IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 12 September, Shenyang SASAC increased its <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shengjing-bank-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:96:1" rel="noopener">Shengjing Bank Co Ltd H (2066 HK)</a> offer by 21.2% from HK$1.32 to HK$1.60. The IFA opines it is fair and reasonable.</li>
<li>The revised terms should ensure the support of key shareholders. However, the IFA analysis is flawed, and the revised offer is light.</li>
<li>While the 21 October vote on the delisting proposal should pass, the satisfaction of the minimum acceptance condition (90% of independent H shares) poses a challenge. </li>
</ul>


On 12 September, Shenyang SASAC increased its Shengjing Bank Co Ltd H (2066 HK) offer by 21.2% from HK$1.32 to HK$1.60. The IFA opines it is fair and reasonable.
The revised terms should ensure the support of key shareholders. However, the IFA analysis is flawed, and the revised offer is light.
While the 21 October vote on the delisting proposal should pass, the satisfaction of the minimum acceptance condition (90% of independent H shares) poses a challenge. 


Shengjing Bank (2066 HK): Minimum Acceptance Condition in Focus as Offer Opens

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 57.8% as of Sep 12th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -2.5ppt week-on-week, led by information technology, consumer staples, financials and offset by consumer discretionary.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Longyuan Power, Fudan Microelectronics, Zijin Mining, CSSC O&amp;M Engineering, Baiyunshan Pharma, SMIC.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 57.8% as of Sep 12th.
The average A-H premium changed by -2.5ppt week-on-week, led by information technology, consumer staples, financials and offset by consumer discretionary.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Longyuan Power, Fudan Microelectronics, Zijin Mining, CSSC O&amp;M Engineering, Baiyunshan Pharma, SMIC.


A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 12th): China Longyuan Power, Fudan Microelectronics, Zijin Mining

<ul>
<li>Shenyang SASAC increased its <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shengjing-bank-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:96:1" rel="noopener">Shengjing Bank Co Ltd H (2066 HK)</a> offer by 21.2% from HK$1.32 to HK$1.60 per H Share, a 40.4% premium to the undisturbed price.</li>
<li>The revised offer has been declared final. The revised terms signal that at least one of the substantial H shareholders would not accept the previous offer.</li>
<li>While the revised terms should ensure the support of key shareholders, the terms remain light. Therefore, there remains a risk around the 90% minimum acceptance condition. </li>
</ul>


Shenyang SASAC increased its Shengjing Bank Co Ltd H (2066 HK) offer by 21.2% from HK$1.32 to HK$1.60 per H Share, a 40.4% premium to the undisturbed price.
The revised offer has been declared final. The revised terms signal that at least one of the substantial H shareholders would not accept the previous offer.
While the revised terms should ensure the support of key shareholders, the terms remain light. Therefore, there remains a risk around the 90% minimum acceptance condition. 


Shengjing Bank (2066 HK): Revised and Final Offer Remains Light

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 60.1% as of Sep 5th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -0.9ppt week-on-week, led by utilities, energy, health care and offset by real estate, consumer discretionary.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Zheshang Bank, China Communications Construction, Goldwind, Weichai Power.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 60.1% as of Sep 5th.
The average A-H premium changed by -0.9ppt week-on-week, led by utilities, energy, health care and offset by real estate, consumer discretionary.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Zheshang Bank, China Communications Construction, Goldwind, Weichai Power.


A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 5th): China Zheshang Bank, China Communications Construction, Goldwind

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shengjing-bank-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:96:1" rel="noopener">Shengjing Bank Co Ltd H (2066 HK)</a> disclosed a voluntary conditional offer and delisting proposal by Shenyang SASAC at HK$1.32 per H Share, a 15.8% premium to the undisturbed price.</li>
<li>The key conditions are H Shareholder approval of the delisting and a minimum acceptance condition (50% of outstanding and 90% of H Shares). The offer has NOT been declared final.</li>
<li>The offer is unattractive compared to precedent transactions, peer multiples and historical trading ranges. The satisfaction of the minimum acceptance condition is the key risk.  </li>
</ul>



Shengjing Bank Co Ltd H (2066 HK) disclosed a voluntary conditional offer and delisting proposal by Shenyang SASAC at HK$1.32 per H Share, a 15.8% premium to the undisturbed price.
The key conditions are H Shareholder approval of the delisting and a minimum acceptance condition (50% of outstanding and 90% of H Shares). The offer has NOT been declared final.
The offer is unattractive compared to precedent transactions, peer multiples and historical trading ranges. The satisfaction of the minimum acceptance condition is the key risk.  


Shengjing Bank (2066 HK): A Light Conditional VGO and Delisting Proposal

China

Bank of Chongqing Co., Ltd. provides a comprehensive range of banking and related financial services to corporate and individual clients across the People's Republic of China. The bank offers deposit and lending products, financial market services, and digital banking solutions. It was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Chongqing, People's Republic of China.

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Bank of Chongqing (1963 HK)

Shengjing Bank (2066 HK): Minimum Acceptance Condition in Focus as Offer Opens

While the 21 October vote on the delisting proposal should pass, the satisfaction of the minimum acceptance condition (90% of independent H shares)...

Arun George

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 12th): China Longyuan Power, Fudan Microelectronics, Zijin Mining

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Longyuan Power, Fudan Microelectronics, Zijin Mining,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shengjing Bank (2066 HK): Revised and Final Offer Remains Light

The revised terms signal push back from at least one key shareholder. The revised terms remain light, and there remains a risk around the 90%...

Arun George

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 5th): China Zheshang Bank, China Communications Construction, Goldwind

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Zheshang Bank, China Communications Construction,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shengjing Bank (2066 HK): A Light Conditional VGO and Delisting Proposal

The offer is low-balled by most measures, and the satisfaction of the minimum acceptance condition is the key risk. There is a chance of a bump, as...

Arun George

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