Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Autos / In Depth: New rules set to give state-owned carmakers an EV boost</li><li>Corruption /: Former Shenzhen mayor gets life sentence for taking $15 million bribes</li><li>Huawei /: Huawei unveils first luxury sedan model under partnership with BAIC</li></ul>

Autos / In Depth: New rules set to give state-owned carmakers an EV boostCorruption /: Former Shenzhen mayor gets life sentence for taking $15 million bribesHuawei /: Huawei unveils first luxury sedan model under partnership with BAIC

CX Daily: New Rules Set to Give State-Owned Carmakers an EV Boost 

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, DZT Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the performance of Hong Kong Connect implementation in March 2026.</li>
<li>ADD stocks reversed their bridge window drawdown at implementation. The bounce faded by week 3 to 4.</li>
<li>DELETE stocks fell through first week, exceeding Sep 2025. Within the DELETE basket, the names where connect investors sold the most also fell the most.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the performance of Hong Kong Connect implementation in March 2026.
ADD stocks reversed their bridge window drawdown at implementation. The bounce faded by week 3 to 4.
DELETE stocks fell through first week, exceeding Sep 2025. Within the DELETE basket, the names where connect investors sold the most also fell the most.


HSCI / HK Connect (March 2026) Post-Event Review: What Worked, What Didn't

China Specialist, Auto and Industrial Specialist

Victoria Li

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Dongfeng announced 12%-35% subsidy on its retail price to reverse weak sales which has seen most of its factories suspending production</li>
<li>This has triggered a price war with more than 30 brands joining with similar ranges of price discounts/subsidies, most of which are JV brands - some upto 50%</li>
<li>We see a possibility that some of the JV brands exit China this year</li>
</ul>


Dongfeng announced 12%-35% subsidy on its retail price to reverse weak sales which has seen most of its factories suspending production
This has triggered a price war with more than 30 brands joining with similar ranges of price discounts/subsidies, most of which are JV brands - some upto 50%
We see a possibility that some of the JV brands exit China this year


China Auto: ICE Price War Triggered by Dongfeng, JV Players Under Pressure

Global Special Situations & Strategy, SR Services Ltd

David Lepper

Global Special Situations & Strategy

SR Services Ltd

SR Services provides Strategic Knowledge and Solutions services for Family Offices and Corporate Business. 

We deliver this via advisory services, strategic planning, opportunity analysis/sourcing, as well as solution implementation. 

Whilst, we create intellectual discipline and operational leverage for your projects or daily activities, our ultimate objective is to empower whilst enhancing your decision making. 

Strategic Knowledge and Solutions

What is the key question? Are we at the start of another 12-year bull market in value stocks? That's the duration of the last period when the value style of investing out performed growth in the Asia Pacific region.What is the evidence? Over the last 12-months, the balance between growth and value reversed the dominance that growth has held for much of the last 10-years. Whilst in Q1 2021, we remained cautious about a full declaration that the trend is reversing, we feel that the process is indeed underway and that a multi-year reversal is in progress. This is not just positive for value investors, but increasingly so for Small-Mid Cap investors.Why read this screening note? Q1 2021’s screen performance trumped the market delivering relative outperformance of 26.2%. Of the 27 names presented, 18 stocks delivered positive share price performance with an average increase of 21%, whilst the remaining 9 stocks declined 9.4 %. What is presented? 56 names appear in our Q3 2021 Asia Pacific list providing plenty of opportunity for investors. The average EV/FCF multiple of 5.2x in Q3 2021 compared to 6.3x in Q1 2021 and 5.6x in Q2 2020. The average Free Cashflow multiple on equity is 4.6x in Q3 2021 versus 4.2x in Q1 2021.

What is the key question? Are we at the start of another 12-year bull market in value stocks? That's the duration of the last period when the value style of investing out performed growth in the Asia Pacific region.What is the evidence? Over the last 12-months, the balance between growth and value reversed the dominance that growth has held for much of the last 10-years. Whilst in Q1 2021, we remained cautious about a full declaration that the trend is reversing, we feel that the process is indeed underway and that a multi-year reversal is in progress. This is not just positive for value investors, but increasingly so for Small-Mid Cap investors.Why read this screening note? Q1 2021’s screen performance trumped the market delivering relative outperformance of 26.2%. Of the 27 names presented, 18 stocks delivered positive share price performance with an average increase of 21%, whilst the remaining 9 stocks declined 9.4 %. What is presented? 56 names appear in our Q3 2021 Asia Pacific list providing plenty of opportunity for investors. The average EV/FCF multiple of 5.2x in Q3 2021 compared to 6.3x in Q1 2021 and 5.6x in Q2 2020. The average Free Cashflow multiple on equity is 4.6x in Q3 2021 versus 4.2x in Q1 2021.

Screening the Silk Road: Q3 2021 All Cap Screening - Free Cashflow (FCF)

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Shanghai Stock Exchange and Shenzhen Stock Exchange confirmed 40 ADDs and 25 DELETEs for Connect implementation on 9 March 2026.</li>
<li>The DELETE trade has worked well, with mean WAI return of -10.0% (21/25 negative); ADD stocks underperformed during WAI at -3.3% mean, consistent with the September 2025 event study.</li>
<li>Selectivity remains critical into implementation: favor narrative-aligned ADDs with moderate pre-event extension, maintain DELETE shorts on high-Connect-holding names, and monitor the three delayed ADDs for secondary entry points.</li>
</ul>


Shanghai Stock Exchange and Shenzhen Stock Exchange confirmed 40 ADDs and 25 DELETEs for Connect implementation on 9 March 2026.
The DELETE trade has worked well, with mean WAI return of -10.0% (21/25 negative); ADD stocks underperformed during WAI at -3.3% mean, consistent with the September 2025 event study.
Selectivity remains critical into implementation: favor narrative-aligned ADDs with moderate pre-event extension, maintain DELETE shorts on high-Connect-holding names, and monitor the three delayed ADDs for secondary entry points.


HSCI / HK Connect (March 2026): Implementation Today & Positioning

China

BAIC Motor Corporation Limited is a Chinese automaker primarily engaged in the research, development, manufacturing, sales, and after-sales services of passenger vehicles, including both combustion engine and new energy models. The company also produces automotive parts and components such as engines, transmissions, and power batteries. Headquartered in Beijing, China, BAIC Motor was incorporated in 2010.

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BAIC Motor (1958 HK)

CX Daily: New Rules Set to Give State-Owned Carmakers an EV Boost

Autos / In Depth: New rules set to give state-owned carmakers an EV boost While China’s three major state-owned carmakers may be latecomers to...

Caixin Global

HSCI / HK Connect (March 2026) Post-Event Review: What Worked, What Didn't

HK Connect Mar 2026 implementation cycle is completing. ADD reversed the WAI drawdown at implementation. DELETE continuation worked post...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Auto: ICE Price War Triggered by Dongfeng, JV Players Under Pressure

Dongfeng's irrational sales promitions announced last weekend has triggered a price war with more than 30 brands joining with similar ranges of...

Victoria Li

Screening the Silk Road: Q3 2021 All Cap Screening - Free Cashflow (FCF)

Is it the start of a 12-year bull market in value? That's the duration of the last period when APAC value outperformed growth. Q'1s FCF screen...

David Lepper

HSCI / HK Connect (March 2026): Implementation Today & Positioning

HSCI rebal/HK Connect implementation on March 9th: We provide a follow-up note on what have done well and what to monitor.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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