Specialist in Indian Banking and Economic Research

Hemindra Hazari

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Sudden resignation of Ravi Narayanan Group-Head in charge of retail branches, retail liabilities and third party products as he wishes to pursue entrepreneurship.</li>
<li>Possible explanation is that the bank like other banks is finding it difficult to raise retail deposits and pressure is building up on senior management</li>
<li>Bank has a high LDR and reportedly the banking regulator is demanding the bank to lower its LDR. This will have consequences on future loan growth or on NIM</li>
</ul>


Sudden resignation of Ravi Narayanan Group-Head in charge of retail branches, retail liabilities and third party products as he wishes to pursue entrepreneurship.
Possible explanation is that the bank like other banks is finding it difficult to raise retail deposits and pressure is building up on senior management
Bank has a high LDR and reportedly the banking regulator is demanding the bank to lower its LDR. This will have consequences on future loan growth or on NIM


Axis Bank Incubates a New Entrepreneur -- Its Head of Retail Branches

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aadhar-housing-finance-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32152:1" rel="noopener">Aadhar Housing Finance</a> (AHF) is now looking to raise around US$360m in its India IPO, via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares.</li>
<li>AHF is focused on the low income housing segments (ticket size less than INR1.5m) in India. It offers a range of mortgage-related loan products.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s performance in our past note. In this note, we talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>



Aadhar Housing Finance (AHF) is now looking to raise around US$360m in its India IPO, via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares.
AHF is focused on the low income housing segments (ticket size less than INR1.5m) in India. It offers a range of mortgage-related loan products.
We have looked at the company’s performance in our past note. In this note, we talk about valuations.


Aadhar Housing Finance IPO - Larger and Slower, at a Reasonable Discount

<ul>
<li>Axis Capital is a 100% subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/axis-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:768:1" rel="noopener">Axis Bank Ltd (AXSB IN)</a> and one of its businesses is structured finance</li>
<li>The Sojo Infotel is a high-risk transaction undertaken by Axis Capital which was underwritten by the company with the implicit support of the bank as per the credit rating agency</li>
<li>When the transaction was done it was 50% of Axis Capital's equity and default risk is high as the redemption date is on March 25, 2024</li>
</ul>


Axis Capital is a 100% subsidiary of Axis Bank Ltd (AXSB IN) and one of its businesses is structured finance
The Sojo Infotel is a high-risk transaction undertaken by Axis Capital which was underwritten by the company with the implicit support of the bank as per the credit rating agency
When the transaction was done it was 50% of Axis Capital's equity and default risk is high as the redemption date is on March 25, 2024


Is Axis Capital an Investment Bank or a Hedge Fund?

Asian bank research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Asian bank research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

<ul>
<li>Loan mix is improving, away from non-INR loans, asset mix is improving with less RIDF bonds, and bank is seeing an expanding LDR.  </li>
<li>Loss loans and doubtful loans are in major decline, they are less important to total NPLs, and still credit costs were high in 1Q24, likely overly conservative.</li>
<li>Credit growth is now at 22.6% YoY from 14.9% YoY one year ago, with consistent acceleration. With just 6% loan share, growth can remain high. </li>
</ul>


Loan mix is improving, away from non-INR loans, asset mix is improving with less RIDF bonds, and bank is seeing an expanding LDR.  
Loss loans and doubtful loans are in major decline, they are less important to total NPLs, and still credit costs were high in 1Q24, likely overly conservative.
Credit growth is now at 22.6% YoY from 14.9% YoY one year ago, with consistent acceleration. With just 6% loan share, growth can remain high. 


Axis Bank - Loan Mix Improving Dramatically | Strong ALM | Credit Costs Likely to Narrow Sharply

<ul>
<li>Erstwhile Citibank India's retail customers are high-income, high spending and demand excellent customer service</li>
<li>In FY2022, as per the latest data, Axis Bank has the dubious distinction of becoming the customer complaints market leader in private sector banking</li>
<li>If Axis Bank does not improve its customer service, erstwhile Citibank's lucrative retail customers will flee to competitors</li>
</ul>


Erstwhile Citibank India's retail customers are high-income, high spending and demand excellent customer service
In FY2022, as per the latest data, Axis Bank has the dubious distinction of becoming the customer complaints market leader in private sector banking
If Axis Bank does not improve its customer service, erstwhile Citibank's lucrative retail customers will flee to competitors


Will Citi’s Retail Customers Stick with Axis Bank, the Private Sector Market Leader in Complaints?

India

Axis Bank Limited provides a full range of banking services throughout India. The Group's activities include retail banking, investment management, merchant banking, treasury and NRI services, cash and credit management services, and ATM facilities.

Axis Bank Ltd (AXSB IN)

Axis Bank Incubates a New Entrepreneur -- Its Head of Retail Branches

Ravi Narayanan resigns from bank to pursue entrepreneurship amid pressure to raise retail deposits and lower LDR, impacting loan growth and NIM.

Hemindra Hazari

Aadhar Housing Finance IPO - Larger and Slower, at a Reasonable Discount

Aadhar Housing Finance (AHF) is now looking to raise around US$360m in its India IPO, via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares. In this...

Sumeet Singh

Is Axis Capital an Investment Bank or a Hedge Fund?

A single high-risk transaction was done at 50% of Axis Capital’s net worth, and yet was not considered a major risk, this is an issue which...

Hemindra Hazari

Axis Bank - Loan Mix Improving Dramatically | Strong ALM | Credit Costs Likely to Narrow Sharply

LDR is improving dramatically, loan mix is better, less low-yield bonds supports NIM. Loss and doubtful loans are less important, so credit costs...

Daniel Tabbush

Will Citi’s Retail Customers Stick with Axis Bank, the Private Sector Market Leader in Complaints?

In the absence of any clarity from Axis Bank on the unprecedentedly high levels of customer complaints, retaining erstwhile Citibank's retail...

Hemindra Hazari

Axis Bank Incubates a New Entrepreneur -- Its Head of Retail Branches

​Ravi Narayanan resigns from bank to pursue entrepreneurship amid pressure to raise retail deposits and lower LDR, impacting loan growth and NIM.

Hemindra Hazari

Aadhar Housing Finance IPO - Larger and Slower, at a Reasonable Discount

Aadhar Housing Finance (AHF) is now looking to raise around US$360m in its India IPO, via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares. In this...

Sumeet Singh

Is Axis Capital an Investment Bank or a Hedge Fund?

A single high-risk transaction was done at 50% of Axis Capital’s net worth, and yet was not considered a major risk, this is an issue which...

Hemindra Hazari

Axis Bank - Loan Mix Improving Dramatically | Strong ALM | Credit Costs Likely to Narrow Sharply

LDR is improving dramatically, loan mix is better, less low-yield bonds supports NIM. Loss and doubtful loans are less important, so credit costs...

Daniel Tabbush

Will Citi’s Retail Customers Stick with Axis Bank, the Private Sector Market Leader in Complaints?

In the absence of any clarity from Axis Bank on the unprecedentedly high levels of customer complaints, retaining erstwhile Citibank's retail...

Hemindra Hazari

Ravi Narayanan resigns from bank to pursue entrepreneurship amid pressure to raise retail deposits and lower LDR, impacting loan growth and NIM.