Research on Indian Equities, Diary Of A Private Investor

Private Investor

Research on Indian Equities

Diary Of A Private Investor

Diary Of A Private Investor is my attempt to share Notes, Research and Thoughts as I carry out day-to-day chores as a Full-Time Investor in the Indian Equity Markets. I am looking to write about everything markets; from Business Insights, Stock Specific Research, Useful Analysis Concepts and Interesting Perspectives on Investing. I am currently a Full-Time Investor and I’ve been investing for over 6 years now, including professional stints at a couple of Research & Fund Management Firms. Over these years in the market, I’ve had a unique experience to learn the roots of traditional investing as well as the new-age investing frameworks; and with this unique blend is how I approach the Puzzle of Investing.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Retailing is a straight forward business model wherein growth is primarily driven by continuous addition of new stores.</li><li>And the ability to add new stores is dependent on two key aspects- 1. Retailer’s Right To Win Proposition to add new stores makes sense only when the retailer can generate revenues from the new store.</li><li>And this revenue generation from new stores is dependent on the demand of end products and what value one is providing to its customers to capture a part of that demand.</li></ul>

Retailing is a straight forward business model wherein growth is primarily driven by continuous addition of new stores.And the ability to add new stores is dependent on two key aspects- 1. Retailer’s Right To Win Proposition to add new stores makes sense only when the retailer can generate revenues from the new store.And this revenue generation from new stores is dependent on the demand of end products and what value one is providing to its customers to capture a part of that demand.

SSG- The Most Important Metric in Retailing

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meesho-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35872:1" rel="noopener">Meesho (MEESHO IN)</a> raised about US$600m in its Dec 2025 India IPO. The lockup on a part of stake of its promoters and pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>Meesho is an e-commerce marketplace, offering a wide assortment of products ranging from low cost unbranded products, regional and national brands at affordable prices to consumers.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



Meesho (MEESHO IN) raised about US$600m in its Dec 2025 India IPO. The lockup on a part of stake of its promoters and pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.
Meesho is an e-commerce marketplace, offering a wide assortment of products ranging from low cost unbranded products, regional and national brands at affordable prices to consumers.
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


Aequitas: Meesho Ltd IPO Lockup Expiry - US$5.7bn Lockup Release with PE Investors Well in The Money

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Avenue Supermarts: Higher bill sizes + lower footfalls aid FMCG profitability/productivity but are a sign of more targeted shopping with little room for discovery-based purchases (courtesy inflationary pressures), which in turn make a dent on the more profitable GM &amp; apparel sales (constituted &lt;25% vs a typical run-rate of 28%).</li><li>L&amp;T Infotech: L&amp;T Infotech’s (LTI) revenue and margin came in line in Q2FY23.</li><li>ICICI Prudential Life: ICICI Prudential Life (IPRU) reported a weak APE growth (+1.7% 3-year CAGR, in line with estimates); however, VNB margins, at 31%, surprised (200bps ahead of estimates), translating into 21% YoY VNB growth.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Avenue Supermarts: Higher bill sizes + lower footfalls aid FMCG profitability/productivity but are a sign of more targeted shopping with little room for discovery-based purchases (courtesy inflationary pressures), which in turn make a dent on the more profitable GM &amp; apparel sales (constituted &lt;25% vs a typical run-rate of 28%).L&amp;T Infotech: L&amp;T Infotech’s (LTI) revenue and margin came in line in Q2FY23.ICICI Prudential Life: ICICI Prudential Life (IPRU) reported a weak APE growth (+1.7% 3-year CAGR, in line with estimates); however, VNB margins, at 31%, surprised (200bps ahead of estimates), translating into 21% YoY VNB growth.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Avenue Supermarts, L&T Infotech, ICICI Prudential Life, Angel One

<ul><li>Discretionary categories to clock another healthy quarter: Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~29% YoY (revenue) in Q2FY23 (3-year revenue/EBITDA CAGRs of 19/17% resp)</li><li>Ticket sizes in retail remain elevated, courtesy higher ASP vis-à-vis pre-pandemic levels</li><li>Footfalls density is normalising too; esp in categories/companies with a higher urban presence</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Discretionary categories to clock another healthy quarter: Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~29% YoY (revenue) in Q2FY23 (3-year revenue/EBITDA CAGRs of 19/17% resp)Ticket sizes in retail remain elevated, courtesy higher ASP vis-à-vis pre-pandemic levelsFootfalls density is normalising too; esp in categories/companies with a higher urban presenceContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Discretionary (Q2FY23 Results Preview): Expect a buoyant quarter; alas! bargains absent

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

S&P BSE SENSEX Index / Technical Analysis

S&P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX EQUITY)

<ul>
<li>We continue to see global equities as being in pullback mode, with the MSCI ACWI index (ACWI-US) already testing important support in the $86-87 range, highlighted last week.</li>
<li>A bounce here would be ideal for the bullish case, but we could easily see a test of the YTD lows near $81.50 if $86 fails to hold.</li>
<li>Japan's TOPIX/Nikkei225/TOPIX Small remain bullish, as does India's SENSEX -- add exposure. Seeing some failed breakouts in Europe, notably the EURO STOXX 50 and STOXX Europe 600; a concerning development.</li>
</ul>


We continue to see global equities as being in pullback mode, with the MSCI ACWI index (ACWI-US) already testing important support in the $86-87 range, highlighted last week.
A bounce here would be ideal for the bullish case, but we could easily see a test of the YTD lows near $81.50 if $86 fails to hold.
Japan's TOPIX/Nikkei225/TOPIX Small remain bullish, as does India's SENSEX -- add exposure. Seeing some failed breakouts in Europe, notably the EURO STOXX 50 and STOXX Europe 600; a concerning development.


Pullback Continues; Japan & India Remain Attractive

India

Avenue Supermarts Limited, operating as D-Mart, is an Indian retail corporation that runs a chain of hypermarkets and supermarkets. The company offers a wide range of basic home and personal products, including food, groceries, toiletries, beauty products, garments, kitchenware, and home appliances. Avenue Supermarts was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Mumbai, Maharashtra, India.

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Avenue Supermarts (DMART IN)

SSG- The Most Important Metric in Retailing

Retailing is a straight forward business model wherein growth is primarily driven by continuous addition of new stores.And the ability to add new...

Private Investor

Aequitas: Meesho Ltd IPO Lockup Expiry - US$5.7bn Lockup Release with PE Investors Well in The Money

A group of investors (Elevation Capital and Peak XV) have launched an INR19bn (US$199m) selldown at a floor price of INR182.08/share, a 5% discount...

Akshat Shah

HSIE Results Daily: Avenue Supermarts, L&T Infotech, ICICI Prudential Life, Angel One

Higher bill sizes + lower footfalls aid FMCG profitability/productivity but are a sign of more targeted shopping with little room for discovery...

HDFC Securities

Consumer Discretionary (Q2FY23 Results Preview): Expect a buoyant quarter; alas! bargains absent

Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~29% YoY (revenue) in Q2FY23 (3-year revenue/EBITDA CAGRs of 19/17% resp)

HDFC Securities

Pullback Continues; Japan & India Remain Attractive

Stick with Japan & India. $ACWI bounce at $86 would be ideal for the bullish case (i.e., establishing a higher low), but we could easily see a test...

Vermilion Research

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