CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in Thailand that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: Three stocks remain, 11 new join the fray</li>
<li>Since inception, it has gained 73% versus the SET 100 Index’s return of 10%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in Thailand that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology
Portfolio changes: Three stocks remain, 11 new join the fray
Since inception, it has gained 73% versus the SET 100 Index’s return of 10%


The Stocks to Own in Thailand – Vol. 49

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of May 23rd. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.2bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Advanced Info Service, Minor International, Central Pattana, Gulf Energy Development, True, Osotspa.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of May 23rd. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.2bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Advanced Info Service, Minor International, Central Pattana, Gulf Energy Development, True, Osotspa.


Thailand Short Interest Weekly (May 23rd): Advanced Info Service, Minor International

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Delta Electronics Thailand  / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With 8 trading days left in the review period, we forecast 3 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX)</a> in June.</li>
<li>Capping changes for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delta-electronics-thailand-pcl-98806732-8ac4-42b2-a565-ba32673d1e5a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20912:1" rel="noopener">Delta Electronics Thailand (DELTA TB)</a> will result in big passive selling in the stock and funding inflows for the other index constituents.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have drifted lower over the last 6 months and outperformed the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">SET 50 Index</a> while the deletes have dropped a lot and underperformed the index.</li>
</ul>


With 8 trading days left in the review period, we forecast 3 changes for the Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX) in June.
Capping changes for Delta Electronics Thailand (DELTA TB) will result in big passive selling in the stock and funding inflows for the other index constituents.
The forecast adds have drifted lower over the last 6 months and outperformed the SET 50 Index while the deletes have dropped a lot and underperformed the index.


SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: Capping DELTA & Constituent Changes

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of May 16th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.1bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Tmbthanachart Bank, Scc, Advanced Info Service, CP ALL, Scb X.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of May 16th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.1bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Tmbthanachart Bank, Scc, Advanced Info Service, CP ALL, Scb X.


Thailand Short Interest Weekly (May 16th): Tmbthanachart Bank, Scc, Advanced Info Service, CP ALL

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

<ul><li>The SET edged higher for the second consecutive day, despite ongoing profit-taking pressure and the lack of new catalysts, as well as the impact from the MSCI rebalancing.</li><li>DELTA's rebound played a key role in supporting the index, while the market focused on the 1Q25 earnings and DR (depositary receipt) stocks.</li><li>The index remains on track to test the resistance at 1,221 points.</li></ul>

The SET edged higher for the second consecutive day, despite ongoing profit-taking pressure and the lack of new catalysts, as well as the impact from the MSCI rebalancing.DELTA's rebound played a key role in supporting the index, while the market focused on the 1Q25 earnings and DR (depositary receipt) stocks.The index remains on track to test the resistance at 1,221 points.

Thailand

Bangchak Corporation Public Company Limited operates as an energy company. The Company offers petroleum exploration and production, biomass, crude oil, and solar energy. Bangchak markets its products in Thailand.

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Bangchak Corporation (BCP TB)

The Stocks to Own in Thailand – Vol. 49

We highlight 14 stocks in Thailand that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology. Portfolio changes: Three stocks remain, 11 new join...

A. Stotz Investment Research

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (May 23rd): Advanced Info Service, Minor International

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Advanced Info Service, Minor International,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: Capping DELTA & Constituent Changes

There should be 3 constituent changes in June and large selling in DELTA due to capping. Passive trackers will need to buy 1.5-3.8x ADV in the adds...

Brian Freitas

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (May 16th): Tmbthanachart Bank, Scc, Advanced Info Service, CP ALL

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Tmbthanachart Bank, Scc, Advanced Info Service,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Technical Analysis - MAY 15, 2025

The SET edged higher for the second consecutive day, despite ongoing profit-taking pressure and the lack of new catalysts, as well as the impact...

Krungthai XSpring

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