External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

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<ul><li>Post a reasonably good festive season, demand environment is likely to have slackened for most consumer durable categories due to (1) weak consumer sentiment due to inflationary pressures, and (2) delayed onset of winters</li><li>RAC continues to shine aided by second summer season and normal channel inventory thereby supporting overall industry growth</li><li>Timely onset of summer season remains key monitorable in coming months</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Post a reasonably good festive season, demand environment is likely to have slackened for most consumer durable categories due to (1) weak consumer sentiment due to inflationary pressures, and (2) delayed onset of wintersRAC continues to shine aided by second summer season and normal channel inventory thereby supporting overall industry growthTimely onset of summer season remains key monitorable in coming monthsContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Durables & EMS (Q3FY25): Demand slackens post some festive cheer

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

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<ul>
<li>The rural economy plays a crucial role in driving India's growth, contributing just under half of the total GDP and providing livelihoods for about two-thirds of the population. </li>
<li>The trend which is emerging is rural economy growing faster than urban, hence we deep dive into the what and why of this trend</li>
<li>The urban slowdown has caused concern for India Inc's earning growth.</li>
</ul>


The rural economy plays a crucial role in driving India's growth, contributing just under half of the total GDP and providing livelihoods for about two-thirds of the population. 
The trend which is emerging is rural economy growing faster than urban, hence we deep dive into the what and why of this trend
The urban slowdown has caused concern for India Inc's earning growth.


Themes of India: A Deeper Look at Rural India's Economic Rise

<ul><li>With Q2 being seasonally the weakest quarter, the demand environment remained impeded by weak consumer sentiment due to inflationary pressures</li><li>As channel inventory ran dry post a sizzling summer season, primary sales of cooling products (more so RAC and air coolers) are likely to support overall industry growth</li><li>While Onam demand (start of the festive season) was below expectation, early trends from Navratri/Dusshera have been encouraging</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

With Q2 being seasonally the weakest quarter, the demand environment remained impeded by weak consumer sentiment due to inflationary pressuresAs channel inventory ran dry post a sizzling summer season, primary sales of cooling products (more so RAC and air coolers) are likely to support overall industry growthWhile Onam demand (start of the festive season) was below expectation, early trends from Navratri/Dusshera have been encouragingContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Durables & EMS (Q2FY25 Results Preview): Soft Quarter, Festive Season a Key Monitorable

<ul><li>In Q1FY25, the consumer durables aggregate revenue grew by 21% YoY (+16% 2-yr CAGR)</li><li>The growth was driven by the summer portfolio (room AC, air coolers, fans) which benefited from a harsh summer season</li><li>White goods/ ECD segments’ revenues grew by 41%/17% YoY (+19%/+12% 2-yr CAGR)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In Q1FY25, the consumer durables aggregate revenue grew by 21% YoY (+16% 2-yr CAGR)The growth was driven by the summer portfolio (room AC, air coolers, fans) which benefited from a harsh summer seasonWhite goods/ ECD segments’ revenues grew by 41%/17% YoY (+19%/+12% 2-yr CAGR)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Durables & EMS: Decoding Q1FY25 Trends

<ul><li>ONGC: We maintain our REDUCE rating on ONGC, with a target price of INR 286, given: (1) limited upside potential for ONGC’s crude price realisation in the current environment with a levy of windfall tax, (2) gas price realisation too unlikely to change significantly, as APM gas price is frozen until March 2025 and 95% of ONGC’s gas sales fall under APM and (3) slower ramp-up in oil &amp; gas production</li><li>In Q1FY25, reported EBITDA stood at INR 186bn (-4% YoY, +7% QoQ), coming in above our estimate owing to lower-than-expected statutory levies</li><li>PAT at INR 89bn (-11% YoY, -9% QoQ) was below our estimate, mainly driven by higher-than-expected depreciation and depletion costs</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ONGC: We maintain our REDUCE rating on ONGC, with a target price of INR 286, given: (1) limited upside potential for ONGC’s crude price realisation in the current environment with a levy of windfall tax, (2) gas price realisation too unlikely to change significantly, as APM gas price is frozen until March 2025 and 95% of ONGC’s gas sales fall under APM and (3) slower ramp-up in oil &amp; gas productionIn Q1FY25, reported EBITDA stood at INR 186bn (-4% YoY, +7% QoQ), coming in above our estimate owing to lower-than-expected statutory leviesPAT at INR 89bn (-11% YoY, -9% QoQ) was below our estimate, mainly driven by higher-than-expected depreciation and depletion costsContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: ONGC, TVS Motor, NCC, Bajaj Electricals, Symphony

India

Bajaj Electricals Limited is an Indian consumer electrical equipment manufacturing company. It operates across two primary business segments: Consumer Products, including appliances, fans, and non-electrical kitchen aids, and Lighting Solutions, comprising consumer and professional lighting. The company is headquartered in Mumbai, Maharashtra, India, and was founded in 1938.

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Bajaj Electricals (BJE IN)

Consumer Durables & EMS (Q3FY25): Demand slackens post some festive cheer

RAC continues to shine aided by second summer season and normal channel inventory thereby supporting overall industry growth. Timely onset of...

HDFC Securities

Themes of India: A Deeper Look at Rural India's Economic Rise

India's rural economy is driving growth, contributing nearly half of GDP and providing livelihoods for two-thirds of the population. Urban...

Nimish Maheshwari

Consumer Durables & EMS (Q2FY25 Results Preview): Soft Quarter, Festive Season a Key Monitorable

With Q2 being seasonally the weakest quarter, the demand environment remained impeded by weak consumer sentiment due to inflationary pressures

HDFC Securities

Consumer Durables & EMS: Decoding Q1FY25 Trends

In Q1FY25, the consumer durables aggregate revenue grew by 21% YoY (+16% 2-yr CAGR). The growth was driven by the summer portfolio (room AC, air...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: ONGC, TVS Motor, NCC, Bajaj Electricals, Symphony

We maintain our REDUCE rating on ONGC, with a target price of INR 286, given: (1) limited upside potential for ONGC’s crude price realisation in...

HDFC Securities

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Consumer Durables & EMS (Q3FY25): Demand slackens post some festive cheer

RAC continues to shine aided by second summer season and normal channel inventory thereby supporting overall industry growth. Timely onset of...

HDFC Securities

Themes of India: A Deeper Look at Rural India's Economic Rise

​India's rural economy is driving growth, contributing nearly half of GDP and providing livelihoods for two-thirds of the population. Urban...

Nimish Maheshwari

Consumer Durables & EMS (Q2FY25 Results Preview): Soft Quarter, Festive Season a Key Monitorable

With Q2 being seasonally the weakest quarter, the demand environment remained impeded by weak consumer sentiment due to inflationary pressures

HDFC Securities

Consumer Durables & EMS: Decoding Q1FY25 Trends

In Q1FY25, the consumer durables aggregate revenue grew by 21% YoY (+16% 2-yr CAGR). The growth was driven by the summer portfolio (room AC, air...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: ONGC, TVS Motor, NCC, Bajaj Electricals, Symphony

We maintain our REDUCE rating on ONGC, with a target price of INR 286, given: (1) limited upside potential for ONGC’s crude price realisation in...

HDFC Securities

India's rural economy is driving growth, contributing nearly half of GDP and providing livelihoods for two-thirds of the population. Urban...