Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 27th April, published ~9AM on the 1st May.</li>
<li>The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$92mn into "Internet Services"; the largest industry net decrease was A$1.5mn out of "Diversified Banks". Net shorts decreased A$5.2bn week-on-week.</li>
<li>Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/predictive-discovery-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15374:1" rel="noopener">Predictive Discovery (PDI AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/generation-development-group-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14945:1" rel="noopener">Generation Development Group (GDG AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bapcor-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8433:1" rel="noopener">Bapcor (BAP AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/woodside-petroleum-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:177:1" rel="noopener">Woodside Petroleum (WPL AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beach-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:795:1" rel="noopener">Beach Energy (BPT AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 27th April, published ~9AM on the 1st May.
The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$92mn into "Internet Services"; the largest industry net decrease was A$1.5mn out of "Diversified Banks". Net shorts decreased A$5.2bn week-on-week.
Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: Predictive Discovery (PDI AU), Generation Development Group (GDG AU), Bapcor (BAP AU), Woodside Petroleum (WPL AU), and Beach Energy (BPT AU).


Aussie Shorts [27 Apr 2026]: Predictive Discovery, Bapcor, Woodside Petroleum, Beach Energy

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Apr 17th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD44.8bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Amcor, 4Dmedical Ltd, Telstra, Coles, Telix Pharmaceuticals.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Apr 17th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD44.8bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Amcor, 4Dmedical Ltd, Telstra, Coles, Telix Pharmaceuticals.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 17th): Amcor, 4Dmedical Ltd, Telstra, Coles, Telix Pharmaceuticals

Leading Independent Investment Research, Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar

Leading Independent Investment Research

Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. We offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors. 

Morningstar provides data on more than 500,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 16 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries, with more than $180 billion in assets under advisement or management as of June 30, 2015. We have operations in 27 countries.

Download the Morningstar Fact Sheet : http://corporate.morningstar.com/US/documents/MarketingFactSheets/AboutMorningstarFactsheet.pdf

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Leisure companies under our coverage endured a torrid reporting season, with average fiscal 2017 first-half EBITDA fall of 15% from a year ago. The results were mostly driven by factors specific to each group. Still, whether it is the sentiment impact of an isolated theme park tragedy, competitive intensity in the U.S. leisure market, low airfares, or film popularity, the bottom line is there are many variables beyond management's control in the industry. These factors are the very basis for our…

Leisure companies under our coverage endured a torrid reporting season, with average fiscal 2017 first-half EBITDA fall of 15% from a year ago. The results were mostly driven by factors specific to each group. Still, whether it is the sentiment impact of an isolated theme park tragedy, competitive intensity in the U.S. leisure market, low airfares, or film popularity, the bottom line is there are many variables beyond management's control in the industry. These factors are the very basis for our…

Not Much Fun In Leisure; Ardent Leisure Undervalued While Event Hospitality Worth Monitoring

Director - Research, Consulting and Advisory, BondAdviser

Nicholas Yaxley

Director - Research, Consulting and Advisory

Australian bonds & fixed income research

BondAdviser

BondAdviser is the central reference point for intelligent information on Australian fixed income markets. We help you make informed decisions by providing unbiased research, transparent pricing data, analytics, portfolio tools and education.

BondAdviser has the broadest coverage of retail-accessible ASX-listed and over-the-counter Australian bonds and fixed income securities. We make it easy for you to review and compare investments before you place an order with your broker or dealer.

In <a href="https://www.bondadviser.com.au/blog/the-demand-we-have-been-waiting-for" target="_blank">November 2016</a> we stated a large proportion of redemptions would be reinvested in existing corporate issues to achieve some degree of sectoral diversification away from the banks. Since then, the demand/supply imbalance has squeezed trading margins on corporate hybrids to the point where some security valuations are being stretched from a trading margin risk perspective.Although we expect tight supply dynamics to continue and support expensive valuations, particularly for corporate listed securities, new investors should be aware of the inherent risk. For investors already holding these securities there is probably no reason to sell as scheduled corporate redemptions will continue to intensify demand in a relatively small market. We believe this situation of demand over supply will persist. However, given valuations are not reflective of risk profiles, we will be reviewing our recommendations if corporate hybrid margins continue to tighten.

In November 2016 we stated a large proportion of redemptions would be reinvested in existing corporate issues to achieve some degree of sectoral diversification away from the banks. Since then, the demand/supply imbalance has squeezed trading margins on corporate hybrids to the point where some security valuations are being stretched from a trading margin risk perspective.Although we expect tight supply dynamics to continue and support expensive valuations, particularly for corporate listed securities, new investors should be aware of the inherent risk. For investors already holding these securities there is probably no reason to sell as scheduled corporate redemptions will continue to intensify demand in a relatively small market. We believe this situation of demand over supply will persist. However, given valuations are not reflective of risk profiles, we will be reviewing our recommendations if corporate hybrid margins continue to tighten.

Valuations Stretched on ASX-Listed Corporate Hybrids

Founder Evidente. Top rated quantitative analyst, Evidente

Sam Ferraro

Founder Evidente. Top rated quantitative analyst

Evidente

Evidente is an independent financial education firm that delivers innovative financial advice to wholesale investors, including active long only funds, hedge funds, pension funds, and sovereign wealth funds, in Australia and globally.  Drawing on academic research in asset pricing, behavioural finance and portfolio construction, Evidente provides wholesale investors with commercial solutions to stock selection and asset allocation decisions across equities and other asset classes.

<ul><li>In this report, we identify financial forensics as an indispensable part of the short-seller's tool-kit.  Specifically, we examine the role that a deterioration in earnings quality has played in the demise and poor performance of two high profile Australian small caps that were once market darlings: electronic retailer, Dick Smith Holdings and law firm, Slater &amp; Gordon.</li><li>Now that over three quarters of the ASX200 companies have reported their 2016 full year results, Evidente has undertaken a comprehensive analysis of company annual accounts and identified three companies that have reported a high non-cash component of earnings and a substantial deterioration in earnings quality in the past year: A2M, BAP and BLK. </li><li>In the second instalment of Financial Forensic, Evidente will use its cash based accruals measure to develop a more robust and clean estimate of cash based operating profitability.</li></ul>

In this report, we identify financial forensics as an indispensable part of the short-seller's tool-kit.  Specifically, we examine the role that a deterioration in earnings quality has played in the demise and poor performance of two high profile Australian small caps that were once market darlings: electronic retailer, Dick Smith Holdings and law firm, Slater &amp; Gordon.Now that over three quarters of the ASX200 companies have reported their 2016 full year results, Evidente has undertaken a comprehensive analysis of company annual accounts and identified three companies that have reported a high non-cash component of earnings and a substantial deterioration in earnings quality in the past year: A2M, BAP and BLK. In the second instalment of Financial Forensic, Evidente will use its cash based accruals measure to develop a more robust and clean estimate of cash based operating profitability.

Australia

Bapcor Limited retails automotive parts. The Company offers aftermarket parts, accessories, and services. Bapcor serves customers in Australia.

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Bapcor Ltd (BAP AU)

Aussie Shorts [27 Apr 2026]: Predictive Discovery, Bapcor, Woodside Petroleum, Beach Energy

The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$92mn into "Internet Services"; the largest net decrease was A$1.5mn out of "Diversified...

David Blennerhassett

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 17th): Amcor, 4Dmedical Ltd, Telstra, Coles, Telix Pharmaceuticals

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Amcor, 4Dmedical Ltd, Telstra, Coles, Telix...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Not Much Fun In Leisure; Ardent Leisure Undervalued While Event Hospitality Worth Monitoring

Leisure companies under our coverage endured a torrid reporting season, with average fiscal 2017 first-half EBITDA fall of 15% from a year ago. The...

Morningstar, Inc.

Valuations Stretched on ASX-Listed Corporate Hybrids

In November 2016 we stated a large proportion of redemptions would be reinvested in existing corporate issues to achieve some degree of sectoral...

BondAdviser

Financial Forensic - Part I

In this report, we identify financial forensics as an indispensable part of the short-seller's tool-kit. Specifically, we examine the role that a...

Sam Ferraro

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