Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Auckland Intl Airport / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Auckland City Council plans to sell around 4.5% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/auckland-intl-airport-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:597:1" rel="noopener">Auckland Intl Airport (AIA NZ)</a> to fund its budget requirements for 2023-24.</li>
<li>The deal is very well flagged with Auckland City Council having publicly stated their intention to sell 7% of the stock in Jun 2023.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


Auckland City Council plans to sell around 4.5% of Auckland Intl Airport (AIA NZ) to fund its budget requirements for 2023-24.
The deal is very well flagged with Auckland City Council having publicly stated their intention to sell 7% of the stock in Jun 2023.
In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Auckland Airport Placement - Well Flagged, LO Support but Still a Bit Tricky

APM Human Services / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apm-human-services-internation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34808:1" rel="noopener">APM Human Services (APM AU)</a> raised about US$730m by selling a mix of primary and secondary shares in Nov 21. The second IPO linked lockup is set to expire next week.</li>
<li>APM is an international human services provider, it runs 800 sites spanning 10 countries with its largest market being Australia.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>



APM Human Services (APM AU) raised about US$730m by selling a mix of primary and secondary shares in Nov 21. The second IPO linked lockup is set to expire next week.
APM is an international human services provider, it runs 800 sites spanning 10 countries with its largest market being Australia.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


APM Human Services IPO Lock-Up - US$400m of Shares Come Free but First PE Needs to Clear Out

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>New release shows surge in Australia residential mortgage non-performing exposures QoQ</li>
<li>From March 2023 to June 2023 these NPLs rose by 10.5% and <span>this is not an annualized rate</span>
</li>
<li>Its total NZ non-performing loans rose from AUD671m to AUD741m or 10.4% QoQ</li>
</ul>


New release shows surge in Australia residential mortgage non-performing exposures QoQ
From March 2023 to June 2023 these NPLs rose by 10.5% and this is not an annualized rate

Its total NZ non-performing loans rose from AUD671m to AUD741m or 10.4% QoQ


Westpac - Non-Performing Exposures in Australia Mortgages Surge in June & NZ Non-Performing Loans

National Australia Bank / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We turn to granular Pillar 3 disclosure of NAB seeing divergent moves in PD buckets</li>
<li>Its worst PD buckets are seeing sharp rise, while best buckets are falling, flat-ish</li>
<li>LT credit cost data, PD buckets, timely CBA data, suggests higher provision costs</li>
</ul>


We turn to granular Pillar 3 disclosure of NAB seeing divergent moves in PD buckets
Its worst PD buckets are seeing sharp rise, while best buckets are falling, flat-ish
LT credit cost data, PD buckets, timely CBA data, suggests higher provision costs


NAB - Pillar 3 Data Shows Worst PD Buckets Highest Growth, Best Buckets Down, Risk To Credit Costs

Commonwealth Bank of Australia / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Credit cost surge in 1H23 is strangely tempered in 2H23 results, although still rising</li>
<li>Despite rising credit costs, they remain at relatively low levels compared with history</li>
<li>Data on credit metrics suggest to us that credit costs should have been higher in 2H23</li>
</ul>


Credit cost surge in 1H23 is strangely tempered in 2H23 results, although still rising
Despite rising credit costs, they remain at relatively low levels compared with history
Data on credit metrics suggest to us that credit costs should have been higher in 2H23


CBA - The Applause Over Results Seem Misplaced, Considering Credit Metrics

Australia

Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Limited provides banking services. The Bank offers accounts checking, savings  deposits, money market, mortgage, and term loans services, as well as card facilities and Internet  banking services. Australia and New Zealand Banking Group serves customers in New Zealand and Australia.

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Australia & New Zealand Bankin (AN3 AU)

Auckland Airport Placement - Well Flagged, LO Support but Still a Bit Tricky

Auckland City Council plans to sell around 4.5% of Auckland Intl Airport (AIA NZ) to fund its budget requirements for 2023-24. In this note, we...

Sumeet Singh

APM Human Services IPO Lock-Up - US$400m of Shares Come Free but First PE Needs to Clear Out

APM Human Services (APM) raised about US$730m by selling a mix of primary and secondary shares in Nov 21. The second IPO linked lockup, worth...

Sumeet Singh

Westpac - Non-Performing Exposures in Australia Mortgages Surge in June & NZ Non-Performing Loans

Surging Australia residential mortgage non-performing loans in June QoQ and also in total NZ loans. Stressed construction ratio is also rising...

Daniel Tabbush

NAB - Pillar 3 Data Shows Worst PD Buckets Highest Growth, Best Buckets Down, Risk To Credit Costs

Pillar 3 data at NAB shows the worst PD buckets seeing rising EAD while the best PD buckets are flat or falling. LT credit costs are around 2-3x...

Daniel Tabbush

CBA - The Applause Over Results Seem Misplaced, Considering Credit Metrics

CBA beat on earnings, but we believe that much of this was achieved through fairly low credit costs, despite what appears to be worsening credit...

Daniel Tabbush

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