Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The competitive position and demand environment for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eicher-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18316:1" rel="noopener">Eicher Motors (EIM IN)</a>'s "Classic 350" remains intact. </li>
<li>The recent launch "Hunter 350" is expanding markets by taking on the competition.</li>
<li>Cannablisation fears from Hunter 350, remain unfounded, and unlikely to have any major impact on margin trajectory. </li>
</ul>


The competitive position and demand environment for Eicher Motors (EIM IN)'s "Classic 350" remains intact. 
The recent launch "Hunter 350" is expanding markets by taking on the competition.
Cannablisation fears from Hunter 350, remain unfounded, and unlikely to have any major impact on margin trajectory. 


Eicher Motors (EIM IN) | "Hunting" Down Competition

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Q2FY23 earnings season saw an overall in-line performance, with wide divergences across sectors and companies</li><li>Aggregate revenue/PAT grew by 31%/4% YoY across the HSIE coverage universe (~206 stocks), their three-year CAGR being 17%/13%</li><li>Our coverage universe saw strong YoY growth in auto, banking, consumer discretionary, industrials, chemicals, and real estate segments</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Q2FY23 earnings season saw an overall in-line performance, with wide divergences across sectors and companiesAggregate revenue/PAT grew by 31%/4% YoY across the HSIE coverage universe (~206 stocks), their three-year CAGR being 17%/13%Our coverage universe saw strong YoY growth in auto, banking, consumer discretionary, industrials, chemicals, and real estate segmentsContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India Equity Strategy: Cost inflation peaked out; margin recovery on the horizon

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Event-Driven

Bajaj Holdings and Investment / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-holdings-and-investment-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11930:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Holdings and Investment (BJHI IN)</a> is expected to be included in the MSCI India Index at the November SAIR (Read more about the index inclusion here: <a href="https://skr.ma/xhbPx" target="_blank" rel="noopener">https://skr.ma/xhbPx</a>)</li>
<li>Bajaj Holdings, a holding and investment company, with significant stakes in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3613:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Auto Ltd</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-finserv-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5669:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Finserv </a>has historically traded at a steep discount to the market value of investments. </li>
<li>Its Holdco discount has narrowed to around 53%  and has the potential to narrow further with greater ownership and visibility post the likely index inclusion.</li>
</ul>



Bajaj Holdings and Investment (BJHI IN) is expected to be included in the MSCI India Index at the November SAIR (Read more about the index inclusion here: https://skr.ma/xhbPx)
Bajaj Holdings, a holding and investment company, with significant stakes in Bajaj Auto Ltd and Bajaj Finserv has historically traded at a steep discount to the market value of investments. 
Its Holdco discount has narrowed to around 53%  and has the potential to narrow further with greater ownership and visibility post the likely index inclusion.


Bajaj Holdings (BJHI IN): Potential Index Inclusion Can Narrow Hold Co. Discount Further

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>The domestic PV wholesale volumes grew 31% YoY in Oct’22 fueled by robust festive demand and OEMs deliveringto cater the strong order books.</li><li>Moreover, the domestic CV registered positive sales momentum of 17% YoY during the month driven by economic activity and a pick-up in infrastructure spends.</li><li>The festive season led by normal monsoons, higher water reservoir levels, and increased MSP for Rabi crops by the government also led to strong demand in the tractor and farm equipment segment which grew by 11% YoY.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The domestic PV wholesale volumes grew 31% YoY in Oct’22 fueled by robust festive demand and OEMs deliveringto cater the strong order books.Moreover, the domestic CV registered positive sales momentum of 17% YoY during the month driven by economic activity and a pick-up in infrastructure spends.The festive season led by normal monsoons, higher water reservoir levels, and increased MSP for Rabi crops by the government also led to strong demand in the tractor and farm equipment segment which grew by 11% YoY.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Automotive Industry - Strong Momentum in PV & CV Sales

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited is an Indian diversified financial services firm offering a range of financial products and services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Bajaj Auto (BJAUT)'s 2QFY23 witnessed a good all-round performance, driven by favorable FX and operating leverage.</li><li>While domestic outlook is improving, exports have bottomed out in 2QFY23.</li><li>The on-going buy-back of shares, which supported the stock price, is now complete.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bajaj Auto (BJAUT)'s 2QFY23 witnessed a good all-round performance, driven by favorable FX and operating leverage.While domestic outlook is improving, exports have bottomed out in 2QFY23.The on-going buy-back of shares, which supported the stock price, is now complete.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bajaj Auto - Worst Behind in Both Exports and India

India

Bajaj Auto Limited manufactures and distributes motorized two-wheeled and three-wheeled scooters, motorcycles and mopeds.

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Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN)

Eicher Motors (EIM IN) | "Hunting" Down Competition

Our recent checks indicate, the competitive position and demand environment for Eicher Motors (EIM IN)'s "Classic 350" remain intact.

Pranav Bhavsar

India Equity Strategy: Cost inflation peaked out; margin recovery on the horizon

Q2FY23 earnings season saw an overall in-line performance, with wide divergences across sectors and companiesAggregate revenue/PAT grew by 31%/4% YoY

HDFC Securities

Bajaj Holdings (BJHI IN): Potential Index Inclusion Can Narrow Hold Co. Discount Further

Holdco discount, currently at 53% of NAV, has the potential to narrow further with greater ownership and visibility post the likely index inclusion

Devi Subhakesan

Automotive Industry - Strong Momentum in PV & CV Sales

The domestic PV wholesale volumes grew 31% YoY in Oct’22 fueled by robust festive demand and OEMs deliveringto cater the strong order books.

Axis Direct

Bajaj Auto - Worst Behind in Both Exports and India

While domestic outlook is improving, exports have bottomed out in 2QFY23.The on-going buy-back of shares, which supported the stock price, is now...

Motilal Oswal

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