India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

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Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Delhi has drafted EV Policy 2026–2030, replacing the 2020 framework, pivoting to scrappage-linked incentives, capping subsidies to mass-market vehicles below Rs 25 lakh, and targeting 36,000 charging points by 2030.</li>
<li>With 90 lakh registered vehicles and India's most polluted urban air, Delhi's demand signal carries outsized influence on OEM product roadmaps, capex cycles, and localization timelines through 2030.</li>
<li>Legacy OEMs with established service networks (TVS, Bajaj, Hero, Tata Motors, Ashok Leyland) stand to capture disproportionate benefits; pure-play EV startups without scale face a harder road ahead.</li>
</ul>


Delhi has drafted EV Policy 2026–2030, replacing the 2020 framework, pivoting to scrappage-linked incentives, capping subsidies to mass-market vehicles below Rs 25 lakh, and targeting 36,000 charging points by 2030.
With 90 lakh registered vehicles and India's most polluted urban air, Delhi's demand signal carries outsized influence on OEM product roadmaps, capex cycles, and localization timelines through 2030.
Legacy OEMs with established service networks (TVS, Bajaj, Hero, Tata Motors, Ashok Leyland) stand to capture disproportionate benefits; pure-play EV startups without scale face a harder road ahead.


Delhi's EV Draft Policy: Who Wins the Policy Windfall of 2026–2030?

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>The macro environment entering Q4FY26 has shifted from relative stability to a more challenging phase, driven by a combination of elevated crude oil prices, currency depreciation, and inflationary pressures.</li><li>India, being structurally strong with resilient domestic demand and healthy corporate balance sheets, continues to remain better positioned than peers.</li><li>However, the recent spike in crude prices and global uncertainties has introduced near-term risks to both macroeconomic stability and corporate profitability.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The macro environment entering Q4FY26 has shifted from relative stability to a more challenging phase, driven by a combination of elevated crude oil prices, currency depreciation, and inflationary pressures.India, being structurally strong with resilient domestic demand and healthy corporate balance sheets, continues to remain better positioned than peers.However, the recent spike in crude prices and global uncertainties has introduced near-term risks to both macroeconomic stability and corporate profitability.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Earnings Preview - Q4FY26 - (Consolidated)

<ul>
<li>India's FY26 retail auto sales hit an all-time high of 2.967 crore units, up 13% YoY, posting record volumes driven by a GST 2.0 inflection and rural demand.</li>
<li>Domestic OEMs Tata Motors and Mahindra collectively expanded passenger vehicle market share by nearly 900 basis points between FY22 and FY26.</li>
<li>The market share swing is structural, not cyclical: India's origin share has risen from 51.6% to 48.6% (note: China's share halved, Japan declined 3 points), yet Indian-brand  have surged.</li>
</ul>


India's FY26 retail auto sales hit an all-time high of 2.967 crore units, up 13% YoY, posting record volumes driven by a GST 2.0 inflection and rural demand.
Domestic OEMs Tata Motors and Mahindra collectively expanded passenger vehicle market share by nearly 900 basis points between FY22 and FY26.
The market share swing is structural, not cyclical: India's origin share has risen from 51.6% to 48.6% (note: China's share halved, Japan declined 3 points), yet Indian-brand  have surged.


India Auto FY26: Record Retail Masks a Seismic Shift in the Competitive Order

<ul><li>Over Apr’25-Mar’26, cumulative 2W domestic sales grew by 12% YoY to 1.8 Cr units, supported by strong performances from TVS (+21%), Eicher motor (+23%), and Hero (+8%), while exports showed improved traction across global markets.</li><li>On a YTD basis, 3W domestic wholesales rose 50% YoY to 3.3 Lc units, led by TVS (+63%), followed by M&amp;M (+30%), while Bajaj is yet to report.</li><li>The domestic PV industry posted a ~9% YoY growth to ~43.1 Lc units, driven by strong performance from Toyota Kirloskar (+24%), M&amp;M (+20%), JSW MG Motor (+17%), Kia India (+14%), Tata Motors (+14%), and Maruti Suzuki (+4%), while Hyundai declined 2% YoY. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Over Apr’25-Mar’26, cumulative 2W domestic sales grew by 12% YoY to 1.8 Cr units, supported by strong performances from TVS (+21%), Eicher motor (+23%), and Hero (+8%), while exports showed improved traction across global markets.On a YTD basis, 3W domestic wholesales rose 50% YoY to 3.3 Lc units, led by TVS (+63%), followed by M&amp;M (+30%), while Bajaj is yet to report.The domestic PV industry posted a ~9% YoY growth to ~43.1 Lc units, driven by strong performance from Toyota Kirloskar (+24%), M&amp;M (+20%), JSW MG Motor (+17%), Kia India (+14%), Tata Motors (+14%), and Maruti Suzuki (+4%), while Hyundai declined 2% YoY. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul>
<li>India’s auto sector ended FY26 strongly, with growth across segments: PVs up 17%, two-wheelers 15%, tractors 23%, and commercial vehicles 12% in March 2026.</li>
<li>
Tractors outperformed PVs, driven by strong rural demand supported by GST cuts, healthy reservoir levels, and favorable seasonal factors like the Navratri period.</li>
<li>While 2W EVs grew 45% YoY, market share shifted toward established players. CV growth slowed meaningfully from February, indicating early signs of demand normalization.</li>
</ul>


India’s auto sector ended FY26 strongly, with growth across segments: PVs up 17%, two-wheelers 15%, tractors 23%, and commercial vehicles 12% in March 2026.

Tractors outperformed PVs, driven by strong rural demand supported by GST cuts, healthy reservoir levels, and favorable seasonal factors like the Navratri period.
While 2W EVs grew 45% YoY, market share shifted toward established players. CV growth slowed meaningfully from February, indicating early signs of demand normalization.


Thematic Report on India Auto Sector: GST Cuts Drive Volume Growth Across Segments

India

Ashok Leyland is an Indian multinational automotive manufacturer and a flagship company of the Hinduja Group. It is the second-largest manufacturer of commercial vehicles in India and the fourth-largest manufacturer of buses globally, offering a comprehensive range of trucks, buses, light commercial vehicles, power solution systems, and defense vehicles. The company was founded in 1948 and is headquartered in Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India.

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Ashok Leyland (AL IN)

Delhi's EV Draft Policy: Who Wins the Policy Windfall of 2026–2030?

Delhi's new EV Policy 2026-2030 focuses on scrappage incentives, subsidies for mass-market vehicles under Rs 25 lakh, and aims for 36,000 charging...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Earnings Preview - Q4FY26 - (Consolidated)

India, being structurally strong with resilient domestic demand and healthy corporate balance sheets, continues to remain better positioned than...

Axis Direct

India Auto FY26: Record Retail Masks a Seismic Shift in the Competitive Order

India's auto sales reach record high in FY26, driven by GST 2.0 and rural demand, with Tata Motors and Mahindra gaining market share.

Sudarshan Bhandari

Auto Monthly Sales Volume - April 2026

On a YTD basis, 3W domestic wholesales rose 50% YoY to 3.3 Lc units, led by TVS (+63%), followed by M&M (+30%), while Bajaj is yet to report.

Axis Direct

Thematic Report on India Auto Sector: GST Cuts Drive Volume Growth Across Segments

India's auto sector saw strong growth in FY26, with PVs up 17%, two-wheelers 15%, tractors 23%, and commercial vehicles 12% in March 2026.

Sudarshan Bhandari

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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Delhi's EV Draft Policy: Who Wins the Policy Windfall of 2026–2030?

​Delhi's new EV Policy 2026-2030 focuses on scrappage incentives, subsidies for mass-market vehicles under Rs 25 lakh, and aims for 36,000 charging...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Earnings Preview - Q4FY26 - (Consolidated)

India, being structurally strong with resilient domestic demand and healthy corporate balance sheets, continues to remain better positioned than...

Axis Direct

India Auto FY26: Record Retail Masks a Seismic Shift in the Competitive Order

​India's auto sales reach record high in FY26, driven by GST 2.0 and rural demand, with Tata Motors and Mahindra gaining market share.

Sudarshan Bhandari

Auto Monthly Sales Volume - April 2026

On a YTD basis, 3W domestic wholesales rose 50% YoY to 3.3 Lc units, led by TVS (+63%), followed by M&M (+30%), while Bajaj is yet to report.

Axis Direct

Thematic Report on India Auto Sector: GST Cuts Drive Volume Growth Across Segments

​India's auto sector saw strong growth in FY26, with PVs up 17%, two-wheelers 15%, tractors 23%, and commercial vehicles 12% in March 2026.

Sudarshan Bhandari

Delhi's new EV Policy 2026-2030 focuses on scrappage incentives, subsidies for mass-market vehicles under Rs 25 lakh, and aims for 36,000 charging...

India's auto sales reach record high in FY26, driven by GST 2.0 and rural demand, with Tata Motors and Mahindra gaining market share.

India's auto sector saw strong growth in FY26, with PVs up 17%, two-wheelers 15%, tractors 23%, and commercial vehicles 12% in March 2026.