Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The Chinese economy looks weak according to the data from the statistics bureau.</li>
<li>However, many big Chinese internet companies began to recover in Q2 as we mentioned in August.</li>
<li>Here we list five recovering companies that investors may not pay attention to.</li>
</ul>


The Chinese economy looks weak according to the data from the statistics bureau.
However, many big Chinese internet companies began to recover in Q2 as we mentioned in August.
Here we list five recovering companies that investors may not pay attention to.


China Internet Weekly (4Sep2023): Quarterly Results See Growing – BIDU, VIPS, ZTO, Giant, BEKE

China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Futu Holdings: Zero-commission stock trading to debut in Japan next month（-）</li>
<li>BIDU/700.HK/BABA: CAC has approved the filing of 11 LLM products and they are now open to the whole society(+)</li>
<li>Boss Zhipin: China PMI marginal improved, employment activities remain lukewarm</li>
</ul>


Futu Holdings: Zero-commission stock trading to debut in Japan next month（-）
BIDU/700.HK/BABA: CAC has approved the filing of 11 LLM products and they are now open to the whole society(+)
Boss Zhipin: China PMI marginal improved, employment activities remain lukewarm


China TMT Update-FUTU/BIDU/700.HK/BABA/Boss Zhipin-FUTU Expand in Japan/Approval to AI/PMI Improved

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>Baidu announced (22 Aug) its 2Q23 results: revenue was RMB34.1bn, up 15% YoY, 1/2% higher than our forecast/Bloomberg consensus estimates.</li><li>NonGAAP net income was RMB8.0bn, ahead of our forecast/Bloomberg consensus estimates at RMB6.1/5.9bn, driven by stronger than expected revenue growth of high-margin Baidu Core ads business, and one-off foreign exchange gain.</li><li>We lift our SOTP based TP by 3% to US$201.0 to reflect better than expected recovery of core ads business. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Baidu announced (22 Aug) its 2Q23 results: revenue was RMB34.1bn, up 15% YoY, 1/2% higher than our forecast/Bloomberg consensus estimates.NonGAAP net income was RMB8.0bn, ahead of our forecast/Bloomberg consensus estimates at RMB6.1/5.9bn, driven by stronger than expected revenue growth of high-margin Baidu Core ads business, and one-off foreign exchange gain.We lift our SOTP based TP by 3% to US$201.0 to reflect better than expected recovery of core ads business. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Baidu (BIDU US) – Monetization of LLM the Next Key to Watch

<ul>
<li>Baidu reported 2Q23 revenue/non-GAAP net income 2.3%/38.1% vs cons., Baidu core’s online marketing revenues and other revenues grew 7.1%/13.0% YoY, respectively. </li>
<li>We expect that Baidu’s ads growth will continue into 2H23, supported by recovery of key advertisers. </li>
<li>We slightly increase FY23 EPS estimates and maintain our TP of US$162, which implies 17.8X PE.</li>
</ul>


Baidu reported 2Q23 revenue/non-GAAP net income 2.3%/38.1% vs cons., Baidu core’s online marketing revenues and other revenues grew 7.1%/13.0% YoY, respectively. 
We expect that Baidu’s ads growth will continue into 2H23, supported by recovery of key advertisers. 
We slightly increase FY23 EPS estimates and maintain our TP of US$162, which implies 17.8X PE.


[Baidu (BIDU US, BUY, TP US$162) Earnings Review]: Online Ads Growth Will Remain Robust

<ul>
<li>We updated our revenue forecasts for ByteDance (China domestic) , with the industry models. We estimate that ByteDance's domestic ad revenue/eCommerce GMV/local lifestyle GTV will grow by 17%/50%/134% this year.</li>
<li>In the advertising space, we recommend Tencent and iQIYI. Both Tencent and iQIYI experienced a decline in their advertising revenue market share in 2022, followed by a rebound in 2023.</li>
<li>In transactional GMV/GTV, we prefer Meituan and Pinduoduo. Meituan's market share experienced a significant decline in 2022, but the decline rate is expected to narrow significantly this year.</li>
</ul>


We updated our revenue forecasts for ByteDance (China domestic) , with the industry models. We estimate that ByteDance's domestic ad revenue/eCommerce GMV/local lifestyle GTV will grow by 17%/50%/134% this year.
In the advertising space, we recommend Tencent and iQIYI. Both Tencent and iQIYI experienced a decline in their advertising revenue market share in 2022, followed by a rebound in 2023.
In transactional GMV/GTV, we prefer Meituan and Pinduoduo. Meituan's market share experienced a significant decline in 2022, but the decline rate is expected to narrow significantly this year.


[Blue Lotus Multi-Platform Sector Update]: ByteDance Forecasts and Implications for China Internet

China

Baidu, Inc. operates an Internet search engine. The Company offers algorithmic search, enterprise search, news, MP3, and image searches, voice assistance, online storage, and navigation services. Baidu serves clients globally.

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Baidu (BIDU US)

China Internet Weekly (4Sep2023): Quarterly Results See Growing – BIDU, VIPS, ZTO, Giant, BEKE

The macroeconomy looks weak. However, big Chinese internet giants began to recover. Here we list five small companies that the market may neglect.

Ming Lu

China TMT Update-FUTU/BIDU/700.HK/BABA/Boss Zhipin-FUTU Expand in Japan/Approval to AI/PMI Improved

Futu: Zero-commission stock trading to debut in Japan next month;BIDU/700.HK/BABA: CAC has approved the filing of 11 LLM products;Boss Zhipin:...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Baidu (BIDU US) – Monetization of LLM the Next Key to Watch

aidu announced (22 Aug) its 2Q23 results: revenue was RMB34.1bn, up 15% YoY, 1/2% higher than our forecast/Bloomberg consensus estimates.

CMB International

[Baidu (BIDU US, BUY, TP US$162) Earnings Review]: Online Ads Growth Will Remain Robust

We expect that Baidu’s ads growth will continue into 2H23, supported by recovery of key advertisers. We slightly increase FY23 EPS estimates and...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Multi-Platform Sector Update]: ByteDance Forecasts and Implications for China Internet

We estimate that ByteDance's domestic ad revenue/eCommerce GMV/local lifestyle GTV will grow by 17%/50%/134% this year. We prefer Tencent, iQiyi,...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

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