Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are no constituent changes for the Hang Seng Internet &amp; IT Index (HSIII) in June but there will be float and capping changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 5.95% and that leads to a round-trip trade of HK$3.2bn (US$410m). There are a few stocks with over 0.5x ADV to trade from passive trackers.</li>
<li>The inflows to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/netease-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29030:1" rel="noopener">NetEase (9999 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc-a55ca720-5968-48f0-8194-ac94390d065c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32212:1" rel="noopener">Baidu (9888 HK)</a> and the outflows from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kuaishou-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bilibili-inc-83a27302-cd7d-4e6a-a1de-bcf93eb022c3" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32215:1" rel="noopener">Bilibili (9626 HK)</a> will add to the flows from other indices.</li>
</ul>


There are no constituent changes for the Hang Seng Internet &amp; IT Index (HSIII) in June but there will be float and capping changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 5.95% and that leads to a round-trip trade of HK$3.2bn (US$410m). There are a few stocks with over 0.5x ADV to trade from passive trackers.
The inflows to NetEase (9999 HK) and Baidu (9888 HK) and the outflows from Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK) and Bilibili (9626 HK) will add to the flows from other indices.


Hang Seng Internet & IT Index (HSIII) Rebalance: Float & Capping Changes

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>The Hang Seng Internet &amp; IT (HSIII) index represents the top 30 stocks related to internet and information technology businesses listed in Hong Kong (HKEX).</li>
<li>For the June 2025 index rebal, we estimate there to be US$423mn one-way flows due to capping.</li>
<li>We also expect <em>three</em> index changes (so far) for the next semiannual index review which will take place in September 2025 (regular ADDs/DELs only take place in March and September).</li>
</ul>


The Hang Seng Internet &amp; IT (HSIII) index represents the top 30 stocks related to internet and information technology businesses listed in Hong Kong (HKEX).
For the June 2025 index rebal, we estimate there to be US$423mn one-way flows due to capping.
We also expect three index changes (so far) for the next semiannual index review which will take place in September 2025 (regular ADDs/DELs only take place in March and September).


Quiddity Leaderboard HSIII Jun25: US$423mn One-Way for Jun; Some Sector-Neutral Pair Trades for Sep

<ul>
<li>The HSTECH Index tracks the performance of the top 30 technology companies listed in Hong Kong that have high business exposure to certain technology themes.</li>
<li>The official index changes and indicative weights for the June 2025 index rebal event will be announced after the close on Friday 16th May 2025.</li>
<li>We continue to expect zero index changes for June 2025 but we estimate there to be capping flows of US$1.85bn one-way.</li>
</ul>


The HSTECH Index tracks the performance of the top 30 technology companies listed in Hong Kong that have high business exposure to certain technology themes.
The official index changes and indicative weights for the June 2025 index rebal event will be announced after the close on Friday 16th May 2025.
We continue to expect zero index changes for June 2025 but we estimate there to be capping flows of US$1.85bn one-way.


Quiddity Leaderboard HSTECH Jun25: US$1.85bn One-Way; Announcement Soon

<ul>
<li>Post market close on Friday, Hang Seng Indexes will announce the changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a> that will be implemented at the close on 6 June.</li>
<li>With no constituent changes, one-way turnover will be 1.9% with 3 stocks being capped and FAF changes for a few stocks due to a methodology change for Secondary Listings. </li>
<li>We highlight 7 stocks that have a higher probability of being added to the index. Everything depends on the index committee, and we would not be surprised by zero changes.</li>
</ul>


Post market close on Friday, Hang Seng Indexes will announce the changes for the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) that will be implemented at the close on 6 June.
With no constituent changes, one-way turnover will be 1.9% with 3 stocks being capped and FAF changes for a few stocks due to a methodology change for Secondary Listings. 
We highlight 7 stocks that have a higher probability of being added to the index. Everything depends on the index committee, and we would not be surprised by zero changes.


Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance Preview: Inclusion Candidates for June25

<ul>
<li>The review period for the June rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI</a> ended on 31 March, the results will be announced on 16 May and will be implemented on 6 June.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pop-mart-international-group-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29016:1" rel="noopener">Pop Mart International Group L (9992 HK)</a> could be added to the index while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunny-optical-technology-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13363:1" rel="noopener">Sunny Optical Technology Group (2382 HK)</a> could be deleted from the index.</li>
<li>There are other stocks with big flows due to a change in the FreeFloat-Adjusted Factor (FAF) methodology for Secondary Listings that will be implemented from the rebalance in June.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the June rebalance of the HSCEI ended on 31 March, the results will be announced on 16 May and will be implemented on 6 June.

Pop Mart International Group L (9992 HK) could be added to the index while Sunny Optical Technology Group (2382 HK) could be deleted from the index.
There are other stocks with big flows due to a change in the FreeFloat-Adjusted Factor (FAF) methodology for Secondary Listings that will be implemented from the rebalance in June.


HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Pop Mart (9992 HK) Could Replace Sunny Optical (2382 HK)

China

Baidu, Inc. operates an Internet search engine. The Company offers algorithmic search, enterprise search, news, MP3, and image searches, voice assistance, online storage, and navigation services. Baidu serves clients globally.

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Baidu (9888 HK)

Hang Seng Internet & IT Index (HSIII) Rebalance: Float & Capping Changes

No constituent changes for the HSIII in June but there will be float and capping changes. Estimated one-way turnover is 5.95% leading to a round...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard HSIII Jun25: US$423mn One-Way for Jun; Some Sector-Neutral Pair Trades for Sep

We see NetDragon (777 HK) as an expected DEL for the September 2025 index review and there could be multiple days of volume to sell. NetDragon...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard HSTECH Jun25: US$1.85bn One-Way; Announcement Soon

We estimate one-way flows of US$1.85bn which translates to a turnover of 8.4%. Some names are expected to see large index inflows due to upward...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance Preview: Inclusion Candidates for June25

We highlight 7 potential inclusions for the HSI in June, though the index committee could make no changes as we have seen in the past. Pop Mart...

Brian Freitas

HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Pop Mart (9992 HK) Could Replace Sunny Optical (2382 HK)

Pop Mart could replace Sunny Optical in the index. There will be inflows for NetEase, Trip.com and Baidu due to a FAF methodology change. Pop Mart...

Brian Freitas

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