External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We recently interacted with numerous store managers and companies to assess the festive performance and demand in discretionary categories</li><li>Despite a promising start to the festive season, most categories (excluding jewellery and travel) seem to have hit the snooze button</li><li>Several factors contribute to this, including (1) the normalisation of ticket sizes and purchase frequencies, (2) weak footfalls (on a per sq foot basis), and (3) a trend towards downtrading</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We recently interacted with numerous store managers and companies to assess the festive performance and demand in discretionary categoriesDespite a promising start to the festive season, most categories (excluding jewellery and travel) seem to have hit the snooze buttonSeveral factors contribute to this, including (1) the normalisation of ticket sizes and purchase frequencies, (2) weak footfalls (on a per sq foot basis), and (3) a trend towards downtradingContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Festive temperature check: Festive mood sombre

Equity Analyst

Steve Zhou, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-paint-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7387:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Paint Holdings (4612 JP)</a> announced a better-than-expected 3Q23 results this week, mainly driven by a resilient China decorative paint business. </li>
<li>The company also raised 2023 operating profit guidance, expecting around 6% higher operating profit (Y168bn from Y158bn previously).</li>
<li>At 21x forward PE, the company is attractively valued given the growth profile and strong market share position in most end-markets.  </li>
</ul>



Nippon Paint Holdings (4612 JP) announced a better-than-expected 3Q23 results this week, mainly driven by a resilient China decorative paint business. 
The company also raised 2023 operating profit guidance, expecting around 6% higher operating profit (Y168bn from Y158bn previously).
At 21x forward PE, the company is attractively valued given the growth profile and strong market share position in most end-markets.  


Nippon Paint (4612 JP):  Results Beat On Resilient China 2C Business

<ul><li>Asian Paints: APNT’s revenue growth flat-lined in Q2 (YoY) at INR 84.8bn, 4.4% below our expectation (HSIE: INR88.7bn)</li><li>Decorative business clocked 6/1.1% volume/value growth in Q2FY24. The mix was economy range-heavy</li><li>Urban markets (high-single-digit growth) continued to outpace rural centres</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Asian Paints: APNT’s revenue growth flat-lined in Q2 (YoY) at INR 84.8bn, 4.4% below our expectation (HSIE: INR88.7bn)Decorative business clocked 6/1.1% volume/value growth in Q2FY24. The mix was economy range-heavyUrban markets (high-single-digit growth) continued to outpace rural centresContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Asian Paints, Shriram Finance, Colgate Palmolive, Westlife Foodworld, Symphony

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

<ul>
<li>We believe the undertone in the market is bullish, Large Caps are "out of flavour" and hence an L/S (Long/Short) strategy with INDA/SMIN could be an interesting pair to track. </li>
<li>We visited a <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> showroom in Western India gathering hints of the defensive strategy in India. </li>
<li>Other names discussed include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asian-paints-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6354:1" rel="noopener">Asian Paints (APNT IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ce-info-systems-mapmyindia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34215:1" rel="noopener">CE Info Systems (MapmyIndia) (1052633Z IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ebix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4022:1" rel="noopener">Ebix (EBIX US)</a>.  </li>
</ul>


We believe the undertone in the market is bullish, Large Caps are "out of flavour" and hence an L/S (Long/Short) strategy with INDA/SMIN could be an interesting pair to track. 
We visited a BYD (1211 HK) showroom in Western India gathering hints of the defensive strategy in India. 
Other names discussed include Asian Paints (APNT IN), CE Info Systems (MapmyIndia) (1052633Z IN) and Ebix (EBIX US).  


[Week 5] Namaste India 🙏 | BYD (1211 HK) | Playing Defence

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top 100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.</li>
<li>The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.</li>
<li>Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 3 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.</li>
</ul>


An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top 100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.
The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.
Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 3 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.


India

Asian Paints Limited manufactures a wide range of decorative paints, varnishes, enamels, and black & synthetic resins. The Company, through its subsidiaries, also manufactures specialty industrial chemicals and vinyl pyridine latex products which are used in the manufacture of rubber tires.

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Asian Paints (APNT IN)

Festive temperature check: Festive mood sombre

We recently interacted with numerous store managers and companies to assess the festive performance and demand in discretionary categories

HDFC Securities

Nippon Paint (4612 JP): Results Beat On Resilient China 2C Business

Nippon Paint Holdings reported strong 3Q23 results, mainly driven by its resilient China decorative paint business. The company also raised its...

Steve Zhou, CFA

HSIE Results Daily: Asian Paints, Shriram Finance, Colgate Palmolive, Westlife Foodworld, Symphony

Decorative business clocked 6/1.1% volume/value growth in Q2FY24. The mix was economy range-heavy. Urban markets (high-single-digit growth)...

HDFC Securities

[Week 5] Namaste India 🙏 | BYD (1211 HK) | Playing Defence

Bullish market sentiment favours INDA/SMIN Long/Short strategy; BYD showroom visit reveals defensive strategy in India; other names include Asian...

Pranav Bhavsar

Screening for GEMs: October 2023

This insight provides an overview of our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, based on a Multifactor model, a Deep Neural...

Wium Malan, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Festive temperature check: Festive mood sombre

We recently interacted with numerous store managers and companies to assess the festive performance and demand in discretionary categories

HDFC Securities

Nippon Paint (4612 JP): Results Beat On Resilient China 2C Business

​Nippon Paint Holdings reported strong 3Q23 results, mainly driven by its resilient China decorative paint business. The company also raised its...

Steve Zhou, CFA

HSIE Results Daily: Asian Paints, Shriram Finance, Colgate Palmolive, Westlife Foodworld, Symphony

Decorative business clocked 6/1.1% volume/value growth in Q2FY24. The mix was economy range-heavy. Urban markets (high-single-digit growth)...

HDFC Securities

[Week 5] Namaste India 🙏 | BYD (1211 HK) | Playing Defence

​Bullish market sentiment favours INDA/SMIN Long/Short strategy; BYD showroom visit reveals defensive strategy in India; other names include Asian...

Pranav Bhavsar

Screening for GEMs: October 2023

This insight provides an overview of our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, based on a Multifactor model, a Deep Neural...

Wium Malan, CFA

Nippon Paint Holdings reported strong 3Q23 results, mainly driven by its resilient China decorative paint business. The company also raised its...

Bullish market sentiment favours INDA/SMIN Long/Short strategy; BYD showroom visit reveals defensive strategy in India; other names include Asian...