our coverage to show a 55% improvement QoQ in pre-sales for Q1FY26.This is primarily due to a low base established in the previous quarter, Q4FY25.Companies like Prestige Estates and Oberoi Realty are set to report healthy bookings for the year. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>Pre-Sales Show Slight Growth: In Q4FY25, our coverage universe reported pre-sales of Rs 36,092 Cr, which remained flattish YoY.</li><li>This performance was primarily impacted by delayed launches and the ongoing election cycle, which subdued the usual surge in bookings.</li><li>While some companies outperformed their annual guidance, such as SignatureGlobal and Man Infraconstruction, others, including Oberoi, Prestige, and Arvind SmartSpaces, fell short of their booking expectations. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Pre-Sales Show Slight Growth: In Q4FY25, our coverage universe reported pre-sales of Rs 36,092 Cr, which remained flattish YoY.This performance was primarily impacted by delayed launches and the ongoing election cycle, which subdued the usual surge in bookings.While some companies outperformed their annual guidance, such as SignatureGlobal and Man Infraconstruction, others, including Oberoi, Prestige, and Arvind SmartSpaces, fell short of their booking expectations. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Top Conviction Ideas - “Real Estate” - Stable Presales; Launch Spillovers Set Stage for FY26E Growth

<ul><li>Samvat 2080 has proven to be a remarkable period for the Indian equity market, marked by the continuous achievement of new milestones each quarter.</li><li>Notably, our benchmark index, the Nifty 50, reached the historic milestone of 26,216 on September 26, 2024, for the first time ever.</li><li>This achievement has propelled the Indian market capitalization to surpass the $5 Trillion mark, positioning it as the fourth largest market globally. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Samvat 2080 has proven to be a remarkable period for the Indian equity market, marked by the continuous achievement of new milestones each quarter.Notably, our benchmark index, the Nifty 50, reached the historic milestone of 26,216 on September 26, 2024, for the first time ever.This achievement has propelled the Indian market capitalization to surpass the $5 Trillion mark, positioning it as the fourth largest market globally. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Strong Bookings Guidance: The company has clocked pre-sales of Rs 175 Cr, which is in line with expectations but lower than its guidance, mainly due to the launch of its Bannerghatta project, which has been delayed over multiple quarters.</li><li>Despite this slow quarter, the company is positive about achieving its 30% bookings growth guidance for FY26. Arvind believes the spill-over launches will take place in the H2FY26.</li><li>Traditionally, its pre-sales have grown at a robust 25%+ YoY, except for the previous year, and hopes to continue this trajectory for the next several years. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Strong Bookings Guidance: The company has clocked pre-sales of Rs 175 Cr, which is in line with expectations but lower than its guidance, mainly due to the launch of its Bannerghatta project, which has been delayed over multiple quarters.Despite this slow quarter, the company is positive about achieving its 30% bookings growth guidance for FY26. Arvind believes the spill-over launches will take place in the H2FY26.Traditionally, its pre-sales have grown at a robust 25%+ YoY, except for the previous year, and hopes to continue this trajectory for the next several years. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Arvind SmartSpaces Ltd - Soft Bookings; Growth Hinges on Upcoming Launches

India

Arvind SmartSpaces Ltd. is the real estate development arm of the Lalbhai Group, specializing in residential, commercial, industrial, and hospitality developments. The company focuses on design-led horizontal (plotted developments and villas) and vertical (apartments) projects across key markets. It was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Ahmedabad, Gujarat, India.

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Arvind SmartSpaces (ARVSMART IN)

Thematic Report on Indian Realty: Why H1's Record Sales Mask a Deeper Cash Flow & Execution Test

Indian real estate developers see H1FY26 with pre-sales up 47% to INR 73,100 crore. Structural consolidation, not just cyclical rally, as players...

Nimish Maheshwari

Q1FY26 Earnings Preview - Real Estate

We expect companies under our coverage to show a 55% improvement QoQ in pre-sales for Q1FY26. This is primarily due to a low base established in...

Axis Direct

Top Conviction Ideas - “Real Estate” - Stable Presales; Launch Spillovers Set Stage for FY26E Growth

Pre-Sales Show Slight Growth: In Q4FY25, our coverage universe reported pre-sales of Rs 36,092 Cr, which remained flattish YoY.

Axis Direct

Diamonds In The Dust - Samvat 2081

Samvat 2080 has proven to be a remarkable period for the Indian equity market, marked by the continuous achievement of new milestones each quarter.

Axis Direct

Arvind SmartSpaces Ltd - Soft Bookings; Growth Hinges on Upcoming Launches

The company has clocked pre-sales of Rs 175 Cr, which is in line with expectations but lower than its guidance, mainly due to the launch of its...

Axis Direct

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Thematic Report on Indian Realty: Why H1's Record Sales Mask a Deeper Cash Flow & Execution Test

​Indian real estate developers see H1FY26 with pre-sales up 47% to INR 73,100 crore. Structural consolidation, not just cyclical rally, as players...

Nimish Maheshwari

Q1FY26 Earnings Preview - Real Estate

We expect companies under our coverage to show a 55% improvement QoQ in pre-sales for Q1FY26. This is primarily due to a low base established in...

Axis Direct

Top Conviction Ideas - “Real Estate” - Stable Presales; Launch Spillovers Set Stage for FY26E Growth

Pre-Sales Show Slight Growth: In Q4FY25, our coverage universe reported pre-sales of Rs 36,092 Cr, which remained flattish YoY.

Axis Direct

Diamonds In The Dust - Samvat 2081

Samvat 2080 has proven to be a remarkable period for the Indian equity market, marked by the continuous achievement of new milestones each quarter.

Axis Direct

Arvind SmartSpaces Ltd - Soft Bookings; Growth Hinges on Upcoming Launches

The company has clocked pre-sales of Rs 175 Cr, which is in line with expectations but lower than its guidance, mainly due to the launch of its...

Axis Direct

Indian real estate developers see H1FY26 with pre-sales up 47% to INR 73,100 crore. Structural consolidation, not just cyclical rally, as players...