IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Chery Automobile / Equity Capital Markets

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chery-automobile-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39918:1" rel="noopener">Chery Automobile (9973 HK)</a> is a Chinese automobile manufacturer. It has launched an HKEx IPO to raise up to US$1.2 billion.</li>
<li>I previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/chery-automobile-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:200985" rel="noopener">Chery Automobile IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/chery-automobile-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:201049" rel="noopener">Chery Automobile IPO: The Bear Case</a>. </li>
<li>In this note, I present my forecasts and valuation. My analysis suggests that the IPO price range is reasonable.</li>
</ul>



Chery Automobile (9973 HK) is a Chinese automobile manufacturer. It has launched an HKEx IPO to raise up to US$1.2 billion.
I previously discussed the IPO in Chery Automobile IPO: The Bull Case and Chery Automobile IPO: The Bear Case. 
In this note, I present my forecasts and valuation. My analysis suggests that the IPO price range is reasonable.


Chery Automobile IPO (9973 HK): Valuation Insights

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chery-automobile-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39918:1" rel="noopener">Chery Automobile (CH3456 CH)</a>, a Chinese automobile manufacturer, has secured HKEx listing approval for a US$1.5-2.0 billion IPO.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/chery-automobile-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:200985" rel="noopener">Chery Automobile IPO: The Bull Case</a>, I highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, I outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The bear case rests on weakening trends of the primary business, gross margin pressure, declining contract liabilities and factoring of receivables. </li>
</ul>



Chery Automobile (CH3456 CH), a Chinese automobile manufacturer, has secured HKEx listing approval for a US$1.5-2.0 billion IPO.
In Chery Automobile IPO: The Bull Case, I highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, I outline the bear case.
The bear case rests on weakening trends of the primary business, gross margin pressure, declining contract liabilities and factoring of receivables. 


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chery-automobile-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39918:1" rel="noopener">Chery Automobile (CH3456 CH)</a>, a Chinese automobile manufacturer, has secured HKEx listing approval for a US$1.5-2.0 billion IPO.</li>
<li>Chery is the second largest Chinese domestic brand passenger vehicle company, and the 11th largest passenger vehicle company globally. </li>
<li>The bull case rests on market share gains, encouraging NEV segmental performance, good margin profile and cash generation.</li>
</ul>



Chery Automobile (CH3456 CH), a Chinese automobile manufacturer, has secured HKEx listing approval for a US$1.5-2.0 billion IPO.
Chery is the second largest Chinese domestic brand passenger vehicle company, and the 11th largest passenger vehicle company globally. 
The bull case rests on market share gains, encouraging NEV segmental performance, good margin profile and cash generation.


Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Sree Capital

Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Fundamental Research on Listed Indian Companies

Sree Capital

Sree Capital is a platform to share fundamental research on listed Indian companies. We do this research for our own investment

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beiqi-foton-motor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4732:1" rel="noopener">Beiqi Foton Motor Co Ltd A (600166 CH)</a>, via Energy In Motion, marks <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baic-motor-corp-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:90:1" rel="noopener">Baic Motor Corp Ltd H (1958 HK)</a>’s electric truck entry in India targeting heavy-duty logistics.</li>
<li>In this insight we attempt to identify implications on existing players like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ashok-leyland-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20104:1" rel="noopener">Ashok Leyland (AL IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:216:1" rel="noopener">Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mahindra-mahindra-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16441:1" rel="noopener">Mahindra &amp; Mahindra (MM IN)</a> and others.</li>
<li>Ravindra Energy's INR 180 crore equity raise appears to have been a strategic precursor, providing funding to support infrastructure and operational rollout of electric commercial vehicles in partnership with Foton.</li>
</ul>



Beiqi Foton Motor Co Ltd A (600166 CH), via Energy In Motion, marks Baic Motor Corp Ltd H (1958 HK)’s electric truck entry in India targeting heavy-duty logistics.
In this insight we attempt to identify implications on existing players like Ashok Leyland (AL IN), Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN) , Mahindra &amp; Mahindra (MM IN) and others.
Ravindra Energy's INR 180 crore equity raise appears to have been a strategic precursor, providing funding to support infrastructure and operational rollout of electric commercial vehicles in partnership with Foton.


BAIC Enters Indian Commercial Vehicle Market - Implications

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong's secular bull market gained after DeepSeek's announcement ignited shares in the tech sector.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kingsoft-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:492:1" rel="noopener">Kingsoft Corp (3888 HK)</a> broke out to new high after it announced its DAU for WPS exceeded 100mm.  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kingsoft-cloud-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36647:1" rel="noopener">Kingsoft Cloud Holdings (3896 HK)</a> is benefiting from the AI rally.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> broke out to an all-time high after announcing it would offer its ADA service for free. The move caused <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tesla-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20279:1" rel="noopener">Tesla (TSLA US)</a> shares to fall.
</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong's secular bull market gained after DeepSeek's announcement ignited shares in the tech sector.

Kingsoft Corp (3888 HK) broke out to new high after it announced its DAU for WPS exceeded 100mm.  Kingsoft Cloud Holdings (3896 HK) is benefiting from the AI rally.

BYD (1211 HK) broke out to an all-time high after announcing it would offer its ADA service for free. The move caused Tesla (TSLA US) shares to fall.



Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (February 11)

China

BAIC Motor Corporation Limited designs, researches, develops, manufactures and sells a variety of passenger vehicles in China.

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Baic Motor Corp Ltd H (1958 HK)

Chery Automobile IPO (9973 HK): Valuation Insights

Chery Auto has launched an HKEx IPO to raise up to US$1.2 billion. In this note, I present my forecasts and valuation. My analysis suggests that...

Arun George

Chery Automobile IPO: The Bear Case

Chery Automobile, a Chinese automobile manufacturer, has secured HKEx listing approval for a US$1.5-2.0 billion IPO. In this note, I outline the...

Arun George

Chery Automobile IPO: The Bull Case

Chery Automobile, a Chinese automobile manufacturer, has secured HKEx listing approval for a US$1.5-2.0 billion IPO. In this note, I discuss the...

Arun George

BAIC Enters Indian Commercial Vehicle Market - Implications

The stock is looking to close another 17% up today post the 20% upper freeze on the day of announcement. The company has released a business update...

Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (February 11)

HK stocks gained momentum after the DeepSeek announcement. Kingsoft shares broke out to new highs after announcing that WPS had DAUs of 100mm. BYD...

David Mudd

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