Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Sree Capital

Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Fundamental Research on Listed Indian Companies

Sree Capital

Sree Capital is a platform to share fundamental research on listed Indian companies. We do this research for our own investment

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We cover the multiple factors which led to the operational and financial mess at Pierer Mobility AG, the holding company of KTM.</li>
<li>This insight highlights the past not so great track record of Indian companies acquiring European businesses due to cultural, operational integration and higher restructuring costs.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3613:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN)</a> remains strong domestically, but KTM's losses, debt, and integration hurdles risk compressing margins and return ratios at the consolidated level. We recommend Shorting Bajaj Auto.</li>
</ul>


We cover the multiple factors which led to the operational and financial mess at Pierer Mobility AG, the holding company of KTM.
This insight highlights the past not so great track record of Indian companies acquiring European businesses due to cultural, operational integration and higher restructuring costs.

Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN) remains strong domestically, but KTM's losses, debt, and integration hurdles risk compressing margins and return ratios at the consolidated level. We recommend Shorting Bajaj Auto.


KTM Saga, Short Bajaj Auto – There's a Lot to Chew On

Forensic Analyst, Trudence Capital Advisors

Nitin Mangal

Forensic Analyst

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Forensic Accounting

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ola-electric-mobility-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40618:1" rel="noopener">Ola Electric (OLAELEC IN)</a> since its IPO has been under scanner. The management presented a very optimistic narrative in Q1FY26, hoping to turn tides, increase volumes, along with better profitability.</li>
<li>As things stand, volumes continue to hit new lows, market share continues to tumble and the new narrative of Auto EBITDA positive could possibly be an eye wash.</li>
<li>The company’s strategic mismanagement is unmasked and and with internal controls disappearing . Ultimately, the promoter sell off could be a final nail in the coffin.</li>
</ul>



Ola Electric (OLAELEC IN) since its IPO has been under scanner. The management presented a very optimistic narrative in Q1FY26, hoping to turn tides, increase volumes, along with better profitability.
As things stand, volumes continue to hit new lows, market share continues to tumble and the new narrative of Auto EBITDA positive could possibly be an eye wash.
The company’s strategic mismanagement is unmasked and and with internal controls disappearing . Ultimately, the promoter sell off could be a final nail in the coffin.


2026 High Conviction Idea- Ola Electric: Mismanagement Masterclass

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>Ola Electric saw a sharp sales collapse, lost its E2W leadership to TVS Motor, and witnessed founder Bhavish Aggarwal selling 1.54% stake worth INR 234 crore across two sessions.</li>
<li>The combination of a ~50–70% sales decline, market share erosion, guidance cuts, and promoter stake sales raises concerns around demand sustainability, execution gaps, and balance-sheet stress at the promoter level.</li>
<li>Despite selective operational improvements, Ola Electric’s weakening sales momentum and promoter de-risking signal a shift from aggressive growth to damage control, warranting a cautious stance until demand visibility stabilises.</li>
</ul>


Ola Electric saw a sharp sales collapse, lost its E2W leadership to TVS Motor, and witnessed founder Bhavish Aggarwal selling 1.54% stake worth INR 234 crore across two sessions.
The combination of a ~50–70% sales decline, market share erosion, guidance cuts, and promoter stake sales raises concerns around demand sustainability, execution gaps, and balance-sheet stress at the promoter level.
Despite selective operational improvements, Ola Electric’s weakening sales momentum and promoter de-risking signal a shift from aggressive growth to damage control, warranting a cautious stance until demand visibility stabilises.


Ola Electric's Margin-Led Promoter Selling and Operational Sales Collapse Raise Governance Concern

<ul>
<li>Bajaj Auto will take majority control of KTM AG by buying out its Austrian partner in Pierer Bajaj AG and injecting €800 million to close KTM’s court-approved restructuring.</li>
<li>The deal rescues a flagship European brand from insolvency, safeguards KTM’s supply chain, and vaults Bajaj into the global premium-sport segment as an OEM rather than a contract partner.</li>
<li>Bajaj’s pivot from passive investor to turnaround owner adds earnings volatility near-term, but long-term it secures technology, brand equity, and a bigger share of high-margin 400-1,000 cc bikes.</li>
</ul>


Bajaj Auto will take majority control of KTM AG by buying out its Austrian partner in Pierer Bajaj AG and injecting €800 million to close KTM’s court-approved restructuring.
The deal rescues a flagship European brand from insolvency, safeguards KTM’s supply chain, and vaults Bajaj into the global premium-sport segment as an OEM rather than a contract partner.
Bajaj’s pivot from passive investor to turnaround owner adds earnings volatility near-term, but long-term it secures technology, brand equity, and a bigger share of high-margin 400-1,000 cc bikes.


Event Driven: Bajaj Auto Acquired Majority Control of Austrian KTM

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>The global auto industry faces significant tariff exposure. Option implied volatility offers a forward-looking assessment of risk.</li>
<li>Chinese car makers started to increase in implied volatility more than the other markets at the beginning of February. They now show the highest risk.</li>
<li>Recent implied volatility trends, asymmetric pricing (skew), and the term structure all seem to indicate that the Indian auto sector is the least exposed to international trade relations.</li>
</ul>


The global auto industry faces significant tariff exposure. Option implied volatility offers a forward-looking assessment of risk.
Chinese car makers started to increase in implied volatility more than the other markets at the beginning of February. They now show the highest risk.
Recent implied volatility trends, asymmetric pricing (skew), and the term structure all seem to indicate that the Indian auto sector is the least exposed to international trade relations.


EQD | Volatile Roads: Unveiling Risk in the Asian Auto Industry Through the Options Market

India

Bajaj Auto Limited manufactures and distributes motorized two-wheeled and three-wheeled scooters, motorcycles and mopeds.

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Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN)

KTM Saga, Short Bajaj Auto – There's a Lot to Chew On

Bajaj Auto International Holdings B.V. (BAIH), a wholly owned subsidiary of Bajaj Auto, has exercised its call option to acquire 26,000 shares of...

Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

2026 High Conviction Idea- Ola Electric: Mismanagement Masterclass

Ola's struggles continue as management's optimistic narrative is detached from reality, with market share tumbling and strategic mismanagement...

Nitin Mangal

Ola Electric's Margin-Led Promoter Selling and Operational Sales Collapse Raise Governance Concern

Ola Electric faces sales collapse, loses E2W leadership, and founder sells stake, raising concerns about demand sustainability and balance-sheet...

Nimish Maheshwari

Event Driven: Bajaj Auto Acquired Majority Control of Austrian KTM

Bajaj Auto to take majority control of KTM AG, injecting €800 million to rescue the brand, secure technology, and expand into premium-sport segment.

Nimish Maheshwari

EQD | Volatile Roads: Unveiling Risk in the Asian Auto Industry Through the Options Market

Global auto industry faces tariff risk. The option market assigns the highest risk to Chinese car makers. The Indian auto sector appears least...

Gaudenz Schneider

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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KTM Saga, Short Bajaj Auto – There's a Lot to Chew On

Bajaj Auto International Holdings B.V. (BAIH), a wholly owned subsidiary of Bajaj Auto, has exercised its call option to acquire 26,000 shares of...

Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

2026 High Conviction Idea- Ola Electric: Mismanagement Masterclass

​Ola's struggles continue as management's optimistic narrative is detached from reality, with market share tumbling and strategic mismanagement...

Nitin Mangal

Ola Electric's Margin-Led Promoter Selling and Operational Sales Collapse Raise Governance Concern

​Ola Electric faces sales collapse, loses E2W leadership, and founder sells stake, raising concerns about demand sustainability and balance-sheet...

Nimish Maheshwari

Event Driven: Bajaj Auto Acquired Majority Control of Austrian KTM

​Bajaj Auto to take majority control of KTM AG, injecting €800 million to rescue the brand, secure technology, and expand into premium-sport segment.

Nimish Maheshwari

EQD | Volatile Roads: Unveiling Risk in the Asian Auto Industry Through the Options Market

​Global auto industry faces tariff risk. The option market assigns the highest risk to Chinese car makers. The Indian auto sector appears least...

Gaudenz Schneider

Ola's struggles continue as management's optimistic narrative is detached from reality, with market share tumbling and strategic mismanagement...

Ola Electric faces sales collapse, loses E2W leadership, and founder sells stake, raising concerns about demand sustainability and balance-sheet...

Bajaj Auto to take majority control of KTM AG, injecting €800 million to rescue the brand, secure technology, and expand into premium-sport segment.

Global auto industry faces tariff risk. The option market assigns the highest risk to Chinese car makers. The Indian auto sector appears least...