IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Kansai Electric Power / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Since the US$3.5 billion primary/secondary offering announcement, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kansai-electric-power-co-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18907:1" rel="noopener">Kansai Electric Power (9503 JP)</a>’s shares have been down 20.6% from the undisturbed price of JPY2,397 per share (13 November).</li>
<li>Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive to understand the potential trading pattern. So far, KEPCO’s shares have followed the pattern of previous large placements.</li>
<li>The offering will likely be priced on 26 November. The average large Japanese placement tends to generate positive returns.</li>
</ul>


Since the US$3.5 billion primary/secondary offering announcement, Kansai Electric Power (9503 JP)’s shares have been down 20.6% from the undisturbed price of JPY2,397 per share (13 November).
Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive to understand the potential trading pattern. So far, KEPCO’s shares have followed the pattern of previous large placements.
The offering will likely be priced on 26 November. The average large Japanese placement tends to generate positive returns.


Kansai Electric Power (9503 JP): The Current Playbook

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kansai-electric-power-co-inc" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Kansai Electric Power (9503 JP)</a> has announced primary and secondary offerings of up to 223.1 million shares (including overallotment) and a third-party allotment of 29.1 million shares.</li>
<li>JPY239.9 billion of proceeds will be used to improve energy efficiency and decarbonisation, while other funds will be used for data centres, renewable energy and overseas investments.</li>
<li>Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive for understanding the potential offer price. The pricing date will fall between 26 and 29 November (likely 26 November).</li>
</ul>



Kansai Electric Power (9503 JP) has announced primary and secondary offerings of up to 223.1 million shares (including overallotment) and a third-party allotment of 29.1 million shares.
JPY239.9 billion of proceeds will be used to improve energy efficiency and decarbonisation, while other funds will be used for data centres, renewable energy and overseas investments.
Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive for understanding the potential offer price. The pricing date will fall between 26 and 29 November (likely 26 November).


Kansai Electric Power (9503 JP): A US$3.5 Billion Primary/Secondary Offering

<ul>
<li>Since the US$1.4 billion secondary placement announcement, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/terumo-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6708:1" rel="noopener">Terumo Corp (4543 JP)</a>’s shares are down 3.5% from the undisturbed price of JPY2,771 per share (29 August).</li>
<li>Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive to understand the potential trading pattern. So far, Terumo’s shares have followed the pattern of previous large placements.</li>
<li>The offering will likely be priced on 10 September. Despite Kokusai and Honda's disappointing performance, the average large Japanese placement tends to generate positive returns.</li>
</ul>


Since the US$1.4 billion secondary placement announcement, Terumo Corp (4543 JP)’s shares are down 3.5% from the undisturbed price of JPY2,771 per share (29 August).
Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive to understand the potential trading pattern. So far, Terumo’s shares have followed the pattern of previous large placements.
The offering will likely be priced on 10 September. Despite Kokusai and Honda's disappointing performance, the average large Japanese placement tends to generate positive returns.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/terumo-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6708:1" rel="noopener">Terumo Corp (4543 JP)</a> has announced a secondary offering of up to 73.2 million shares, worth JPY203 billion (US$1.4 billion) at the last close. </li>
<li>The secondary offering facilitates the exit of large shareholders. Terumo also announced a buyback worth a maximum of JPY30 billion or 15 million shares.</li>
<li>Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive for understanding the potential offer price. The pricing date will fall between 10 and 12 September (likely 10 September).</li>
</ul>



Terumo Corp (4543 JP) has announced a secondary offering of up to 73.2 million shares, worth JPY203 billion (US$1.4 billion) at the last close. 
The secondary offering facilitates the exit of large shareholders. Terumo also announced a buyback worth a maximum of JPY30 billion or 15 million shares.
Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive for understanding the potential offer price. The pricing date will fall between 10 and 12 September (likely 10 September).


Terumo (4543 JP): A US$1.4 Billion Secondary Offering

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sapporo-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14085:1" rel="noopener">Sapporo Holdings (2501 JP)</a>'s strategic position in the domestic market, coupled with untapped potential in international markets, makes the company an interesting prospect for the long-term.</li>
<li>3D Investment Partners’ July 2024 letter praising Sapporo’s intention to divest its real estate business has reignited investor interest in Sapporo as a play focusing on Japan’s investor activism.</li>
<li>Therefore, Sapporo seems interesting both in the short term and long term, as we think shares could break out to a new high with trading volumes showing signs of improvement.</li>
</ul>



Sapporo Holdings (2501 JP)'s strategic position in the domestic market, coupled with untapped potential in international markets, makes the company an interesting prospect for the long-term.
3D Investment Partners’ July 2024 letter praising Sapporo’s intention to divest its real estate business has reignited investor interest in Sapporo as a play focusing on Japan’s investor activism.
Therefore, Sapporo seems interesting both in the short term and long term, as we think shares could break out to a new high with trading volumes showing signs of improvement.


Sapporo Holdings: Investor Activism Sparks Short-Term Gains, Tax Reforms Ensure Long-Term Success

Japan

Asahi Group Holdings, Ltd. produces beer and other beverages including non-alcoholic drinks. The Company sells its products in Japan and overseas.

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Asahi Group Holdings (2502 JP)

Kansai Electric Power (9503 JP): The Current Playbook

The offering will likely be priced on 26 November. KEPCO's share decline is the second-highest among recent large placements. The average large...

Arun George

Kansai Electric Power (9503 JP): A US$3.5 Billion Primary/Secondary Offering

Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive for understanding the potential offer price. The pricing date will fall between 26 and...

Arun George

Terumo (4543 JP): The Current Playbook

The offering will likely be priced on 10 September. Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive to understand the potential trading...

Arun George

Terumo (4543 JP): A US$1.4 Billion Secondary Offering

Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive for understanding the potential offer price. The pricing date will fall between 10 and...

Arun George

Sapporo Holdings: Investor Activism Sparks Short-Term Gains, Tax Reforms Ensure Long-Term Success

Sapporo Holdings presents an intriguing LT opportunity with potential in both domestic and international markets. It is also attracting interest...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

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