Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Strong tech rebound off the morning lows with AI related names starting to pick up favour again helped by good numbers from Oracle.</li>
<li>The hefty price tag for Sony's PS5 Pro is unlikely to appeal to casual gamers, but should still boost sales in the interim as a mid-cycle boost for the PlayStation.</li>
<li>Fujitsu's IR day yesterday sets an upbeat tone, but lacks catalysts which could help push the stock to new highs.</li>
</ul>


Strong tech rebound off the morning lows with AI related names starting to pick up favour again helped by good numbers from Oracle.
The hefty price tag for Sony's PS5 Pro is unlikely to appeal to casual gamers, but should still boost sales in the interim as a mid-cycle boost for the PlayStation.
Fujitsu's IR day yesterday sets an upbeat tone, but lacks catalysts which could help push the stock to new highs.


Japan Morning Connection: Rotation Towards AI May See Japan SPE Gains

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A double-dose of StubWorld today: <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsubishi-chemical-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12781:1" rel="noopener">Mitsubishi Chemical (4188 JP)</a></strong> (MCG) is trading rich (implied stub &amp; simple ratio) to ~51%-held <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-sanso-holdings-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15756:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Sanso Holdings (4091 JP)</a></strong>.</li>
<li>Preceding my comments on MCG and Nippon Sanso are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%</li>
</ul>


A double-dose of StubWorld today: Mitsubishi Chemical (4188 JP) (MCG) is trading rich (implied stub &amp; simple ratio) to ~51%-held Nippon Sanso Holdings (4091 JP).
Preceding my comments on MCG and Nippon Sanso are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%


StubWorld: Mitsu Chem (4188 JP) Trading Rich To Nippon Sanso (4091 JP)

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. SPX reclaims 4000 level with 2nd day of gains; 8/11 SPX sectors up as VIX collapses; Fed Decision Day on Wed-Expect No surprises; INTEL headwinds on China curbs </li>
<li>JAPAN.  NKY Futs +0.6% vs Cash; USDJPY 132. 4; Japan set to rally after the Spring  transition break;US accepts Japan's EV subsidy appeal=+ve auto parts; More inflation support from govt. </li>
<li>NUGGET. Asahi Kasai - M&amp;A Gone Bad, Writedown, Struggles Remain. Future profitability of the LiB Separator business in question. </li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. SPX reclaims 4000 level with 2nd day of gains; 8/11 SPX sectors up as VIX collapses; Fed Decision Day on Wed-Expect No surprises; INTEL headwinds on China curbs 
JAPAN.  NKY Futs +0.6% vs Cash; USDJPY 132. 4; Japan set to rally after the Spring  transition break;US accepts Japan's EV subsidy appeal=+ve auto parts; More inflation support from govt. 
NUGGET. Asahi Kasai - M&amp;A Gone Bad, Writedown, Struggles Remain. Future profitability of the LiB Separator business in question. 


Good Morning Japan |SPX Reclaims 4000! NUGGET: Asahi Kasei-M&A Gone Bad, Writedown, Struggles Remain

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. Equity Risk-off ahead of NFP; Banks hit on default risk worries and Silvergate Collapse; Bitcoin hit hard (Silverate); Aggressive GM restructuring</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs -2.2% vs Cash; USDJPY Strengthens to 136.1 as pare risk ahead of Kuroda's final policy decision today;  MORE ACTIVIST WINS-Massive buyback from DNP;  Seven &amp; I Restructuring.</li>
<li>NUGGET. NISSAN, TAKING IT FROM ALL ANGLES. Nissan's bonds downgraded to junk this week; but its worse than you think..company faces serious headwinds.</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. Equity Risk-off ahead of NFP; Banks hit on default risk worries and Silvergate Collapse; Bitcoin hit hard (Silverate); Aggressive GM restructuring
JAPAN. NKY Futs -2.2% vs Cash; USDJPY Strengthens to 136.1 as pare risk ahead of Kuroda's final policy decision today;  MORE ACTIVIST WINS-Massive buyback from DNP;  Seven &amp; I Restructuring.
NUGGET. NISSAN, TAKING IT FROM ALL ANGLES. Nissan's bonds downgraded to junk this week; but its worse than you think..company faces serious headwinds.


Good Morning Japan |EQUITY SELL OFF Ahead of NFP-Banks Bear Brunt; NUGGET: Nissan - Its Worse !

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Capital Markets

Shenzhen Senior Technology-A / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The poor earnings record for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-senior-technology-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29612:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhen Senior Technology Material (6067 HK)</a> is a major negative issue for the IPO. Its 1Q26 profit collapsed 59.2%.</li>
<li>The steep 57.3% H-share IPO discount to the current A-share is the fourth-lowest since 2025. Such a low valuation reflects the concerns about its outlook. </li>
<li>The IPO price implies a 91.1x FY26 PER, compared with the average of 75.3x for the A-share peers and 14.9x for global peers. Its PER are not attractive.</li>
</ul>


The poor earnings record for Shenzhen Senior Technology Material (6067 HK) is a major negative issue for the IPO. Its 1Q26 profit collapsed 59.2%.
The steep 57.3% H-share IPO discount to the current A-share is the fourth-lowest since 2025. Such a low valuation reflects the concerns about its outlook. 
The IPO price implies a 91.1x FY26 PER, compared with the average of 75.3x for the A-share peers and 14.9x for global peers. Its PER are not attractive.


Shenzhen Senior Technology Material (6067 HK) IPO: We Are Not Fans

Japan

ASAHI KASEI CORPORATION produces synthetic fibers, industrial chemicals, petrochemicals, plastics (resins), and synthetic rubber.  The Company also operates and sells real estates, pharmaceuticals, medical equipments, electronics, construction materials, and consumer products.

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Asahi Kasei (3407 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: Rotation Towards AI May See Japan SPE Gains

AI names gaining favor with Oracle's positive numbers. Sony's PS5 Pro may not attract casual gamers but could boost sales as a mid-cycle upgrade....

Andrew Jackson

StubWorld: Mitsu Chem (4188 JP) Trading Rich To Nippon Sanso (4091 JP)

Nippon Sanso's ops are defensive and stable; but that steady-as-you-go story has lagged MCG's turnaround narrative & shift toward higher‑margin...

David Blennerhassett

Good Morning Japan |SPX Reclaims 4000! NUGGET: Asahi Kasei-M&A Gone Bad, Writedown, Struggles Remain

Japan is poised to rally after the Spring transition, as its stocks have taken a hit during the recent risk-off period. This has created many...

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan |EQUITY SELL OFF Ahead of NFP-Banks Bear Brunt; NUGGET: Nissan - Its Worse !

NKY Futs -2.2% vs Cash; USDJPY Strengthens to 136.1 as pare risk ahead of Kuroda's final policy decision today; MORE ACTIVIST WINS-Massive buyback...

Mark Chadwick

Shenzhen Senior Technology Material (6067 HK) IPO: We Are Not Fans

Shenzhen Senior Technology Materials' poor earnings record and steep H-share IPO discount relative to A-share reflect concerns about its outlook....

Osbert Tang, CFA

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Dividend (Yield)

Japan Morning Connection: Rotation Towards AI May See Japan SPE Gains

AI names gaining favor with Oracle's positive numbers. Sony's PS5 Pro may not attract casual gamers but could boost sales as a mid-cycle upgrade....

Andrew Jackson

StubWorld: Mitsu Chem (4188 JP) Trading Rich To Nippon Sanso (4091 JP)

Nippon Sanso's ops are defensive and stable; but that steady-as-you-go story has lagged MCG's turnaround narrative & shift toward higher‑margin...

David Blennerhassett

Good Morning Japan |SPX Reclaims 4000! NUGGET: Asahi Kasei-M&A Gone Bad, Writedown, Struggles Remain

Japan is poised to rally after the Spring transition, as its stocks have taken a hit during the recent risk-off period. This has created many...

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan |EQUITY SELL OFF Ahead of NFP-Banks Bear Brunt; NUGGET: Nissan - Its Worse !

NKY Futs -2.2% vs Cash; USDJPY Strengthens to 136.1 as pare risk ahead of Kuroda's final policy decision today; MORE ACTIVIST WINS-Massive buyback...

Mark Chadwick

Shenzhen Senior Technology Material (6067 HK) IPO: We Are Not Fans

​Shenzhen Senior Technology Materials' poor earnings record and steep H-share IPO discount relative to A-share reflect concerns about its outlook....

Osbert Tang, CFA

Shenzhen Senior Technology Materials' poor earnings record and steep H-share IPO discount relative to A-share reflect concerns about its outlook....