Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

PNB has seen its NPLs collapse. Its capital is higher than domestic peers - and most in Asia. &nbsp;Yet it's market capitalization is 50-75% lower than peers in Philippines. This will not last as credit costs narrow, costs come in, and fee income improves.&nbsp;

PNB has seen its NPLs collapse. Its capital is higher than domestic peers - and most in Asia. &nbsp;Yet it's market capitalization is 50-75% lower than peers in Philippines. This will not last as credit costs narrow, costs come in, and fee income improves.&nbsp;

PNB is over looked by most, but better capitalized, and with turnaround features

<ul><li>A likely Russian credit and currency crisis, the weakening Euro and ineptitude of BoJ &nbsp;combine to create a world of worry in markets and bank stocks in particular. The way this usually plays out is first with liquidity.&nbsp; </li><li>Banks pull credit lines from weaker banks (and weaker companies).&nbsp; </li><li>If a bank has a loan to deposit ratio (LDR) above 100%, it is often difficult to repay the redeemed credit line, as it means disposing of an asset, a loan – immediately. &nbsp; </li></ul>

A likely Russian credit and currency crisis, the weakening Euro and ineptitude of BoJ &nbsp;combine to create a world of worry in markets and bank stocks in particular. The way this usually plays out is first with liquidity.&nbsp; Banks pull credit lines from weaker banks (and weaker companies).&nbsp; If a bank has a loan to deposit ratio (LDR) above 100%, it is often difficult to repay the redeemed credit line, as it means disposing of an asset, a loan – immediately. &nbsp; 

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Maynilad Water Services / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maynilad-water-services-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44852:1" rel="noopener">Maynilad Water Services</a> (MWS) raised around US$520m in its Philippines IPO.</li>
<li>MWS is a leading global water utility player operating the largest concession by population served within a single concession area in the Philippines and Southeast Asia (SEA), as per GlobalData.</li>
<li>We have looked at the past performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Maynilad Water Services (MWS) raised around US$520m in its Philippines IPO.
MWS is a leading global water utility player operating the largest concession by population served within a single concession area in the Philippines and Southeast Asia (SEA), as per GlobalData.
We have looked at the past performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.


Maynilad Water Services IPO Trading - Main Peer Has Corrected, Still at a Yield Discount

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maynilad-water-services-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44852:1" rel="noopener">Maynilad Water Services (MYNLD PH)</a> (MWS) is looking to raise around US$450m in its upcoming Philippines IPO.</li>
<li>MWS is a leading global water utility player operating the largest concession by population served within a single concession area in the Philippines and Southeast Asia (SEA), as per GlobalData.</li>
<li>We have looked at the past performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the IPO pricing</li>
</ul>



Maynilad Water Services (MYNLD PH) (MWS) is looking to raise around US$450m in its upcoming Philippines IPO.
MWS is a leading global water utility player operating the largest concession by population served within a single concession area in the Philippines and Southeast Asia (SEA), as per GlobalData.
We have looked at the past performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the IPO pricing


Maynilad Water Services IPO - Recent Updates, Peer Comparison and Thoughts on Valuation

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Positive view on the deal: The investment in the Philippines aligns with CPAXT’s core strategy of expanding business growth in ASEAN.</li><li>The valuation metrics continue to support a Buy rating on fundamentals, with the share price offering some upside to a fair value of Bt27, based on a required return of 4.5%.</li><li>CPAXT, through its subsidiary Makro ROH (MROH), has formed a joint venture with ACX Holdings Corporation — a subsidiary of Ayala Corporation, a leading Philippine conglomerate with diverse businesses — to establish M&amp;Co Corporation.</li></ul>

Positive view on the deal: The investment in the Philippines aligns with CPAXT’s core strategy of expanding business growth in ASEAN.The valuation metrics continue to support a Buy rating on fundamentals, with the share price offering some upside to a fair value of Bt27, based on a required return of 4.5%.CPAXT, through its subsidiary Makro ROH (MROH), has formed a joint venture with ACX Holdings Corporation — a subsidiary of Ayala Corporation, a leading Philippine conglomerate with diverse businesses — to establish M&amp;Co Corporation.

CP AXTRA Plc. (CPAXT): Makro Expansion in the Philippines With a Leading Local Partner

Philippines

Ayala Corporation is a Philippine diversified conglomerate with core interests in real estate, banking, telecommunications, and power. It also has significant investments in healthcare, logistics, manufacturing, and education. The company is headquartered in Makati City, Philippines, and was founded in 1834.

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Ayala (AC PM)

PNB is over looked by most, but better capitalized, and with turnaround features

PNB has seen its NPLs collapse. Its capital is higher than domestic peers - and most in Asia. Yet it's market capitalization is 50-75% lower than...

Daniel Tabbush

Be Wary of High LDR Banks at Present

A likely Russian credit and currency crisis, the weakening Euro and ineptitude of BoJ combine to create a world of worry in markets and bank...

Daniel Tabbush

Maynilad Water Services IPO Trading - Main Peer Has Corrected, Still at a Yield Discount

Maynilad Water Services (MWS) raised around US$520m in its Philippines IPO. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

Maynilad Water Services IPO - Recent Updates, Peer Comparison and Thoughts on Valuation

Maynilad Water Services (MYNLD PH) (MWS) is looking to raise around US$450m in its upcoming Philippines IPO. In this note, we talk about the IPO...

Sumeet Singh

CP AXTRA Plc. (CPAXT): Makro Expansion in the Philippines With a Leading Local Partner

Positive view on the deal: The investment in the Philippines aligns with CPAXT’s core strategy of expanding business growth in ASEAN.

Krungthai XSpring

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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