External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Equity Bottom-Up

Bank Syariah Indonesia Tbk PT / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>BRIS posted 3Q24 net profit of Rp1.7tr (+2% qoq, +24% yoy, in line), supported by strong loan growth, improving NIM, and stable CoC.</li><li>To further accelerate growth, BRIS aims to leverage its Hajj SA (deposit), gold business (loan), and bancassurance (fee-based income).</li><li>We raised our FY24-25F net profit est. by 4-5%, resulting in higher ROE, increased FV PBV of 2.8x (from 2.6x) and a TP of Rp3,000; maintain Hold.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BRIS posted 3Q24 net profit of Rp1.7tr (+2% qoq, +24% yoy, in line), supported by strong loan growth, improving NIM, and stable CoC.To further accelerate growth, BRIS aims to leverage its Hajj SA (deposit), gold business (loan), and bancassurance (fee-based income).We raised our FY24-25F net profit est. by 4-5%, resulting in higher ROE, increased FV PBV of 2.8x (from 2.6x) and a TP of Rp3,000; maintain Hold.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bank Syariah Indonesia - Robust 3Q24 Performance (In Line)

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

<ul>
<li>BCA is showing a strong rise in its LDR, and this had been an historical concern</li>
<li>Its asset-liability management (ALM) is improving, with NIM moving higher still</li>
<li>No evidence of marked deterioration in credit metrics, provision costs are conservative</li>
</ul>


BCA is showing a strong rise in its LDR, and this had been an historical concern
Its asset-liability management (ALM) is improving, with NIM moving higher still
No evidence of marked deterioration in credit metrics, provision costs are conservative


BCA - Focus on LDR, Which Had Historically Been a Problem, Too Low, With Stable Credit Metrics

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We expect the banks to deliver 7-23% and 5-21% net profit growth in 3Q24 and 9M24, driven by strong loan growth and resilient NIM.</li><li>Amid high loan demand, flat LPS rate, and still tight liquidity, we expect a meaningful CoF improvement in 1Q25.</li><li>Maintain Overweight rating on the banking sector, underpinned by solid growth, bottoming liquidity, and still robust asset quality.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We expect the banks to deliver 7-23% and 5-21% net profit growth in 3Q24 and 9M24, driven by strong loan growth and resilient NIM.Amid high loan demand, flat LPS rate, and still tight liquidity, we expect a meaningful CoF improvement in 1Q25.Maintain Overweight rating on the banking sector, underpinned by solid growth, bottoming liquidity, and still robust asset quality.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Banks: 3Q24 Preview: Gradual Improvement in Liquidity and Strong Loan Growth to Drive Earnings

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat Tbk / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the LQ45 Index October rebalance ended 30 September. The changes should be announced the last week of October, becoming effective after the close on 31 October.</li>
<li>We highlight 4 potential inclusions and 5 potential exclusions for the index at the rebalance. The actual number of changes could be lower at 2-3 a side.</li>
<li>There are a few stocks that will have over 1x ADV to trade from passive trackers if they are added to or deleted from the index.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the LQ45 Index October rebalance ended 30 September. The changes should be announced the last week of October, becoming effective after the close on 31 October.
We highlight 4 potential inclusions and 5 potential exclusions for the index at the rebalance. The actual number of changes could be lower at 2-3 a side.
There are a few stocks that will have over 1x ADV to trade from passive trackers if they are added to or deleted from the index.


LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (Oct 2024): Identifying Potential Index Changes

<ul><li>BRIS delivered solid Aug24 net profit growth, despite higher operating costs, driven by 14% loan growth, as solid asset quality is maintained.</li><li>NIM slightly improved mom to 5.6% in Aug24 thanks to the higher LDR, with CoF remaining flattish at 2.6%.</li><li>Maintain our Hold rating despite the still positive growth outlook, as valuation has reached its fair value, in our view.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BRIS delivered solid Aug24 net profit growth, despite higher operating costs, driven by 14% loan growth, as solid asset quality is maintained.NIM slightly improved mom to 5.6% in Aug24 thanks to the higher LDR, with CoF remaining flattish at 2.6%.Maintain our Hold rating despite the still positive growth outlook, as valuation has reached its fair value, in our view.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bank Syariah Indonesia - Improved NIM and Cost Efficiency Offseting the Higher CoC

Indonesia

PT Bank Syariah Indonesia Tbk. operates as a bank. The Bank offers checking accounts, credit and debit cards, loans, insurance, payment protection, phone banking, bill pay, fund transfer, and merchant services. Bank Syariah Indonesia serves customers in Indonesia.

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Bank Syariah Indonesia Tbk PT (BRIS IJ)

Bank Syariah Indonesia - Robust 3Q24 Performance (In Line)

BRIS posted 3Q24 net profit of Rp1.7tr (+2% qoq, +24% yoy, in line), supported by strong loan growth, improving NIM, and stable CoC.

BRI Danareksa Research

BCA - Focus on LDR, Which Had Historically Been a Problem, Too Low, With Stable Credit Metrics

BCA is seeing its LDR rise in recent quarters and the rise in 3Q24 alone is even stronger than preceding quarters. Credit metrics remain strong,...

Daniel Tabbush

Banks: 3Q24 Preview: Gradual Improvement in Liquidity and Strong Loan Growth to Drive Earnings

We expect the banks to deliver 7-23% and 5-21% net profit growth in 3Q24 and 9M24, driven by strong loan growth and resilient NIM.

BRI Danareksa Research

LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (Oct 2024): Identifying Potential Index Changes

We have identified potential changes for the LQ45 Index in October. There will also be capping flows for BBCA and BBRI. Historically, adds and...

Brian Freitas

Bank Syariah Indonesia - Improved NIM and Cost Efficiency Offseting the Higher CoC

BRIS delivered solid Aug24 net profit growth, despite higher operating costs, driven by 14% loan growth, as solid asset quality is maintained.

BRI Danareksa Research

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