External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

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External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Demand for entry-level cars and two wheelers has remained subdued post FY19 as emission norms, safety norms and general inflation have led to an increased cost of the vehicle</li><li>The salary/wage of the consumer has not risen in line with vehicle cost inflation, thus increasing the affordability gap</li><li>We believe that there are customers who have been waiting on the sidelines to purchase a vehicle as and when it becomes affordable to them</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Demand for entry-level cars and two wheelers has remained subdued post FY19 as emission norms, safety norms and general inflation have led to an increased cost of the vehicleThe salary/wage of the consumer has not risen in line with vehicle cost inflation, thus increasing the affordability gapWe believe that there are customers who have been waiting on the sidelines to purchase a vehicle as and when it becomes affordable to themContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Autos: GST Rate Cuts to Revive the Entry-Level Segment

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

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<ul>
<li>India’s GST 2.0 reform slashes tax rates on essentials, durables, autos, and healthcare while exempting insurance and education.</li>
<li>The move could accelerate consumption, especially in rural India, but risks straining government revenues and widening fiscal deficits.</li>
<li>If implemented smoothly, GST 2.0 may drive a multi-sector consumption upcycle, though revenue trade-offs and uneven pass-through pose risks.</li>
</ul>


India’s GST 2.0 reform slashes tax rates on essentials, durables, autos, and healthcare while exempting insurance and education.
The move could accelerate consumption, especially in rural India, but risks straining government revenues and widening fiscal deficits.
If implemented smoothly, GST 2.0 may drive a multi-sector consumption upcycle, though revenue trade-offs and uneven pass-through pose risks.


Thematic Report on GST 2.0 Regime: Who Gains, Who Loses as India Bets on Demand Revival.

<ul>
<li>The GST Council has approved rate cuts , lowering from 28-29% to 18% for 2Ws (&lt;350cc), 3Ws, CVs, tractors and small PVs, while larger cars move to 40% from 43-50%. 
</li>
<li>
Price cuts of 2–9% in mass-market vehicles could spur demand just as rural sentiment, interest rates, and fiscal transfers turn supportive, creating a multi-pronged recovery catalyst for OEMs and ancillaries.</li>
<li>The rationalization removes structural distortions, improves affordability, and positions the festive season as a turning point for sector volumes and improved margins, though premium bikes and fleet operators face headwinds.</li>
</ul>


The GST Council has approved rate cuts , lowering from 28-29% to 18% for 2Ws (&lt;350cc), 3Ws, CVs, tractors and small PVs, while larger cars move to 40% from 43-50%. 


Price cuts of 2–9% in mass-market vehicles could spur demand just as rural sentiment, interest rates, and fiscal transfers turn supportive, creating a multi-pronged recovery catalyst for OEMs and ancillaries.
The rationalization removes structural distortions, improves affordability, and positions the festive season as a turning point for sector volumes and improved margins, though premium bikes and fleet operators face headwinds.


GST Reform in Indian Auto Sector: Demand Revival Meets Margin Expansion Ahead of Festive Surge.

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Cumulatively for April–Sept FY26, 2W domestic sales remained flat YoY to 77.27 Lc units as Hero (-4%) and Bajaj (-11%) dragged overall volumes, despite strong performances from TVS (+16%) and RE (+23%).</li><li>On the other hand, 2W exports surged 25% YoY to 18.4 Lc units, reflecting improved traction in global markets, especially Africa and Latin America.</li><li>On a YTD basis, 3W domestic wholesales rose 12% YoY to 3.19 Lc units, led by M&amp;M (+33%), TVS (+40%), and a flat performance by Bajaj. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cumulatively for April–Sept FY26, 2W domestic sales remained flat YoY to 77.27 Lc units as Hero (-4%) and Bajaj (-11%) dragged overall volumes, despite strong performances from TVS (+16%) and RE (+23%).On the other hand, 2W exports surged 25% YoY to 18.4 Lc units, reflecting improved traction in global markets, especially Africa and Latin America.On a YTD basis, 3W domestic wholesales rose 12% YoY to 3.19 Lc units, led by M&amp;M (+33%), TVS (+40%), and a flat performance by Bajaj. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>Revenue/EBITDA in Q1FY26 grew by 7%/1% YoY, respectively, against our expectations of ~4%/-3% YoY for Auto OEMs under our coverage.</li><li>The revenue growth was largely driven by 9%/10% volume growth in the tractor/3W industry (though Escorts was up only 2%), while PV/MHCV/LCV were flat, and 2Ws down 2% YoY.</li><li>Revenue/EBITDA declined by 5%/9% QoQ against our estimates of 8%/13% QoQ, respectively. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Revenue/EBITDA in Q1FY26 grew by 7%/1% YoY, respectively, against our expectations of ~4%/-3% YoY for Auto OEMs under our coverage.The revenue growth was largely driven by 9%/10% volume growth in the tractor/3W industry (though Escorts was up only 2%), while PV/MHCV/LCV were flat, and 2Ws down 2% YoY.Revenue/EBITDA declined by 5%/9% QoQ against our estimates of 8%/13% QoQ, respectively. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Top Conviction Ideas - “Auto & Auto Ancillaries”

India

Ashok Leyland is an Indian multinational automotive manufacturer and a flagship company of the Hinduja Group. It is the second-largest manufacturer of commercial vehicles in India and the fourth-largest manufacturer of buses globally, offering a comprehensive range of trucks, buses, light commercial vehicles, power solution systems, and defense vehicles. The company was founded in 1948 and is headquartered in Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India.

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Ashok Leyland (AL IN)

Autos: GST Rate Cuts to Revive the Entry-Level Segment

Demand for entry-level cars and two wheelers has remained subdued post FY19 as emission norms, safety norms and general inflation have led to an...

HDFC Securities

Thematic Report on GST 2.0 Regime: Who Gains, Who Loses as India Bets on Demand Revival.

India's GST 2.0 reform cuts tax rates on essentials, durables, autos, and healthcare, potentially boosting consumption but risking fiscal deficits.

Sudarshan Bhandari

GST Reform in Indian Auto Sector: Demand Revival Meets Margin Expansion Ahead of Festive Surge.

GST Council approves rate cuts, boosting demand for mass-market vehicles and creating a multi-pronged recovery catalyst for OEMs and ancillaries.

Sudarshan Bhandari

Auto Monthly Sales Volume - August 2025

Cumulatively for April–Sept FY26, 2W domestic sales remained flat YoY to 77.27 Lc units as Hero (-4%) and Bajaj (-11%) dragged overall volumes,...

Axis Direct

Top Conviction Ideas - “Auto & Auto Ancillaries”

Revenue/EBITDA in Q1FY26 grew by 7%/1% YoY, respectively, against our expectations of ~4%/-3% YoY for Auto OEMs under our coverage.

Axis Direct

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Autos: GST Rate Cuts to Revive the Entry-Level Segment

Demand for entry-level cars and two wheelers has remained subdued post FY19 as emission norms, safety norms and general inflation have led to an...

HDFC Securities

Thematic Report on GST 2.0 Regime: Who Gains, Who Loses as India Bets on Demand Revival.

​India's GST 2.0 reform cuts tax rates on essentials, durables, autos, and healthcare, potentially boosting consumption but risking fiscal deficits.

Sudarshan Bhandari

GST Reform in Indian Auto Sector: Demand Revival Meets Margin Expansion Ahead of Festive Surge.

​GST Council approves rate cuts, boosting demand for mass-market vehicles and creating a multi-pronged recovery catalyst for OEMs and ancillaries.

Sudarshan Bhandari

Auto Monthly Sales Volume - August 2025

Cumulatively for April–Sept FY26, 2W domestic sales remained flat YoY to 77.27 Lc units as Hero (-4%) and Bajaj (-11%) dragged overall volumes,...

Axis Direct

Top Conviction Ideas - “Auto & Auto Ancillaries”

Revenue/EBITDA in Q1FY26 grew by 7%/1% YoY, respectively, against our expectations of ~4%/-3% YoY for Auto OEMs under our coverage.

Axis Direct

India's GST 2.0 reform cuts tax rates on essentials, durables, autos, and healthcare, potentially boosting consumption but risking fiscal deficits.

GST Council approves rate cuts, boosting demand for mass-market vehicles and creating a multi-pronged recovery catalyst for OEMs and ancillaries.