External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

Atour Lifestyle Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>The hotel sector continues to be under pressure in 4Q24E as weakness is seen during the post-National Day holidays period, and this may have explained management’s prudent guidance of hotel RevPAR in FY24E.</li><li>However, supported by accelerated store expansion, better-than-expected hotel supply chain sales and robust retail business, we are still optimistic about FY25E.</li><li>Maintain BUY and raise TP to US$ 32.01, based on 18x FY25E P/E (rolled over from 23x FY24E P/E), vs current valuation of 15x FY25E P/E.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

The hotel sector continues to be under pressure in 4Q24E as weakness is seen during the post-National Day holidays period, and this may have explained management’s prudent guidance of hotel RevPAR in FY24E.However, supported by accelerated store expansion, better-than-expected hotel supply chain sales and robust retail business, we are still optimistic about FY25E.Maintain BUY and raise TP to US$ 32.01, based on 18x FY25E P/E (rolled over from 23x FY24E P/E), vs current valuation of 15x FY25E P/E.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Atour Lifestyle (ATAT US) - Prudent RevPAR Outlook Offset by Other Initiatives

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>Based on Atour (ATAT)'s strong pillow sales in 11.11, we raised C4Q24/2025 revenue estimate by 6.9%/7.1%. Our number is now 7.9%/15% higher than consensus;</li>
<li>The outstanding performance of the retail business may draw more consumer attention to the brand, thus bring contribute to Atour's hotel expansion.</li>
<li>We raise the TP by US$1 to US$37/ADS and maintain the BUY rating.</li>
</ul>


Based on Atour (ATAT)'s strong pillow sales in 11.11, we raised C4Q24/2025 revenue estimate by 6.9%/7.1%. Our number is now 7.9%/15% higher than consensus;
The outstanding performance of the retail business may draw more consumer attention to the brand, thus bring contribute to Atour's hotel expansion.
We raise the TP by US$1 to US$37/ADS and maintain the BUY rating.


[Atour (ATAT US, BUY, TP US$37) TP Change]: Strong 11.11 Sales Recalibrate E-Commerce Potential

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>BEKE US: Government cut property transaction related taxes, saving 2.5%-4.5% of transaction costs per unit(+)</li>
<li>1211 HK/TSLA US/1810 HK/XPEV US/NIO US/LI US: EV deliveries in the 45th week of 2024, Xiaomi rebounds, Tesla is strong, NIO and Xpeng are weak （///////////）</li>
<li>ATAT US: Atour Pillow's Double 11 Sales Exceed Expectations, Reaching RMB520mn（+）</li>
</ul>


BEKE US: Government cut property transaction related taxes, saving 2.5%-4.5% of transaction costs per unit(+)
1211 HK/TSLA US/1810 HK/XPEV US/NIO US/LI US: EV deliveries in the 45th week of 2024, Xiaomi rebounds, Tesla is strong, NIO and Xpeng are weak （///////////）
ATAT US: Atour Pillow's Double 11 Sales Exceed Expectations, Reaching RMB520mn（+）


[Blue Lotus Daily]:BEKE US/1211 HK/TSLA US/1810 HK/XPEV US/NIO US/LI US/ATAT US/BIDU US

<ul>
<li>While Trump's sweeping wins in presidential, senate and house, and supreme court earlier gave him unprecedented mandate to reform the US economy, his agenda is unrealistic to begin with; </li>
<li>ADS/Electrification, GAI/renewable/employment, (3) inflation/trade/ immigration are just three that the Trump Administration will likely backpedal.  Execution of Trump's economic agenda requires perfect coordination which is tough to pull off</li>
<li>For a short term trade, we recommend PDD and BYD. We also like Xiaomi. Consumption stocks can benefit from stimulus package from the Chinese government.</li>
</ul>


While Trump's sweeping wins in presidential, senate and house, and supreme court earlier gave him unprecedented mandate to reform the US economy, his agenda is unrealistic to begin with; 
ADS/Electrification, GAI/renewable/employment, (3) inflation/trade/ immigration are just three that the Trump Administration will likely backpedal.  Execution of Trump's economic agenda requires perfect coordination which is tough to pull off
For a short term trade, we recommend PDD and BYD. We also like Xiaomi. Consumption stocks can benefit from stimulus package from the Chinese government.


What Trump Can and Cannot Accomplish in His 2nd Term

<ul>
<li>1211 HK/XPEV US:Shanghai Further Offers Car Trade-in Subsidies . (+)</li>
<li>ATAT US: China hotel industry remains lukewarm in 3Q24 (-)</li>
<li>ATAT US:Hotel bookings in Shanghai during the CIIE increase by 80% year-on-year (+)</li>
</ul>


1211 HK/XPEV US:Shanghai Further Offers Car Trade-in Subsidies . (+)
ATAT US: China hotel industry remains lukewarm in 3Q24 (-)
ATAT US:Hotel bookings in Shanghai during the CIIE increase by 80% year-on-year (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/XPEV US/ATAT US/ZTO US/BABA US/Real Estate News Update/Consumer Sector

China

Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, owns and manages midscale hotel chain through offline and online channels, including mobile application and weixin-wechat mini program. Atour Lifestyle Holdings serves customers in China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
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Atour Lifestyle Holdings (ATAT US)

Atour Lifestyle (ATAT US) - Prudent RevPAR Outlook Offset by Other Initiatives

Maintain BUY and raise TP to US$ 32.01, based on 18x FY25E P/E (rolled over from 23x FY24E P/E), vs current valuation of 15x FY25E P/E.

CMB International

[Atour (ATAT US, BUY, TP US$37) TP Change]: Strong 11.11 Sales Recalibrate E-Commerce Potential

Atour's strong pillow sales on 11.11 lead to increased revenue estimates and potential for hotel expansion, prompting a raise in target price and...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:BEKE US/1211 HK/TSLA US/1810 HK/XPEV US/NIO US/LI US/ATAT US/BIDU US

Government in BEKE US cuts property transaction taxes, saving 2.5%-4.5% per unit; EV deliveries mixed in 45th week, Atour Pillow's Double 11 sales...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

What Trump Can and Cannot Accomplish in His 2nd Term

Trump's ambitious economic agenda faces challenges and backpedaling. We see energy electrification, GAI power demand and inflation/immigration...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/XPEV US/ATAT US/ZTO US/BABA US/Real Estate News Update/Consumer Sector

Shanghai offers car trade-in subsidies, China hotel industry lukewarm in 3Q24, but hotel bookings in Shanghai during CIIE surge by 80% year-on-year.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Atour Lifestyle (ATAT US) - Prudent RevPAR Outlook Offset by Other Initiatives

Maintain BUY and raise TP to US$ 32.01, based on 18x FY25E P/E (rolled over from 23x FY24E P/E), vs current valuation of 15x FY25E P/E.

CMB International

[Atour (ATAT US, BUY, TP US$37) TP Change]: Strong 11.11 Sales Recalibrate E-Commerce Potential

​Atour's strong pillow sales on 11.11 lead to increased revenue estimates and potential for hotel expansion, prompting a raise in target price and...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:BEKE US/1211 HK/TSLA US/1810 HK/XPEV US/NIO US/LI US/ATAT US/BIDU US

​Government in BEKE US cuts property transaction taxes, saving 2.5%-4.5% per unit; EV deliveries mixed in 45th week, Atour Pillow's Double 11 sales...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

What Trump Can and Cannot Accomplish in His 2nd Term

​Trump's ambitious economic agenda faces challenges and backpedaling. We see energy electrification, GAI power demand and inflation/immigration...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/XPEV US/ATAT US/ZTO US/BABA US/Real Estate News Update/Consumer Sector

​Shanghai offers car trade-in subsidies, China hotel industry lukewarm in 3Q24, but hotel bookings in Shanghai during CIIE surge by 80% year-on-year.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Atour's strong pillow sales on 11.11 lead to increased revenue estimates and potential for hotel expansion, prompting a raise in target price and...

Government in BEKE US cuts property transaction taxes, saving 2.5%-4.5% per unit; EV deliveries mixed in 45th week, Atour Pillow's Double 11 sales...

Trump's ambitious economic agenda faces challenges and backpedaling. We see energy electrification, GAI power demand and inflation/immigration...

Shanghai offers car trade-in subsidies, China hotel industry lukewarm in 3Q24, but hotel bookings in Shanghai during CIIE surge by 80% year-on-year.