Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 119.1% as of Oct 27th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -1.7ppt week on week, led by utilities, consumer discretionary, industrials and offset by consumer staples.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Beigene, China Merchants Securities, Guangzhou Auto, China Longyuan.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 119.1% as of Oct 27th.
The average A-H premium changed by -1.7ppt week on week, led by utilities, consumer discretionary, industrials and offset by consumer staples.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Beigene, China Merchants Securities, Guangzhou Auto, China Longyuan.


A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 27th): Beigene, CMS, Guangzhou Auto, China Longyuan

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Asymchem Laboratories Tianjin / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>CDMO business usually have higher certainty/profit margin, and would be affected by the deterioration of overseas financing environment much later than CRO business. So, we prefer Asymchem to WuXi AppTec.</li>
<li>Total market size of GLP-1s could exceed the sum of semaglutide + the vast majority of chronic disease drugs.No matter how GLP-1s expand indications, Asymchem has the opportunity to benefit.</li>
<li>Asymchem needs to secure a large order related to GLP-1 drugs. Such big catalyst would certainly boost stock price, just like when COVID-19 order was received in November 2021.</li>
</ul>


CDMO business usually have higher certainty/profit margin, and would be affected by the deterioration of overseas financing environment much later than CRO business. So, we prefer Asymchem to WuXi AppTec.
Total market size of GLP-1s could exceed the sum of semaglutide + the vast majority of chronic disease drugs.No matter how GLP-1s expand indications, Asymchem has the opportunity to benefit.
Asymchem needs to secure a large order related to GLP-1 drugs. Such big catalyst would certainly boost stock price, just like when COVID-19 order was received in November 2021.


Asymchem Laboratories (6821.HK/002821.CH) - A Heartening Rise in Share Price Could Be Drawing Near

<ul>
<li>Weight loss drug business has indeed significantly alleviated concerns about overcapacity issue in those leading CDMOs, but they do not have such a strong driving force on CROs.</li>
<li>The last straw that hits an industry is often not due to the disappearance of demographic dividends/declining demand/poor financial performance of companies, etc., but rather to policy-guided capital flows.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/3d-medicines-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33790:1" rel="noopener">3D Medicines (1244 HK)</a> can be said a typical negative example in biopharmaceutical industry, and it is easy to be “manipulated”. We recommend investors stay away from such high-risk company.</li>
</ul>


Weight loss drug business has indeed significantly alleviated concerns about overcapacity issue in those leading CDMOs, but they do not have such a strong driving force on CROs.
The last straw that hits an industry is often not due to the disappearance of demographic dividends/declining demand/poor financial performance of companies, etc., but rather to policy-guided capital flows.

3D Medicines (1244 HK) can be said a typical negative example in biopharmaceutical industry, and it is easy to be “manipulated”. We recommend investors stay away from such high-risk company.


China Healthcare Weekly (Oct.6) - Weight Loss Drug CXO, Policy-Guided Capital Flows, 3D Medicines

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

Innovent Biologics Inc / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innovent-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27452:1" rel="noopener">Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK)</a> (IB) aims to raise around US$313m for R&amp;D and marketing.</li>
<li>The company has undertaken a number of deals in the past, with the overall results being mixed.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK) (IB) aims to raise around US$313m for R&amp;D and marketing.
The company has undertaken a number of deals in the past, with the overall results being mixed.
In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Innovent Biologics Placement - Has Ample Cash but the Discount Is Enticing

<ul>
<li>Understanding the essential differences in business characteristics of CRO and CDMO could help investors better understand the differences between Asymchem and Pharmaron in terms of investment logic, financial performance, and prospects.</li>
<li>Since Pharmaron didn’t obtain COVID-19 big orders, it would maintain normal revenue growth in 2023. However, increasing labor costs and uncontrollable investment business would lead to unsatisfactory net profit performance.</li>
<li>Asymchem’s performance would be disappointing in 2023. However, its growth momentum is expected to restore after it digest the impact of COVID-19 orders. Then, Asymchem’s valuation could surpass Pharmaron afterwards. </li>
</ul>


Understanding the essential differences in business characteristics of CRO and CDMO could help investors better understand the differences between Asymchem and Pharmaron in terms of investment logic, financial performance, and prospects.
Since Pharmaron didn’t obtain COVID-19 big orders, it would maintain normal revenue growth in 2023. However, increasing labor costs and uncontrollable investment business would lead to unsatisfactory net profit performance.
Asymchem’s performance would be disappointing in 2023. However, its growth momentum is expected to restore after it digest the impact of COVID-19 orders. Then, Asymchem’s valuation could surpass Pharmaron afterwards. 


Asymchem Laboratories (6821.HK) Vs Pharmaron Beijing (3759.HK) - Deep Dive the Logic and the Outlook

China

Asymchem Laboratories (Tianjin) Co., Ltd. operates as a pharmaceutical company. The Company researches, produces, and sells organic and inorganic chemicals, medicines, and other related products. Asymchem Laboratories serves customers worldwide.

Asymchem Laboratories Tianjin (002821 CH)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Asymchem Laboratories Tianjin (002821 CH)

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 27th): Beigene, CMS, Guangzhou Auto, China Longyuan

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Beigene, China Merchants Securities, Guangzhou Auto, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Healthcare Weekly (Oct.6) - Weight Loss Drug CXO, Policy-Guided Capital Flows, 3D Medicines

Weight loss drug business would indeed bring opportunity to CDMO, but not CRO. Investors may need to pay attention to policy-guided capital...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Innovent Biologics Placement - Has Ample Cash but the Discount Is Enticing

Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK) (IB) aims to raise around US$313m for R&D and marketing. In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the...

Sumeet Singh

Asymchem Laboratories (6821.HK) Vs Pharmaron Beijing (3759.HK) - Deep Dive the Logic and the Outlook

The different business nature of CRO and CDMO leads to different investment logic/outlook for Pharmaron and Asymchem. So, the current performance...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 27th): Beigene, CMS, Guangzhou Auto, China Longyuan

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Beigene, China Merchants Securities, Guangzhou Auto, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asymchem Laboratories (6821.HK/002821.CH) - A Heartening Rise in Share Price Could Be Drawing Near

CDMO has more opportunity than CRO in the wave of GLP-1s. Asymchem has the opportunity to benefit no matter how GLP-1s expand indications. We hope...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Oct.6) - Weight Loss Drug CXO, Policy-Guided Capital Flows, 3D Medicines

Weight loss drug business would indeed bring opportunity to CDMO, but not CRO. Investors may need to pay attention to policy-guided capital...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Innovent Biologics Placement - Has Ample Cash but the Discount Is Enticing

Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK) (IB) aims to raise around US$313m for R&D and marketing. In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the...

Sumeet Singh

Asymchem Laboratories (6821.HK) Vs Pharmaron Beijing (3759.HK) - Deep Dive the Logic and the Outlook

The different business nature of CRO and CDMO leads to different investment logic/outlook for Pharmaron and Asymchem. So, the current performance...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang