Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>CSPC Pharmaceutical entered into an exclusive license agreement with AstraZeneca for the global development, manufacture, and commercialization bad cholesterol lowering drug candidate YS2302018.</li>
<li>Ono Pharmaceutical entered into a license agreement with LigaChem Biosciences for LCB97, a pre-clinical stage antibody-drug conjugate (ADC) aimed at being a first-in-class drug in the field of solid tumors.</li>
<li>The U.S. International Trade Commission (ITC) has issued final ruling in favor of Hugel. This should accelerate Hugel’s business expansion in the U.S.</li>
</ul>


CSPC Pharmaceutical entered into an exclusive license agreement with AstraZeneca for the global development, manufacture, and commercialization bad cholesterol lowering drug candidate YS2302018.
Ono Pharmaceutical entered into a license agreement with LigaChem Biosciences for LCB97, a pre-clinical stage antibody-drug conjugate (ADC) aimed at being a first-in-class drug in the field of solid tumors.
The U.S. International Trade Commission (ITC) has issued final ruling in favor of Hugel. This should accelerate Hugel’s business expansion in the U.S.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (Oct 13)- CSPC Pharma, Hugel, Astellas, Ono Pharma, and Hanmi Pharm

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Upstream Bio, a biotech company focused on developing therapeutics that address severe asthma, CRSwNP and COPD, will price its IPO in October.</li>
<li>Upstream Bio has raised ~$400M to date. Their last round was a $200M Series B led by private equity firm Enavate Sciences and Venrock Healthcare Capital Partners.</li>
<li>My DCF analysis suggests that Upstream Bio's core U.S. business (ex. COPD) may be worth ~$1.8B. The severe asthma and CRSwNP markets represent a potential $10B+ opportunity.</li>
</ul>


Upstream Bio, a biotech company focused on developing therapeutics that address severe asthma, CRSwNP and COPD, will price its IPO in October.
Upstream Bio has raised ~$400M to date. Their last round was a $200M Series B led by private equity firm Enavate Sciences and Venrock Healthcare Capital Partners.
My DCF analysis suggests that Upstream Bio's core U.S. business (ex. COPD) may be worth ~$1.8B. The severe asthma and CRSwNP markets represent a potential $10B+ opportunity.


Upstream Bio Valuation Summary, DCF Analysis Suggests U.S. Business (Ex. COPD) Is Worth ~$1.8B

<ul>
<li>Upstream Bio, a clinical-stage biotech company developing novel therapies for inflammatory and allergic diseases, filed for an IPO in the United States.</li>
<li>The biotech firm was backed by premier investors, including OrbiMed, Access Industries, Maruho Co., Samsara BioCapital, Omega Funds, and Enavate Sciences, among others.</li>
<li>I believe that company’s lead compound, verekitug (UPB-101), has a broader commercial opportunity than many investors appreciate.</li>
</ul>


Upstream Bio, a clinical-stage biotech company developing novel therapies for inflammatory and allergic diseases, filed for an IPO in the United States.
The biotech firm was backed by premier investors, including OrbiMed, Access Industries, Maruho Co., Samsara BioCapital, Omega Funds, and Enavate Sciences, among others.
I believe that company’s lead compound, verekitug (UPB-101), has a broader commercial opportunity than many investors appreciate.


Upstream Bio IPO Preview: Severe Asthma/CRSwNP Program Advancing

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zai-lab-ltd-94df40cf-c15e-462f-b3de-8d2d434ae935" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36261:1" rel="noopener">Zai Lab (9688 HK)</a> recorded Vyvgart revenue of $10M, $13M, and $23M in 4Q23, 1Q24, and 2Q24, respectively. The company raised 2024 Vyvgart revenue guidance to $80M from $70M earlier.</li>
<li>Despite strong momentum from Vyvgart, Zai Lab still has a lot of pain points. Decelerating revenue growth from Zejula is one of them.</li>
<li>Due to its in-licensing business model, Zai Lab has lower gross profit margin of 64–65%, compared with ~80% for a typical innovator biotech company.</li>
</ul>



Zai Lab (9688 HK) recorded Vyvgart revenue of $10M, $13M, and $23M in 4Q23, 1Q24, and 2Q24, respectively. The company raised 2024 Vyvgart revenue guidance to $80M from $70M earlier.
Despite strong momentum from Vyvgart, Zai Lab still has a lot of pain points. Decelerating revenue growth from Zejula is one of them.
Due to its in-licensing business model, Zai Lab has lower gross profit margin of 64–65%, compared with ~80% for a typical innovator biotech company.


Zai Lab (9688 HK): Vyvgart Is Not the De-Risking Tool; Future Is Still Uncertain

Clarity Pharmaceuticals Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/clarity-pharmaceuticals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34095:1" rel="noopener">Clarity Pharmaceuticals Ltd (CU6 AU)</a> received FDA fast track designation for its lead candidate 64Cu-SAR-bisPSMA for PET imaging of prostate cancer lesions. Currently, 64Cu-SAR-bisPSMA is in phase 3 trial.</li>
<li>If approved, 64Cu-SAR-bisPSMA has the potential the best-in-class diagnostic as the product has improved lesion detection capability compared to existing prostate cancer diagnostics.</li>
<li>Clarity’s copper platform, strong prostate pipeline and therapeutic and diagnostic efficacy data represents an attractive opportunity to grow a significant radiopharmaceutical franchise in oncology and other indications.</li>
</ul>



Clarity Pharmaceuticals Ltd (CU6 AU) received FDA fast track designation for its lead candidate 64Cu-SAR-bisPSMA for PET imaging of prostate cancer lesions. Currently, 64Cu-SAR-bisPSMA is in phase 3 trial.
If approved, 64Cu-SAR-bisPSMA has the potential the best-in-class diagnostic as the product has improved lesion detection capability compared to existing prostate cancer diagnostics.
Clarity’s copper platform, strong prostate pipeline and therapeutic and diagnostic efficacy data represents an attractive opportunity to grow a significant radiopharmaceutical franchise in oncology and other indications.


Clarity Pharmaceuticals Ltd (CU6 AU): An Attractive Bet on Red Hot Radiopharmaceutical Field

United Kingdom

AstraZeneca PLC operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, researches, manufactures, and sells pharmaceutical and medical products. AstraZeneca focuses its operations on eight therapeutic areas, including gastrointestinal, oncology, cardiovascular, respiratory, central nervous system, pain control, anaesthesia, and infection.

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AstraZeneca (AZN SS)

APAC Healthcare Weekly (Oct 13)- CSPC Pharma, Hugel, Astellas, Ono Pharma, and Hanmi Pharm

Nobel Peace prize comes in the backdrop of a series of conflicts in the Middle East, Ukraine, and Sudan. However, far away from the conflict zones,...

Tina Banerjee

Upstream Bio Valuation Summary, DCF Analysis Suggests U.S. Business (Ex. COPD) Is Worth ~$1.8B

In my insight, I discuss DCF valuation for biotech company Upstream Bio ahead of upcoming IPO, which is expected to be priced in October

Andrei Zakharov

Upstream Bio IPO Preview: Severe Asthma/CRSwNP Program Advancing

Upstream Bio, a clinical-stage biotech company focused on severe asthma, CRSwNP, COPD, filed for US IPO. Their ex-Astellas monoclonal antibody,...

Andrei Zakharov

Zai Lab (9688 HK): Vyvgart Is Not the De-Risking Tool; Future Is Still Uncertain

Zai Lab's Vyvgart revenue sees significant growth, but challenges remain with decelerating Zejula revenue and lower gross profit margins due to in...

Tina Banerjee

Clarity Pharmaceuticals Ltd (CU6 AU): An Attractive Bet on Red Hot Radiopharmaceutical Field

Clarity’s copper platform, strong prostate pipeline and therapeutic and diagnostic efficacy data represent an attractive opportunity to grow a...

Tina Banerjee

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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APAC Healthcare Weekly (Oct 13)- CSPC Pharma, Hugel, Astellas, Ono Pharma, and Hanmi Pharm

Nobel Peace prize comes in the backdrop of a series of conflicts in the Middle East, Ukraine, and Sudan. However, far away from the conflict zones,...

Tina Banerjee

Upstream Bio Valuation Summary, DCF Analysis Suggests U.S. Business (Ex. COPD) Is Worth ~$1.8B

In my insight, I discuss DCF valuation for biotech company Upstream Bio ahead of upcoming IPO, which is expected to be priced in October

Andrei Zakharov

Upstream Bio IPO Preview: Severe Asthma/CRSwNP Program Advancing

Upstream Bio, a clinical-stage biotech company focused on severe asthma, CRSwNP, COPD, filed for US IPO. Their ex-Astellas monoclonal antibody,...

Andrei Zakharov

Zai Lab (9688 HK): Vyvgart Is Not the De-Risking Tool; Future Is Still Uncertain

​Zai Lab's Vyvgart revenue sees significant growth, but challenges remain with decelerating Zejula revenue and lower gross profit margins due to in...

Tina Banerjee

Clarity Pharmaceuticals Ltd (CU6 AU): An Attractive Bet on Red Hot Radiopharmaceutical Field

Clarity’s copper platform, strong prostate pipeline and therapeutic and diagnostic efficacy data represent an attractive opportunity to grow a...

Tina Banerjee

Zai Lab's Vyvgart revenue sees significant growth, but challenges remain with decelerating Zejula revenue and lower gross profit margins due to in...