Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Technically, the SET Index is expected to rise, anticipating window dressing ahead of the fiscal year-end.</li><li>For the weekly strategy, we recommend buying, as the market's return on investment remains attractive, particularly in the banking and insurance sectors.</li><li>These factors lead us to believe that stocks in the commercial banking sector have the greatest potential to outperform in 1Q25; as such, we recommend a Buy rating.</li></ul>

Technically, the SET Index is expected to rise, anticipating window dressing ahead of the fiscal year-end.For the weekly strategy, we recommend buying, as the market's return on investment remains attractive, particularly in the banking and insurance sectors.These factors lead us to believe that stocks in the commercial banking sector have the greatest potential to outperform in 1Q25; as such, we recommend a Buy rating.

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Dec 27th.We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.1bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Bangchak, Gulf Energy Development.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Dec 27th.We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.1bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Bangchak, Gulf Energy Development.


Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Dec 27th): Bangchak, Gulf Energy Development

<ul><li>Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the resistance at 1,404/1,410 points (200-day EMA) and the support at 1,395/1,388 points.</li><li>We recommend gradually taking profit at the resistance levels to reduce risks associated with the closure of December derivatives contracts, which will expire this Friday (foreign investors retain a short position).</li><li>Recommended stocks with positive momentum: GPSC, AAV, and CPF.</li></ul>

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the resistance at 1,404/1,410 points (200-day EMA) and the support at 1,395/1,388 points.We recommend gradually taking profit at the resistance levels to reduce risks associated with the closure of December derivatives contracts, which will expire this Friday (foreign investors retain a short position).Recommended stocks with positive momentum: GPSC, AAV, and CPF.

Krungthai XSpring Zoom Eng. December 26, 2024

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Cal-Comp Electronics (Thailand) / Index Rebalance

Cal-Comp Electronics (Thailand) (CCET TB)

<ul>
<li>There will be 4 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX)</a> at the close on 30 December.</li>
<li>All changes are in line with our forecasts and there appears to be positioning in all the stocks.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cal-comp-electronics-thailand-ef79c197-e6a6-4130-8221-aced0c735b11" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20764:1" rel="noopener">Cal Comp Electronics Thailand (CCET TB)</a> will have the largest passive buying a percentage of free float and could be the stock to watch.</li>
</ul>


There will be 4 changes for the Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX) at the close on 30 December.
All changes are in line with our forecasts and there appears to be positioning in all the stocks.

Cal Comp Electronics Thailand (CCET TB) will have the largest passive buying a percentage of free float and could be the stock to watch.


SET50 Index Rebalance: Four Changes; Cal Comp🚀

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>The SET50 index tracks the performance of the top 50 largest and most liquid names listed on the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET).</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at our final expected ADDs/DELs for SET 50 during the index rebal event in December 2024.</li>
<li>We see four ADDs/DELs in December 2024. While the expected DELs list remains unchanged since last month, there is a change in our expected ADDs list.</li>
</ul>


The SET50 index tracks the performance of the top 50 largest and most liquid names listed on the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET).
In this insight, we take a look at our final expected ADDs/DELs for SET 50 during the index rebal event in December 2024.
We see four ADDs/DELs in December 2024. While the expected DELs list remains unchanged since last month, there is a change in our expected ADDs list.


Quiddity Leaderboard SET50 Dec 24: Final Expectations; LONGs up +6% Vs SHORTs in a Month

Thailand

Banpu Public Company Limited is a versatile energy provider operating in three core business segments: energy resources (coal and gas), energy generation (thermal and renewable power plants), and energy technology (total solar energy solutions, energy storage, electric vehicles, and energy management systems). The company operates in 10 countries across Asia-Pacific and the United States. Banpu was founded on May 16, 1983, and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Banpu (BANPU-R TB)

Window Dressing (Santa Claus Rally)

Technically, the SET Index is expected to rise, anticipating window dressing ahead of the fiscal year-end. For the weekly strategy, we recommend...

Krungthai XSpring

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Dec 27th): Bangchak, Gulf Energy Development

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Bangchak, Gulf Energy Development.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Krungthai XSpring Zoom Eng. December 26, 2024

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the resistance at 1,404/1,410 points (200-day EMA) and the support at 1,395/1,388...

Krungthai XSpring

SET50 Index Rebalance: Four Changes; Cal Comp🚀

There are 4 changes for the SET50, in line with forecast. Cal Comp float is limited, and the stock could move higher - the stock should also be...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard SET50 Dec 24: Final Expectations; LONGs up +6% Vs SHORTs in a Month

The expected ADDs have outperformed the expected DELs by 17% on average since 29th November. With the official index changes to be confirmed in the...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)