Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Equity Bottom-Up

Banco Do Estado Do Rio Grande / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Bradesco’s re-rating is supported by credit quality improvements and by its solid insurance operations’ returns; we now estimate that the insurance operations account for close to half of group value</li>
<li>We add small cap Banrisul to our coverage and also to our buy list for its deep value qualities and improving returns, with Banrisul ranking top in our proprietary scorecard</li>
<li>Banco do Brasil remains a neutral, due to heightened political risk and worsening credit quality; holdco Itausa remains an attractive vehicle through which to gain equity exposure to Banco Itaú</li>
</ul>


Bradesco’s re-rating is supported by credit quality improvements and by its solid insurance operations’ returns; we now estimate that the insurance operations account for close to half of group value
We add small cap Banrisul to our coverage and also to our buy list for its deep value qualities and improving returns, with Banrisul ranking top in our proprietary scorecard
Banco do Brasil remains a neutral, due to heightened political risk and worsening credit quality; holdco Itausa remains an attractive vehicle through which to gain equity exposure to Banco Itaú


Brazil Banks – Stick with Bradesco, Adding Small-Cap Banrisul to the Buy List

<ul>
<li>Our GEM bank top picks for 1H 2026 are Banrisul, Bradesco and Ping An Bank for very attractive fundamental valuations with healthy dividends and earnings growth potential</li>
<li>We also have buy recommendations on China Construction Bank (CCB) and Hana Financial, both of which are deep value plays relative to their returns, combined with sound balance sheets</li>
<li>Kotak Mahindra bank is our only sell recommendation for its premium valuation, even among Indian banks, relative to its underwhelming ROE prospects</li>
</ul>


Our GEM bank top picks for 1H 2026 are Banrisul, Bradesco and Ping An Bank for very attractive fundamental valuations with healthy dividends and earnings growth potential
We also have buy recommendations on China Construction Bank (CCB) and Hana Financial, both of which are deep value plays relative to their returns, combined with sound balance sheets
Kotak Mahindra bank is our only sell recommendation for its premium valuation, even among Indian banks, relative to its underwhelming ROE prospects


Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

<p style="text-align: justify;">Emerging markets remain leadership. While many of the world's developed markets in correction or consolidation mode, EM markets continue to remain immune to the disruption occurring elsewhere.  Price and relative strength uptrends intact remain, and we reiterate our overweight recommendation.  In today’s report we provide a collection of the better looking company charts across the emerging markets universe.</p>

Emerging markets remain leadership. While many of the world's developed markets in correction or consolidation mode, EM markets continue to remain immune to the disruption occurring elsewhere.  Price and relative strength uptrends intact remain, and we reiterate our overweight recommendation.  In today’s report we provide a collection of the better looking company charts across the emerging markets universe.

<p>Emerging markets continue to outperform developed international equities, and within EM, the BRIC country grouping remains leadership.  In addition to sector and regional market comments, today’s report includes a wide variety of bottom-up recommendations, spanning most sectors and all market capitalizations.</p>

Emerging markets continue to outperform developed international equities, and within EM, the BRIC country grouping remains leadership.  In addition to sector and regional market comments, today’s report includes a wide variety of bottom-up recommendations, spanning most sectors and all market capitalizations.

Brazil

Banco do Estado do Rio Grande do Sul S.A. - Banrisul attracts deposits and offers retail and commercial banking services.  The Bank offers loans and mortgages and finances infrastructure projects from the central government and foreign banks and institutions.  Banrisul operates approximately 700 branches in Brazil, two in New York, and two in the Cayman Islands.

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Banco Do Estado Do Rio Grande (BRSR6 BZ)

Brazil Banks – Stick with Bradesco, Adding Small-Cap Banrisul to the Buy List

Bradesco is re-rating due to banking recovery and solid insurance arm, Banrisul added to buys for its deep value, Itausa offers exposure to Banco...

Victor Galliano

GEM Banks - 2026 High Conviction Ideas

Top bank picks for 1H 2026 are Banrisul, Bradesco, and Ping An Bank, also highlighting buys on CCB and Hana Financial for deep value. Sell on...

Victor Galliano

Attractive EM Charts

Emerging markets remain leadership. While many of the world's developed markets in correction or consolidation mode, EM markets continue to remain...

Vermilion Research

EM Equity Strategy: Overweight BRIC

Emerging markets continue to outperform developed international equities, and within EM, the BRIC country grouping remains leadership. In addition...

Vermilion Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Brazil Banks – Stick with Bradesco, Adding Small-Cap Banrisul to the Buy List

​Bradesco is re-rating due to banking recovery and solid insurance arm, Banrisul added to buys for its deep value, Itausa offers exposure to Banco...

Victor Galliano

GEM Banks - 2026 High Conviction Ideas

​Top bank picks for 1H 2026 are Banrisul, Bradesco, and Ping An Bank, also highlighting buys on CCB and Hana Financial for deep value. Sell on...

Victor Galliano

Attractive EM Charts

Emerging markets remain leadership. While many of the world's developed markets in correction or consolidation mode, EM markets continue to remain...

Vermilion Research

EM Equity Strategy: Overweight BRIC

Emerging markets continue to outperform developed international equities, and within EM, the BRIC country grouping remains leadership. In addition...

Vermilion Research

Bradesco is re-rating due to banking recovery and solid insurance arm, Banrisul added to buys for its deep value, Itausa offers exposure to Banco...

Top bank picks for 1H 2026 are Banrisul, Bradesco, and Ping An Bank, also highlighting buys on CCB and Hana Financial for deep value. Sell on...