Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>It was a busy week with index rebalance implementations and announcements of index changes.</li>
<li>The coming week has the KOSPI200 and KOSDAQ150 rebalancing on Thursday and a bunch of onshore China indices rebalancing on Friday.</li>
<li>There were big inflows to China ETFs during the week while the largest inflows went to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK)</a> ETF.</li>
</ul>


It was a busy week with index rebalance implementations and announcements of index changes.
The coming week has the KOSPI200 and KOSDAQ150 rebalancing on Thursday and a bunch of onshore China indices rebalancing on Friday.
There were big inflows to China ETFs during the week while the largest inflows went to the Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK) ETF.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: CSI300/500, Chinext, China Semi Chips, Nifty Next50, SET50, REMX

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>NSE Indices have started a market consultation on dropping stocks that are not a part of the Futures &amp; Options segment from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>This will be done in two phases with a weight reduction for non-F&amp;O stocks in June and deletion from the index in September.</li>
<li>That will result in 11 inclusions to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a> in September and bring in a lot of flow to the stocks.</li>
</ul>


NSE Indices have started a market consultation on dropping stocks that are not a part of the Futures &amp; Options segment from the Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX). 
This will be done in two phases with a weight reduction for non-F&amp;O stocks in June and deletion from the index in September.
That will result in 11 inclusions to the Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) in September and bring in a lot of flow to the stocks.


NIFTY NEXT 50 Index Market Consultation: Non-F&O Stocks Could Be Dropped

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Advances grew by 26/5% YoY/QoQ led by growth in home loans (+61/16% YoY/QoQ), Credit cards (+3.6x YoY), and business banking (+72/14% YoY/QoQ).</li><li>NII grew by 30/5% YoY/QoQ, driven by strong advances growth, and margins contracted by ~20/10bpsYoY/QoQ owing to higher CoF.</li><li>Opex growth remained elevated as the bank continues to invest in building the franchise.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Advances grew by 26/5% YoY/QoQ led by growth in home loans (+61/16% YoY/QoQ), Credit cards (+3.6x YoY), and business banking (+72/14% YoY/QoQ).NII grew by 30/5% YoY/QoQ, driven by strong advances growth, and margins contracted by ~20/10bpsYoY/QoQ owing to higher CoF.Opex growth remained elevated as the bank continues to invest in building the franchise.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

AUBANK IN - Strong Levers for Fee Income Growth to Partially Offset Margin Pressures!

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/home-first-finance-company-india" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28865:1" rel="noopener">Home First Finance (HOMEFIRS IN)</a> lends to a customer segment exposed to high income volatility.</li>
<li>Soft bounces are used by customers to manage their cash flow, with bounce charge collection done on a best-effort basis, management attitude towards financial discipline warrants attention. </li>
<li>While there may not be any immediate asset quality issues, caution is warranted. </li>
</ul>



Home First Finance (HOMEFIRS IN) lends to a customer segment exposed to high income volatility.
Soft bounces are used by customers to manage their cash flow, with bounce charge collection done on a best-effort basis, management attitude towards financial discipline warrants attention. 
While there may not be any immediate asset quality issues, caution is warranted. 


Home First Finance (HOMEFIRS IN) | The Bounce Mystery & Way Forward

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited is an Indian diversified financial services firm offering a range of financial products and services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>AUBANK reported 30% YoY growth in net earnings (8% beat), driven by lower provisions.</li><li>However, operating profit came in line with growth in NII, aided by stable margins and healthy loan growth.</li><li>Gross advances/deposits grew strongly at 38% YoY each, however, CASA deposits witnessed pressure, resulting in CASA ratio moderating to 38%.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

AUBANK reported 30% YoY growth in net earnings (8% beat), driven by lower provisions.However, operating profit came in line with growth in NII, aided by stable margins and healthy loan growth.Gross advances/deposits grew strongly at 38% YoY each, however, CASA deposits witnessed pressure, resulting in CASA ratio moderating to 38%.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

AU Small Finance Bank - Steady Operating Performance; Loan Growth Accelerates

India

AU Small Finance Bank Limited is an Indian scheduled commercial small finance bank. It offers a diverse range of products including savings accounts, current accounts, fixed deposits, loans (vehicle, MSME, housing, personal, gold, agriculture), debit and credit cards, and insurance. The company was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Jaipur, Rajasthan, India.

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AU Small Finance Bank (AUBANK IN)

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: CSI300/500, Chinext, China Semi Chips, Nifty Next50, SET50, REMX

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY NEXT 50 Index Market Consultation: Non-F&O Stocks Could Be Dropped

A market consultation could lead to the deletion of non-F&O stocks from the NIFTY NEXT50 index in September. That means 11 new index members and...

Brian Freitas

AUBANK IN - Strong Levers for Fee Income Growth to Partially Offset Margin Pressures!

Advances grew by 26/5% YoY/QoQ led by growth in home loans (+61/16% YoY/QoQ), Credit cards (+3.6x YoY), and business banking (+72/14% YoY/QoQ).

Axis Direct

Home First Finance (HOMEFIRS IN) | The Bounce Mystery & Way Forward

Affordable housing lenders like HOMEFIRS typically lend to vulnerable customers. Despite efforts, customer behaviour may not change and pose risks...

Pranav Bhavsar

AU Small Finance Bank - Steady Operating Performance; Loan Growth Accelerates

AUBANK reported 30% YoY growth in net earnings (8% beat), driven by lower provisions. However, operating profit came in line with growth in NII,...

Motilal Oswal

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