Silver Point

Thomas J. Monaco

Silver Point is a boutique research firm that focuses on the broader financial services sector, with a particular focus on troubled institutions globally. 

Asia Ex Japan

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

* Rajoy’s Terrible Gamble: Spain’s Prime Minister (PM) Rajoy’s gamble for a unified vote when he called for new elections and seized control of Catalonia in October 2017 has failed, as Catalonians have voted for independence.* Economic Impact: The Catalonian separatist movement undermines much of Spain’s GFC recovery. Catalonia has amongst the largest public debts of Spain's regions, and could witness a 25%-30% economic contraction and a doubling of unemployment with secession. Spain accounts…

* Rajoy’s Terrible Gamble: Spain’s Prime Minister (PM) Rajoy’s gamble for a unified vote when he called for new elections and seized control of Catalonia in October 2017 has failed, as Catalonians have voted for independence.* Economic Impact: The Catalonian separatist movement undermines much of Spain’s GFC recovery. Catalonia has amongst the largest public debts of Spain's regions, and could witness a 25%-30% economic contraction and a doubling of unemployment with secession. Spain accounts…

Catalonia Crisis – Heightened Post-Election Risks

Chief Economist, Heteronomics

Phil Rush

Chief Economist

Heteronomics

Heteronomics represents a different kind of economics. We believe analysis should delve into the details of what is really going on, rather than using overly simplistic assumptions to quick-sell stories. Independence from myopic institutional pressures allows us to focus on the realities underlying your asset allocation decisions, without the conflicts of the old market structures. Heteronomics targets the themes driving UK asset prices, offering the benefits of depth, independence and ultimately price.

UK-centric macro research

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>All banks passed the BoE’s annual stress tests for the first time. No new capital is required, but some capital will become incorporated into regulatory requirements.</li>
<li>With the UK banking system facing cyclical risks back at normal levels, the FPC announced another 50bp CCyB hike to 1.0%, which it sees as cyclically normal for the instrument. However, it will reconsider its adequacy in 2018 H1.</li>
<li>
Normalisation of the countercyclical macroprudential policy instrument matches the maturing of the cycle,…</li>
</ul>


All banks passed the BoE’s annual stress tests for the first time. No new capital is required, but some capital will become incorporated into regulatory requirements.
With the UK banking system facing cyclical risks back at normal levels, the FPC announced another 50bp CCyB hike to 1.0%, which it sees as cyclically normal for the instrument. However, it will reconsider its adequacy in 2018 H1.

Normalisation of the countercyclical macroprudential policy instrument matches the maturing of the cycle,…


BoE: FPC Hikes to Normal Well Ahead of MPC

* Economic Impact: Catalonia has amongst the largest public debts of Spain's regions, and could witness a 25%-30% economic contraction and its unemployment double on secession. Spain accounts for nearly one-third of Catalonia’s exports and could face a trade boycott along with increased tariffs. Already, the Spanish government has begun tightening some economic screws by withholding some funding and making it easier for businesses to relocate in an emergency.* Political Risk of Secession: The…

* Economic Impact: Catalonia has amongst the largest public debts of Spain's regions, and could witness a 25%-30% economic contraction and its unemployment double on secession. Spain accounts for nearly one-third of Catalonia’s exports and could face a trade boycott along with increased tariffs. Already, the Spanish government has begun tightening some economic screws by withholding some funding and making it easier for businesses to relocate in an emergency.* Political Risk of Secession: The…

Thematic Investing in Tech and Media, CM Research

Cyrus Mewawalla

Thematic Investing in Tech and Media

Thematic TMT investing

CM Research

CM Research is an independent research house based in London, England. We provide global thematic research in the Technology, Media and Telecoms (TMT) sectors. 

Our focus is on disruptive technologies: how will they unfold; which industries will be impacted; and who will be the ultimate winners and losers. 

Our aim is to help investors predict share prices and corporate executives stay one step ahead of the technology trends that are shaping their industry. 

We research technology investment themes in detail and then feed the results into a scorecard system to quantify the impact of several conflicting themes on individual stocks. 

Recent themes covered include internet TV, the Internet of Things, Big Data, Mobile payments, crowdfunding, artificial intelligence, the cloud, software defined networking and Generation Hashtag.

We cover the top 500 global TMT stocks by market capitalisation and several technology start-ups and pre-IPO companies too. 

In 2015, CM Research analysts outperformed the Bloomberg Benchmark Analyst Index - which measures how good analysts are at predicting stock prices - by 7.1%.

<ul><li>In a world where computer code is trusted more than human-run operations – especially amongst tech-savvy, urban Millennials – blockchain is a concept whose time has begun.</li><li>The blockchain protocol will come to be seen as a powerful antidote to the high fees charged by intermediaries such as banks, law firms and other “middlemen”.</li><li>Most blockchain projects are still in development mode.</li><li>But, over the next decade, DLT will hasten disruption in many sectors, including payments, lending, share trading, real estate, healthcare and infrastructure.</li><li>In this report, we look at the likely movers and shakers.</li></ul>

In a world where computer code is trusted more than human-run operations – especially amongst tech-savvy, urban Millennials – blockchain is a concept whose time has begun.The blockchain protocol will come to be seen as a powerful antidote to the high fees charged by intermediaries such as banks, law firms and other “middlemen”.Most blockchain projects are still in development mode.But, over the next decade, DLT will hasten disruption in many sectors, including payments, lending, share trading, real estate, healthcare and infrastructure.In this report, we look at the likely movers and shakers.

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

This report highlights actionable EM stocks from across industries and regions.  This week's report highlights the following:<ul><li>Latin America is breaking out to all-time highs.</li><li>Tech--extended but still leadership.</li><li>Uptick in attractive consumer stocks.</li><li>Commodity sectors are strengthening.</li></ul>

This report highlights actionable EM stocks from across industries and regions.  This week's report highlights the following:Latin America is breaking out to all-time highs.Tech--extended but still leadership.Uptick in attractive consumer stocks.Commodity sectors are strengthening.

EM Leadership Screen & Chart Book: Technically Attractive EM Stocks

Spain

Banco Santander SA attracts deposits and offers retail, commercial and private banking, and asset management services. The Bank offers consumer credit, mortgage loans, lease financing, factoring, mutual funds, pension funds, insurance, commercial credit, investment banking services, structured finance, and advice on mergers and acquisitions.

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Banco Santander Sa (SAN SM)

Catalonia Crisis – Heightened Post-Election Risks

* Rajoy’s Terrible Gamble: Spain’s Prime Minister (PM) Rajoy’s gamble for a unified vote when he called for new elections and seized control of...

Thomas J. Monaco

BoE: FPC Hikes to Normal Well Ahead of MPC

All banks passed the BoE’s annual stress tests for the first time. No new capital is required, but some capital will become incorporated into...

Phil Rush

Catalonia Crisis – Break Away Republic

* Economic Impact: Catalonia has amongst the largest public debts of Spain's regions, and could witness a 25%-30% economic contraction and its...

Thomas J. Monaco

Blockchain as an Investment Theme

In a world where computer code is trusted more than human-run operations – especially amongst tech-savvy, urban Millennials – blockchain is a...

CM Research

EM Leadership Screen & Chart Book: Technically Attractive EM Stocks

This report highlights actionable EM stocks from across industries and regions. This week's report highlights the following: Latin America is...

Vermilion Research

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