Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/firmus-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46219:1" rel="noopener">Firmus Technologies (FIRMUS AU)</a> has reportedly priced its IPO at A$11/share with an aim to raise A$7.1bn. There is also an overallotment option of another A$0.7bn.</li>
<li>At the IPO price, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/firmus-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46219:1" rel="noopener">Firmus Technologies (FIRMUS AU)</a> will have a full market cap of A$43.5bn (US$30.2bn) and an enterprise value of around US$60bn.</li>
<li>There could be one global index Fast Entry, with other index inclusions coming in February and March. Size and timing of the passive flows depends on the lock-up schedule.</li>
</ul>



Firmus Technologies (FIRMUS AU) has reportedly priced its IPO at A$11/share with an aim to raise A$7.1bn. There is also an overallotment option of another A$0.7bn.
At the IPO price, Firmus Technologies (FIRMUS AU) will have a full market cap of A$43.5bn (US$30.2bn) and an enterprise value of around US$60bn.
There could be one global index Fast Entry, with other index inclusions coming in February and March. Size and timing of the passive flows depends on the lock-up schedule.


Firmus Technologies (FIRMUS AU) IPO: Lock-Up Schedule to Drive Index Inclusion, Timing & Flow

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

National Stock Exchange of India / Equity Capital Markets

National Stock Exchange of India (NSE IN)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/national-stock-exchange" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23751:1" rel="noopener">National Stock Exchange (NSEIN IN)</a> raised about US$2.4bn in its India IPO.</li>
<li>NSE operates electronic platforms for trading equities, derivatives, currencies, and debt securities, also earning revenue from clearing and settlement services, market data, index licensing, listing fees, connectivity, and technology services.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



National Stock Exchange (NSEIN IN) raised about US$2.4bn in its India IPO.
NSE operates electronic platforms for trading equities, derivatives, currencies, and debt securities, also earning revenue from clearing and settlement services, market data, index licensing, listing fees, connectivity, and technology services.
We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.


Aequtias: NSE IPO Trading - Weakish Demand Probably Flattish Debut

Index Rebalance

National Stock Exchange of India / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/national-stock-exchange" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23751:1" rel="noopener">National Stock Exchange (NSEIN IN)</a> is looking to raise about US$2.4bn in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>NSE operates electronic platforms for trading equities, derivatives, currencies, and debt securities, also earning revenue from clearing and settlement services, market data, index licensing, listing fees, connectivity, and technology services.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the index impact, or lack thereof.</li>
</ul>



National Stock Exchange (NSEIN IN) is looking to raise about US$2.4bn in its upcoming India IPO.
NSE operates electronic platforms for trading equities, derivatives, currencies, and debt securities, also earning revenue from clearing and settlement services, market data, index licensing, listing fees, connectivity, and technology services.
We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the index impact, or lack thereof.


Aequitas: NSE IPO -Index Flows Won’t Help in the near Term but Will Pickup Later

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (TSM US)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +9.9% Premium; Below -1 SD Band; Long the ADR Spread</li>
<li>UMC: -2.9% Discount; Below -1 SD Band; Long the ADR Spread</li>
<li>ASE: +2.4% Premium; Within Recent Historical Range; No Active Trade Signal</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +9.9% Premium; Below -1 SD Band; Long the ADR Spread
UMC: -2.9% Discount; Below -1 SD Band; Long the ADR Spread
ASE: +2.4% Premium; Within Recent Historical Range; No Active Trade Signal


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread Now Near Multi-Year Lows

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Aug 21st (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD50.2bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in JB Hi-Fi, CSL, Transurban, NEWMONT, Zip.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Aug 21st (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD50.2bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in JB Hi-Fi, CSL, Transurban, NEWMONT, Zip.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 21st): JB Hi-Fi, CSL, Transurban, NEWMONT, Zip

Australia

ASX Ltd is a demutualized company which operates Australia's primary national stock exchange and equity derivatives market. The ASX operates markets for equities, derivatives, fixed-interest securities and capital-raising for unlisted companies using advanced computer systems for both trading and settlement.

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ASX Ltd (ASX AU)

Firmus Technologies (FIRMUS AU) IPO: Lock-Up Schedule to Drive Index Inclusion, Timing & Flow

Firmus has reportedly priced its IPO at A$11/share with an aim to raise A$7.1bn at a post-money valuation of A$43.5bn. The pre-IPO lock-up schedule...

Brian Freitas

Aequtias: NSE IPO Trading - Weakish Demand Probably Flattish Debut

National Stock Exchange (NSEIN IN) raised about US$2.4bn in its India IPO. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

Aequitas: NSE IPO -Index Flows Won’t Help in the near Term but Will Pickup Later

National Stock Exchange (NSEIN IN) is looking to raise about US$2.4bn in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the index flows or...

Sumeet Singh

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread Now Near Multi-Year Lows

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 21st): JB Hi-Fi, CSL, Transurban, NEWMONT, Zip

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in JB Hi-Fi, CSL, Transurban, NEWMONT, Zip.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)