Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Q324 revenues of $2.84 billion, at the upper end of the guided range, up 10.5% QoQ and up 18.3% YoY</li>
<li>Q424 revenue guide of 2.95 billion, plus or minus $150 million. This represents a ~4% QoQ increase and a 18.6% increase YoY</li>
<li>CEO Rick Wallace: "for years now, we've really had primarily one major player at the leading edge”. That's an interesting comment to make.</li>
</ul>


Q324 revenues of $2.84 billion, at the upper end of the guided range, up 10.5% QoQ and up 18.3% YoY
Q424 revenue guide of 2.95 billion, plus or minus $150 million. This represents a ~4% QoQ increase and a 18.6% increase YoY
CEO Rick Wallace: "for years now, we've really had primarily one major player at the leading edge”. That's an interesting comment to make.


KLAC Q324. Heavy Emphasis On Leading Edge For Growth In 2025

Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors, The Circuit

The Circuit

Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors

A Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors. With Jay Goldberg and Ben Bajarin

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul><li>Quarter results not good, guidance for next quarter negative, stock down</li><li>Intel and Samsung causing order push outs for ASML</li><li>ASML facing cyclical challenges in semiconductor industry, potential impact on future manufacturing partnerships with TSMC and Intel</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></p>

Quarter results not good, guidance for next quarter negative, stock downIntel and Samsung causing order push outs for ASMLASML facing cyclical challenges in semiconductor industry, potential impact on future manufacturing partnerships with TSMC and IntelThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Episode 90: TSMC/ASML Earnings Signals, X86 Consortium, Nuclear Trending

<ul>
<li>Q324 revenues of $4.17 billion, marginally higher than guided, up 7.8% QoQ and up 19.8% YoY. </li>
<li>Guided Q424 revenues of $4.3 billion at the midpoint for a 3.1% QoQ increase and a 14.4% YoY increase.</li>
<li>Q324 was LRCX fifth consecutive growth quarter, however they are still down ~$1.1 billion from their peak quarterly revenue in Q422</li>
</ul>


Q324 revenues of $4.17 billion, marginally higher than guided, up 7.8% QoQ and up 19.8% YoY. 
Guided Q424 revenues of $4.3 billion at the midpoint for a 3.1% QoQ increase and a 14.4% YoY increase.
Q324 was LRCX fifth consecutive growth quarter, however they are still down ~$1.1 billion from their peak quarterly revenue in Q422


LRCX. Cautiously Optimistic For Growth & WFE Outperformance in 2025 & Beyond

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

<ul><li>ASML Holding N.V. reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2024, highlighting both achievements and challenges.</li><li>The company recorded total net sales of EUR 7.5 billion, surpassing its own guidance, largely due to increased sales of deep ultraviolet (deep UV) systems and heightened Installed Base Management sales.</li><li>Net income for the quarter was EUR 2.1 billion, representing 27.8% of total net sales, with an EPS of EUR 5.28.</li></ul>

ASML Holding N.V. reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2024, highlighting both achievements and challenges.The company recorded total net sales of EUR 7.5 billion, surpassing its own guidance, largely due to increased sales of deep ultraviolet (deep UV) systems and heightened Installed Base Management sales.Net income for the quarter was EUR 2.1 billion, representing 27.8% of total net sales, with an EPS of EUR 5.28.

China Woes and Weak Sales Projections Send ASML Shares Plunging—Is AI Still a Lifeline?

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors, Fabricated Knowledge

Douglas O'Laughlin

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors

Fabricated Knowledge

Learn more about the world's most important manufactured product. Meaningful insight, timely analysis, and an occasional investment idea.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>I don’t think it’s been any secret that I’ve been a peak litho bear for quite some time. I think we are finally seeing reality hit the company and the stock. Let’s discuss earnings, and then I’ll talk about peak lithography and TSMC.</li><li>ASML accidentally leaked earnings this week, and the leak wasn’t good. They beat Q3, but the issue was the outlook for next year and orders coming way below expectations. It’s funny because Q4 revenue is expected to accelerate, but no one is paying attention to that.\</li><li>Memory was half of the measly 2.6 billion-order book and is likely driven more by DUV for HBM than logic High NA.</li></ul>

I don’t think it’s been any secret that I’ve been a peak litho bear for quite some time. I think we are finally seeing reality hit the company and the stock. Let’s discuss earnings, and then I’ll talk about peak lithography and TSMC.ASML accidentally leaked earnings this week, and the leak wasn’t good. They beat Q3, but the issue was the outlook for next year and orders coming way below expectations. It’s funny because Q4 revenue is expected to accelerate, but no one is paying attention to that.\Memory was half of the measly 2.6 billion-order book and is likely driven more by DUV for HBM than logic High NA.

Netherlands

ASML Holding N.V. develops, produces, and markets semiconductor manufacturing equipment, specifically machines for the production of chips through lithography. The Company services clients world wide.

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ASML Holding NV (ASML NA)

KLAC Q324. Heavy Emphasis On Leading Edge For Growth In 2025

Q324 $2.84 billion, +10.5% QoQ & +18.3% YoY. Q424 guide $2.95 billion, +4% QoQ & +18.6% YoY. CEO states "for years now, we've really had primarily...

William Keating

LRCX. Cautiously Optimistic For Growth & WFE Outperformance in 2025 & Beyond

Q324 $4.17 billion, +7.8% QoQ, +19.8% YoY. Q424 guide $4.3 billion, +3.1% QoQ, +14.4% YoY. Despite it being their fifth growth quarter in a row,...

William Keating

China Woes and Weak Sales Projections Send ASML Shares Plunging—Is AI Still a Lifeline?

ASML Holding N.V. reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2024, highlighting both achievements and challenges. The company...

Baptista Research

Earnings: TSMC, ASML, AEHR, Telecom

I don’t think it’s been any secret that I’ve been a peak litho bear for quite some time. I think we are finally seeing reality hit the company and...

Fabricated Knowledge

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KLAC Q324. Heavy Emphasis On Leading Edge For Growth In 2025

Q324 $2.84 billion, +10.5% QoQ & +18.3% YoY. Q424 guide $2.95 billion, +4% QoQ & +18.6% YoY. CEO states "for years now, we've really had primarily...

William Keating

Episode 90: TSMC/ASML Earnings Signals, X86 Consortium, Nuclear Trending

ASML's stock price dropped due to poor quarter results attributed to delayed orders from Intel and Samsung, as well as soft orders from China,...

The Circuit

LRCX. Cautiously Optimistic For Growth & WFE Outperformance in 2025 & Beyond

Q324 $4.17 billion, +7.8% QoQ, +19.8% YoY. Q424 guide $4.3 billion, +3.1% QoQ, +14.4% YoY. Despite it being their fifth growth quarter in a row,...

William Keating

China Woes and Weak Sales Projections Send ASML Shares Plunging—Is AI Still a Lifeline?

ASML Holding N.V. reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2024, highlighting both achievements and challenges. The company...

Baptista Research

Earnings: TSMC, ASML, AEHR, Telecom

I don’t think it’s been any secret that I’ve been a peak litho bear for quite some time. I think we are finally seeing reality hit the company and...

Fabricated Knowledge