Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

DDMP REIT (DDMPR), a subsidiary of DoubleDragon Properties Corp (DDP), aims to raise up to US$300 in its Philippines listing.DDMPR will be the second REIT listing in the Philippines. DDMPR’s investment strategy is to invest in income-generating real estate located in either Metro Manila or key provinces in the Philippines. It aims to acquire primarily Grade A commercial properties, but may acquire other related real estate as well.It will have an initial portfolio of three commercial buildings, with six office towers, located in DD Meridian Park. It also owns the land for two other under construction assets, which have been leased to DDP. Together the assets will have a gross leasable area (GLA) of 172,252sqm. As of Sep 2020, the portfolio had an occupancy of 99.5% and weighted average lease expiry for the office leases of 4.2years.Its assets are relatively new, with all having been completed over 2017-19. The assets have long term leases and step-up rental escalation, which should provide rental stability. However, the assets aren’t located in prime CBD and the particular area appears to have a fair amount of incoming office supply over the next few years. We looked at the background of the REIT in our earlier note, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ddpm-reit-pre-ipo-brand-new-assets-but-not-with-the-best-of-outlooks" target="_blank" rel="noopener">DDMP REIT Pre-IPO - Brand new assets but not with the best of outlooks</a>. In this note, we’ll undertake a peer comparison with recently listed AREIT.

DDMP REIT (DDMPR), a subsidiary of DoubleDragon Properties Corp (DDP), aims to raise up to US$300 in its Philippines listing.DDMPR will be the second REIT listing in the Philippines. DDMPR’s investment strategy is to invest in income-generating real estate located in either Metro Manila or key provinces in the Philippines. It aims to acquire primarily Grade A commercial properties, but may acquire other related real estate as well.It will have an initial portfolio of three commercial buildings, with six office towers, located in DD Meridian Park. It also owns the land for two other under construction assets, which have been leased to DDP. Together the assets will have a gross leasable area (GLA) of 172,252sqm. As of Sep 2020, the portfolio had an occupancy of 99.5% and weighted average lease expiry for the office leases of 4.2years.Its assets are relatively new, with all having been completed over 2017-19. The assets have long term leases and step-up rental escalation, which should provide rental stability. However, the assets aren’t located in prime CBD and the particular area appears to have a fair amount of incoming office supply over the next few years. We looked at the background of the REIT in our earlier note, DDMP REIT Pre-IPO - Brand new assets but not with the best of outlooks. In this note, we’ll undertake a peer comparison with recently listed AREIT.

DDMP REIT (DDMPR), a subsidiary of DoubleDragon Properties Corp (DDP), aims to raise up to US$300 in its Philippines listing.
DDMPR will be the second REIT listing in the Philippines. DDMPR’s investment strategy is to invest in income-generating real estate located in either Metro Manila or key provinces in the Philippines. It aims to acquire primarily Grade A commercial properties, but may acquire other related real estate as well.
It will have an initial portfolio of three commercial buildings, with six office towers, located in DD Meridian Park. It also owns the land for two other under construction assets, which have been leased to DDP. Together the assets will have a gross leasable area (GLA) of 172,252sqm. As of Sep 2020, the portfolio had an occupancy of 99.5% and weighted average lease expiry for the office leases of 4.2years.
Its assets are relatively new, with all having been completed over 2017-19. The assets have long term leases and step-up rental escalation, which should provide rental stability. 
However, the assets aren’t located in prime CBD and the particular area appears to have a fair amount of incoming office supply over the next few years.

DDMP REIT (DDMPR), a subsidiary of DoubleDragon Properties Corp (DDP), aims to raise up to US$300 in its Philippines listing.
DDMPR will be the second REIT listing in the Philippines. DDMPR’s investment strategy is to invest in income-generating real estate located in either Metro Manila or key provinces in the Philippines. It aims to acquire primarily Grade A commercial properties, but may acquire other related real estate as well.
It will have an initial portfolio of three commercial buildings, with six office towers, located in DD Meridian Park. It also owns the land for two other under construction assets, which have been leased to DDP. Together the assets will have a gross leasable area (GLA) of 172,252sqm. As of Sep 2020, the portfolio had an occupancy of 99.5% and weighted average lease expiry for the office leases of 4.2years.
Its assets are relatively new, with all having been completed over 2017-19. The assets have long term leases and step-up rental escalation, which should provide rental stability. 
However, the assets aren’t located in prime CBD and the particular area appears to have a fair amount of incoming office supply over the next few years.

DDMP REIT Pre-IPO - Brand New Assets but Not with the Best of Outlooks

Silver Point

Thomas J. Monaco

Silver Point is a boutique research firm that focuses on the broader financial services sector, with a particular focus on troubled institutions globally. 

Asia Ex Japan

Equity Bottom-Up

Bank of the Philippine Islands / Equity Bottom-Up

*Weak Results: Bank of the Philippine Islands (BPI.PM) [BPI] reported 4Q20 results of PHP 4.2 bn, declining PHP 1.3 bn (23.1%) linked quarter. Results were difficult across the board for BPI, but primarily driven by a justified PHP 885 mn (14.6%) increase in loss provisions – reversing the decline seen in 3Q20. BPI will be holding an analyst briefing on Friday 29 January 2021; and  *Credit Quality Challenges Set To Continue: BPI is still contending with higher than normal NCOs which have caused an accelerated level of net new NPLs at 4Q20 of 65.4%. Given the continued break in credit which shows no signs of abating, we find that BPI’s reserves are short by over PHP 19.0 bn – nearly five years of bottom-line performance.

*Weak Results: Bank of the Philippine Islands (BPI.PM) [BPI] reported 4Q20 results of PHP 4.2 bn, declining PHP 1.3 bn (23.1%) linked quarter. Results were difficult across the board for BPI, but primarily driven by a justified PHP 885 mn (14.6%) increase in loss provisions – reversing the decline seen in 3Q20. BPI will be holding an analyst briefing on Friday 29 January 2021; and  *Credit Quality Challenges Set To Continue: BPI is still contending with higher than normal NCOs which have caused an accelerated level of net new NPLs at 4Q20 of 65.4%. Given the continued break in credit which shows no signs of abating, we find that BPI’s reserves are short by over PHP 19.0 bn – nearly five years of bottom-line performance.  

Bank of Philippine Islands – Lots Of Wood To Chop

Converge ICT Solutions Inc / Equity Capital Markets

Converge ICT aims to raise around US$500+m in its Philippines listing.Converge ICT (CICT) is the largest high-speed fixed broadband operator in the Philippines, by high-speed residential fixed broadband subscriptions. It has a 54% market share as of Mar 2020, according to MPA. It also claims to be the fastest growing fixed broadband operator in both the residential and enterprise market.CICT owns and operates an end-to-end fiber network in the Philippines, with over 30,000 km of fiber as of Mar 2020. Its network covers 200 cities and municipalities across Luzon. As of Mar 2020, it reached approximately 4.1m homes.CICT’s revenue has grown at 69% CAGR over FY16-19, with growth being led by its residential business whose revenue has increased at 95% CAGR over the same time frame. Gross profit grew at 56% CAGR, EBITDA at 91% CAGR and Net profit at 60% CAGR. In other words, most of the revenue growth has flowed down to the bottom line. I have covered the company background and undertaken a peer comparison in my earlier reports, links to which are below. In this note, I’ll talk about earnings forecast and valuations.Links to my previous notes:<ul>
<li dir="ltr"><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/converge-ict-pre-ipo-fast-growth-low-penetration-covid-resistant" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Converge ICT Pre-IPO - Fast growth, low penetration, COVID resistant</a></li>
<li dir="ltr"><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/compose/insight/43808/Converge%20ICT%20Pre-IPO%20-%20Peer%20Comparison%20-%20Not%20a%20Clear%20Cut%20Winner" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Converge ICT Pre-IPO - Peer comparison - Not a clear cut winner</a></li>
</ul>

Converge ICT aims to raise around US$500+m in its Philippines listing.Converge ICT (CICT) is the largest high-speed fixed broadband operator in the Philippines, by high-speed residential fixed broadband subscriptions. It has a 54% market share as of Mar 2020, according to MPA. It also claims to be the fastest growing fixed broadband operator in both the residential and enterprise market.CICT owns and operates an end-to-end fiber network in the Philippines, with over 30,000 km of fiber as of Mar 2020. Its network covers 200 cities and municipalities across Luzon. As of Mar 2020, it reached approximately 4.1m homes.CICT’s revenue has grown at 69% CAGR over FY16-19, with growth being led by its residential business whose revenue has increased at 95% CAGR over the same time frame. Gross profit grew at 56% CAGR, EBITDA at 91% CAGR and Net profit at 60% CAGR. In other words, most of the revenue growth has flowed down to the bottom line. I have covered the company background and undertaken a peer comparison in my earlier reports, links to which are below. In this note, I’ll talk about earnings forecast and valuations.Links to my previous notes:
Converge ICT Pre-IPO - Fast growth, low penetration, COVID resistant
Converge ICT Pre-IPO - Peer comparison - Not a clear cut winner


Converge ICT Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ayalaland-reit-areit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28856:1" rel="noopener">AyalaLand Reit (AREIT) (AREIT PM)</a>, a subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ayala-land-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:131:1" rel="noopener">Ayala Land Inc (ALI PM)</a>, raised around US$250m in its Philippines listing.
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AREIT will be the first REIT listing for the Philippines. It will have an initial portfolio of three commercial buildings located in Metro Manila, Philippines. In addition, it will use the proceeds from the IPO to buy another asset from the sponsor, taking its total asset count to four. Its assets are relatively new, with long term leases and step-up rental escalation, which should provide stability to rentals. 
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I’ve covered the details of the company in my previous notes, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/areit-pre-ipo-first-philippines-reit-listing-comes-with-its-peculiarities" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AREIT Pre-IPO - First Philippines REIT Listing Comes with Its Peculiarities </a>and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/areit-ipo-looks-sustainable-at-the-low-end" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AREIT IPO - Looks Sustainable at the Low-End</a>.
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In this note, I’ll talk about the deal dynamics for trading.
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AyalaLand Reit (AREIT) (AREIT PM), a subsidiary of Ayala Land Inc (ALI PM), raised around US$250m in its Philippines listing.


AREIT will be the first REIT listing for the Philippines. It will have an initial portfolio of three commercial buildings located in Metro Manila, Philippines. In addition, it will use the proceeds from the IPO to buy another asset from the sponsor, taking its total asset count to four. Its assets are relatively new, with long term leases and step-up rental escalation, which should provide stability to rentals. 


I’ve covered the details of the company in my previous notes, AREIT Pre-IPO - First Philippines REIT Listing Comes with Its Peculiarities and AREIT IPO - Looks Sustainable at the Low-End.


In this note, I’ll talk about the deal dynamics for trading.


AREIT IPO Trading Update - Long Bookbuild Shouldn't Hamper the Listing

Philippines

Ayala Land Inc. is a Philippine real estate company that develops master-planned estates integrating residential, commercial, and green spaces. Its core businesses include strategic landbank management, residential development, retail shopping centers, corporate businesses, and hotels & resorts. The company is headquartered in Makati, Philippines, and was founded on June 30, 1988.

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Ayala Land (ALI PM)

DDMP REIT Pre-IPO - Peer Review

DDMP REIT (DDMPR), a subsidiary of DoubleDragon Properties Corp (DDP), aims to raise up to US$300 in its Philippines listing. DDMPR will be the...

Sumeet Singh

DDMP REIT Pre-IPO - Brand New Assets but Not with the Best of Outlooks

DDMP REIT (DDMPR), a subsidiary of DoubleDragon Properties Corp (DDP), aims to raise up to US$300 in its Philippines listing.

Sumeet Singh

Bank of Philippine Islands – Lots Of Wood To Chop

BANK OF THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS: BPI reported a 23.1% linked quarter earnings decline in 4Q20. Results were difficult across the board for BPI,...

Thomas J. Monaco

Converge ICT Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

Converge ICT aims to raise around US$500m in its Philippines listing. Converge ICT (CICT) is the largest high-speed fixed broadband operator in...

Sumeet Singh

AREIT IPO Trading Update - Long Bookbuild Shouldn't Hamper the Listing

AyalaLand Reit (AREIT) (AREIT PM), a subsidiary of Ayala Land Inc (ALI PM), raised around US$250m in its Philippines listing. AREIT will be the...

Sumeet Singh

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