IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Since the announcement of the US$0.8 billion secondary offering, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyoda-gosei-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20125:1" rel="noopener">Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP)</a>’s shares have declined 4.9% to the undisturbed price of JPY3,754 per share (20 November).</li>
<li>It is instructive to look at recent large Japanese placements to understand the potential trading pattern. Toyoda's share decline is better than the median of recent large placements.</li>
<li>The offering will likely be priced on 1 December. The average large Japanese placement tends to generate positive returns.</li>
</ul>


Since the announcement of the US$0.8 billion secondary offering, Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP)’s shares have declined 4.9% to the undisturbed price of JPY3,754 per share (20 November).
It is instructive to look at recent large Japanese placements to understand the potential trading pattern. Toyoda's share decline is better than the median of recent large placements.
The offering will likely be priced on 1 December. The average large Japanese placement tends to generate positive returns.


Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP): The Current Playbook

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyoda-gosei-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20125:1" rel="noopener">Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP)</a> has announced a secondary offering of up to 29.7 million shares (34.2 million including overallotment), worth around US$0.7 billion (US$0.8 billion including overallotment).</li>
<li>Toyoda Gosei's primary goal with the secondary offering is to reduce <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Motor (7203 JP)</a>'s shareholding to around 20% of outstanding shares.</li>
<li>The offering as a percentage of outstanding shares and ADV is large compared to recent large placements. The likely pricing date is 1 December.</li>
</ul>



Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP) has announced a secondary offering of up to 29.7 million shares (34.2 million including overallotment), worth around US$0.7 billion (US$0.8 billion including overallotment).
Toyoda Gosei's primary goal with the secondary offering is to reduce Toyota Motor (7203 JP)'s shareholding to around 20% of outstanding shares.
The offering as a percentage of outstanding shares and ADV is large compared to recent large placements. The likely pricing date is 1 December.


Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP): A US$0.8 Billion Secondary Offering

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 14 November, media outlets reported that Sapphireterra has <a href="https://img1.wsimg.com/blobby/go/e7ddad68-3d70-4201-b3f3-16f665298127/downloads/055ae6dd-96a9-457f-baab-01eafcc12759/STC%20IS%20Press%20Release%202025-11-05%20E%20FINAL.pdf?ver=1763150335833" target="_blank" rel="noopener">sent a letter</a> to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/itochu-shokuhin-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14985:1" rel="noopener">Itochu Shokuhin (2692 JP)</a> Board suggesting two strategic alternatives to improve shareholder returns. </li>
<li>Sapphireterra has suggested that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/itochu-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18448:1" rel="noopener">Itochu Corp (8001 JP)</a> privatise Itochu-Shokuhin at JPY14,000, a 50.5% takeover premium. Due to the shareholder structure, Itochu does not need to be this generous.</li>
<li>Sapphireterra has also alternatively suggested JPY7,000 special dividend. The strong YTD share performance suggests no pressing need for the Board to act on this proposal. </li>
</ul>


On 14 November, media outlets reported that Sapphireterra has sent a letter to the Itochu Shokuhin (2692 JP) Board suggesting two strategic alternatives to improve shareholder returns. 
Sapphireterra has suggested that Itochu Corp (8001 JP) privatise Itochu-Shokuhin at JPY14,000, a 50.5% takeover premium. Due to the shareholder structure, Itochu does not need to be this generous.
Sapphireterra has also alternatively suggested JPY7,000 special dividend. The strong YTD share performance suggests no pressing need for the Board to act on this proposal. 


Itochu-Shokuhin (2692 JP): Itochu Likely to Shrug off Sapphireterra’s Privatisation Call

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orion-breweries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45701:1" rel="noopener">Orion Breweries' (409A JP)</a> operations span across alcoholic beverages, tourism and hotel businesses. It raised around US$159m in its Japan IPO.</li>
<li>Orion Breweries (OBL) has a strong Okinawa market position. Share of overseas sales has been growing (~23% of FY25 revenues), while profitability has also largely been steady.</li>
<li>In our previous note, we looked at its past performance and the deal dynamics. In this note, look at the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Orion Breweries' (409A JP) operations span across alcoholic beverages, tourism and hotel businesses. It raised around US$159m in its Japan IPO.
Orion Breweries (OBL) has a strong Okinawa market position. Share of overseas sales has been growing (~23% of FY25 revenues), while profitability has also largely been steady.
In our previous note, we looked at its past performance and the deal dynamics. In this note, look at the trading dynamics.


Orion Breweries IPO Trading - Robust Institutional Demand

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orion-breweries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45701:1" rel="noopener">Orion Breweries' (409A JP)</a> operations span across alcoholic beverages, tourism and hotel businesses. It aims to raise around US$162m in its Japan IPO which could increase to US$196m (including over-allotment).</li>
<li>Orion Breweries (OBL) has a strong Okinawa market position. Share of overseas sales has been growing (~23% of FY25 revenues), while profitability has also largely been steady.</li>
<li>In our previous note, we looked at the firm’s past performance and peer comparison. In this note, we talk about the pricing updates and IPO valuations.</li>
</ul>



Orion Breweries' (409A JP) operations span across alcoholic beverages, tourism and hotel businesses. It aims to raise around US$162m in its Japan IPO which could increase to US$196m (including over-allotment).
Orion Breweries (OBL) has a strong Okinawa market position. Share of overseas sales has been growing (~23% of FY25 revenues), while profitability has also largely been steady.
In our previous note, we looked at the firm’s past performance and peer comparison. In this note, we talk about the pricing updates and IPO valuations.


Orion Breweries IPO - Deal Upsized; Lower End Looks Digestible

Japan

Asahi Group Holdings, Ltd. produces beer and other beverages including non-alcoholic drinks. The Company sells its products in Japan and overseas.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Asahi Group Holdings (2502 JP)

Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP): The Current Playbook

The offering will likely be priced on 1 December. The average large Japanese placement tends to generate positive returns.

Arun George

Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP): A US$0.8 Billion Secondary Offering

The offering as a percentage of outstanding shares and ADV is large compared to recent large placements. The likely pricing date is 1 December.

Arun George

Itochu-Shokuhin (2692 JP): Itochu Likely to Shrug off Sapphireterra’s Privatisation Call

Sapphireterra has suggested two proposals (privatisation by Itochu, special divs) to improve shareholder returns. The Board is likely to react to...

Arun George

Orion Breweries IPO Trading - Robust Institutional Demand

Orion Breweries Limited’s (OBL) operations span across alcoholic beverages, tourism and hotel businesses. It raised around US$159m in its Japan...

Akshat Shah

Orion Breweries IPO - Deal Upsized; Lower End Looks Digestible

Orion Breweries' operations span across alcoholic beverages, tourism and hotel businesses. It aims to raise around US$162m in its Japan IPO which...

Akshat Shah

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)