Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>NTES US: NetEase Denies Full Staff Layoff at Shenzhen Game Division, Clarifies It’s a Product-Specific Adjustment (/)</li>
<li>NTES US: NetEase officially Named Their Urban Open-World RPG &lt;Project Mugen&gt; as &lt;Ananta&gt; (+)</li>
<li>NTES US: NTES US: NetEase Closes Overseas Studio "Worlds Untold" (/)</li>
</ul>


NTES US: NetEase Denies Full Staff Layoff at Shenzhen Game Division, Clarifies It’s a Product-Specific Adjustment (/)
NTES US: NetEase officially Named Their Urban Open-World RPG &lt;Project Mugen&gt; as &lt;Ananta&gt; (+)
NTES US: NTES US: NetEase Closes Overseas Studio "Worlds Untold" (/)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:NTES US/700 HK/1024 HK/BIDU US/BABA US/KC US

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>BIDU reported C3Q24 top line, non-GAAP operating profit and GAAP net income in-line, 4.6% and 66% vs. our estimate and in-line, 8.7% and 46% vs. consensus.</li>
<li>Ads revenue declined and C4Q24 guidance was below expectations. Margin improvement was mainly achieved through personnel cuts, which we think is not sustainable. AI didn’t contribute materially to revenues;</li>
<li>We see no return to growth from any of the business lines. We keep our SELL rating and cut the TP from US$84 to US$78.</li>
</ul>


BIDU reported C3Q24 top line, non-GAAP operating profit and GAAP net income in-line, 4.6% and 66% vs. our estimate and in-line, 8.7% and 46% vs. consensus.
Ads revenue declined and C4Q24 guidance was below expectations. Margin improvement was mainly achieved through personnel cuts, which we think is not sustainable. AI didn’t contribute materially to revenues;
We see no return to growth from any of the business lines. We keep our SELL rating and cut the TP from US$84 to US$78.


[Baidu, Inc. (BIDU US, SELL, TP US$78) TP Change]: C3Q24 Review: No Respite in Going Ex-Growth

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Kioxia Holdings  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the IPOs front, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-f-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44093:1" rel="noopener">S.F. Holding (6936 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kioxia-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29243:1" rel="noopener">Kioxia Holdings (6600 JP)</a> launched their much awaited IPO, while we had a new launche in Australia in as well.</li>
<li>On the placements front, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-dc-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:85:1" rel="noopener">Keppel DC REIT (KDCREIT SP)</a> undertook a large placement</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the IPOs front, S.F. Holding (6936 HK) and Kioxia Holdings (6600 JP) launched their much awaited IPO, while we had a new launche in Australia in as well.
On the placements front, Keppel DC REIT (KDCREIT SP) undertook a large placement


ECM Weekly (25th Nov 2024) - SF, Kioxia Digico, Pony, Finetoday, Saint Bella, Zinka, Keppel DC

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>Baidu announced (21 Nov) its 3Q24 results: total revenue was RMB33.6bn, inline with both our forecast and Bloomberg consensus; excluding one-off foreign exchange loss of RMB1.1bn, non-GAAP net income would be RMB7.0bn, better than consensus of RMB6.2bn.</li><li>Non-GAAP OP of Baidu Core reached RMB6.7bn, 1%/4% better than our forecast/ consensus, thanks to more optimized than expected R&amp;D spending.</li><li>Monetization of Gen-AI related initiative likely still takes time, and we expect Baidu to still prioritize product enhancement and user engagement improvement over monetization in 4Q24- 1Q25, while we concur that the related investment in driving for business transformation is vital for Baidu’s long-term business development. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Baidu announced (21 Nov) its 3Q24 results: total revenue was RMB33.6bn, inline with both our forecast and Bloomberg consensus; excluding one-off foreign exchange loss of RMB1.1bn, non-GAAP net income would be RMB7.0bn, better than consensus of RMB6.2bn.Non-GAAP OP of Baidu Core reached RMB6.7bn, 1%/4% better than our forecast/ consensus, thanks to more optimized than expected R&amp;D spending.Monetization of Gen-AI related initiative likely still takes time, and we expect Baidu to still prioritize product enhancement and user engagement improvement over monetization in 4Q24- 1Q25, while we concur that the related investment in driving for business transformation is vital for Baidu’s long-term business development. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Baidu (BIDU US) - Pace of Ads Rev Growth Recovery Key to Watch

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pony-ai-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44035:1" rel="noopener">Pony AI (PONY US)</a>, an autonomous mobility solutions provider, is looking to raise up to US$195m in its US IPO.</li>
<li>As per Frost &amp; Sullivan, Pony AI was among the first companies in China to obtain licenses to operate fully driverless robotaxis in all four Tier-1 cities in China.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the IPO valuations.</li>
</ul>



Pony AI (PONY US), an autonomous mobility solutions provider, is looking to raise up to US$195m in its US IPO.
As per Frost &amp; Sullivan, Pony AI was among the first companies in China to obtain licenses to operate fully driverless robotaxis in all four Tier-1 cities in China.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the IPO valuations.


China

Baidu, Inc. operates an Internet search engine. The Company offers algorithmic search, enterprise search, news, MP3, and image searches, voice assistance, online storage, and navigation services. Baidu serves clients globally.

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Baidu (BIDU US)

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:NTES US/700 HK/1024 HK/BIDU US/BABA US/KC US

NetEase denies full staff layoff in Shenzhen game division, renames RPG project, and closes overseas studio. Tencent Announces Video Generation...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Baidu, Inc. (BIDU US, SELL, TP US$78) TP Change]: C3Q24 Review: No Respite in Going Ex-Growth

BIDU reports in-line financials, with declining ad revenue and unsustainable margin improvement. No growth expected, SELL rating maintained with...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

ECM Weekly (25th Nov 2024) - SF, Kioxia Digico, Pony, Finetoday, Saint Bella, Zinka, Keppel DC

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Baidu (BIDU US) - Pace of Ads Rev Growth Recovery Key to Watch

We cut our SOTP-based TP by 7% to US$153.6 (was US$164.8) to reflect fine-tuned outlook on ads revenue growth recovery. Maintain BUY.

CMB International

Pony AI IPO - Autonomous Valuation

Pony AI (PONY US), an autonomous mobility solutions provider, is looking to raise up to US$195m in its US IPO. In this note, we talk about the IPO...

Sumeet Singh

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:NTES US/700 HK/1024 HK/BIDU US/BABA US/KC US

​NetEase denies full staff layoff in Shenzhen game division, renames RPG project, and closes overseas studio. Tencent Announces Video Generation...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Baidu, Inc. (BIDU US, SELL, TP US$78) TP Change]: C3Q24 Review: No Respite in Going Ex-Growth

​BIDU reports in-line financials, with declining ad revenue and unsustainable margin improvement. No growth expected, SELL rating maintained with...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

ECM Weekly (25th Nov 2024) - SF, Kioxia Digico, Pony, Finetoday, Saint Bella, Zinka, Keppel DC

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Baidu (BIDU US) - Pace of Ads Rev Growth Recovery Key to Watch

We cut our SOTP-based TP by 7% to US$153.6 (was US$164.8) to reflect fine-tuned outlook on ads revenue growth recovery. Maintain BUY.

CMB International

Pony AI IPO - Autonomous Valuation

Pony AI (PONY US), an autonomous mobility solutions provider, is looking to raise up to US$195m in its US IPO. In this note, we talk about the IPO...

Sumeet Singh

NetEase denies full staff layoff in Shenzhen game division, renames RPG project, and closes overseas studio. Tencent Announces Video Generation...

BIDU reports in-line financials, with declining ad revenue and unsustainable margin improvement. No growth expected, SELL rating maintained with...