Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
 Highlights: Currently ten pair trade opportunities persist across four markets and six sectors. 
</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

 Highlights: Currently ten pair trade opportunities persist across four markets and six sectors. 


Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (14 Sep 2026)

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Back on the 10th June, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/steadfast-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8181:1" rel="noopener">Steadfast (SDF AU)</a>entered into a process deal with Amwins/Dragoneer/KKR at A$6/share by way of a Scheme, a 51.9% premium to undisturbed.</li>
<li>The suitors were provided with eight weeks of exclusive due diligence access, which was extended to the 21st August, all while telegraphing negotiations were progressing nicely.</li>
<li>On the 21st August, Steadfast announced Amwins/Dragoneer/KKR had firmed their $6/share Scheme bid. Mid-late December implementation expected. The board is unanimous. The Offer price is not final.</li>
</ul>


Back on the 10th June, Steadfast (SDF AU)entered into a process deal with Amwins/Dragoneer/KKR at A$6/share by way of a Scheme, a 51.9% premium to undisturbed.
The suitors were provided with eight weeks of exclusive due diligence access, which was extended to the 21st August, all while telegraphing negotiations were progressing nicely.
On the 21st August, Steadfast announced Amwins/Dragoneer/KKR had firmed their $6/share Scheme bid. Mid-late December implementation expected. The board is unanimous. The Offer price is not final.


Steadfast (SDF AU): Amwins/Dragoneer/ KKR Firms $6/Share Scheme Offer. Looks Clean

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/steadfast-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8181:1" rel="noopener">Steadfast (SDF AU)</a> has entered a SID with Amwins, Dragoneer and KKR at A$6.00 per share, a 51.9% premium to the undisturbed price of A$3.95.</li>
<li>Since the disclosure of the non-binding proposal, the peers have materially re-rated, and the offer remains light compared to precedent transactions. </li>
<li>However, the scheme vote should pass, as the offer is reasonable relative to peer multiples and AusSuper, the largest shareholder, has not publicly opposed it.  </li>
</ul>



Steadfast (SDF AU) has entered a SID with Amwins, Dragoneer and KKR at A$6.00 per share, a 51.9% premium to the undisturbed price of A$3.95.
Since the disclosure of the non-binding proposal, the peers have materially re-rated, and the offer remains light compared to precedent transactions. 
However, the scheme vote should pass, as the offer is reasonable relative to peer multiples and AusSuper, the largest shareholder, has not publicly opposed it.  


Steadfast (SDF AU): Consortium’s Binding Proposal at A$6.00 as Peers Have Materially Re-Rated

<ul>
<li>Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 27th July, published on the 23st July.</li>
<li>The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$0.8bn into "Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was A$0.1bn out of "Biotech". Net shorts inclined A$1.7bn week-on-week.</li>
<li>Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pro-medicus-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13516:1" rel="noopener">Pro Medicus (PME AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wesfarmers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1104:1" rel="noopener">Wesfarmers (WES AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/computershare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:679:1" rel="noopener">Computershare (CPU AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csl-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:917:1" rel="noopener">CSL (CSL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asx-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:552:1" rel="noopener">ASX (ASX AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stockland" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:661:1" rel="noopener">Stockland (SGP AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 27th July, published on the 23st July.
The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$0.8bn into "Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was A$0.1bn out of "Biotech". Net shorts inclined A$1.7bn week-on-week.
Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: Pro Medicus (PME AU), Wesfarmers (WES AU), Computershare (CPU AU), CSL (CSL AU), ASX (ASX AU), and Stockland (SGP AU).


Aussie Shorts [27July 2026]: Pro Medicus, Wesfarmers, Computershare, CSL, ASX, Stockland

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/steadfast-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8181:1" rel="noopener">Steadfast (SDF AU)</a> disclosed a non-binding proposal from Amwins and Dragoneer at A$6.00 per share, a 51.9% premium to the undisturbed price of A$3.95.</li>
<li>While the offer is attractive relative to peer multiples, it is arguably opportunistic, as it is below the 52-week high and light compared with precedent transactions. </li>
<li>Regulatory approvals are low-risk, and the shareholder structure reduces the scheme voting risk. However, the NBIO could trigger a competing offer. </li>
</ul>



Steadfast (SDF AU) disclosed a non-binding proposal from Amwins and Dragoneer at A$6.00 per share, a 51.9% premium to the undisturbed price of A$3.95.
While the offer is attractive relative to peer multiples, it is arguably opportunistic, as it is below the 52-week high and light compared with precedent transactions. 
Regulatory approvals are low-risk, and the shareholder structure reduces the scheme voting risk. However, the NBIO could trigger a competing offer. 


Steadfast (SDF AU): Amwins and Dragoneer’s NBIO at A$6.00

Australia

AUB Group Limited provides financial services. The Company offers equity-based risk management, insurance broking, and specialist underwriting agencies, as well as focuses on risk solutions for clients and strengthening our partners risk advisory capabilities.

Price Gauge
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AUB Group Limited (AUB AU)

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (14 Sep 2026)

Discover ten pair trade opportunities across four markets and six sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Steadfast (SDF AU): Consortium’s Binding Proposal at A$6.00 as Peers Have Materially Re-Rated

Despite the material re-rating of peers, the scheme vote should pass. At the last close and for an end-of-December payment, the gross/annualised...

Arun George

Aussie Shorts [27July 2026]: Pro Medicus, Wesfarmers, Computershare, CSL, ASX, Stockland

The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$0.8bn into "Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was A$0.1bn out of "Biotech". Net...

David Blennerhassett

Steadfast (SDF AU): Amwins and Dragoneer’s NBIO at A$6.00

While the offer is attractive relative to peer multiples, it is arguably opportunistic, as it is below the 52-week high and light compared with...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (14 Sep 2026)

​Discover ten pair trade opportunities across four markets and six sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Steadfast (SDF AU): Amwins/Dragoneer/ KKR Firms $6/Share Scheme Offer. Looks Clean

Terms are fair; on par with late-Oct 2025 levels when a workplace complaint emerged. There's an apparent valuation arbitrage between Aussie-listed...

David Blennerhassett

Steadfast (SDF AU): Consortium’s Binding Proposal at A$6.00 as Peers Have Materially Re-Rated

Despite the material re-rating of peers, the scheme vote should pass. At the last close and for an end-of-December payment, the gross/annualised...

Arun George

Aussie Shorts [27July 2026]: Pro Medicus, Wesfarmers, Computershare, CSL, ASX, Stockland

The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$0.8bn into "Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was A$0.1bn out of "Biotech". Net...

David Blennerhassett

Steadfast (SDF AU): Amwins and Dragoneer’s NBIO at A$6.00

While the offer is attractive relative to peer multiples, it is arguably opportunistic, as it is below the 52-week high and light compared with...

Arun George

Discover ten pair trade opportunities across four markets and six sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.