Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Barclays has reported its results for the first quarter of 2025, highlighting a blend of strengths and challenges within its operations and financial metrics.</li><li>The group's performance indicates progress towards strategic goals despite a backdrop characterized by economic uncertainty and market volatility.</li><li>In Q1 2025, Barclays reported a return on tangible equity (RoTE) of 14%, demonstrating an improvement from the previous year’s 12.3%.</li></ul>

Barclays has reported its results for the first quarter of 2025, highlighting a blend of strengths and challenges within its operations and financial metrics.The group's performance indicates progress towards strategic goals despite a backdrop characterized by economic uncertainty and market volatility.In Q1 2025, Barclays reported a return on tangible equity (RoTE) of 14%, demonstrating an improvement from the previous year’s 12.3%.

Barclays PLC: Setting Its Sights on $40B U.S. Card Surge—Will This Bold Bet Pay Off?

<ul><li>Barclays' financial results for the third quarter of 2024 highlight a performance that aligns with the management's strategic objectives, yet also presents certain challenges and uncertainties.</li><li>The results showcase notable strengths in some divisions and areas that require attention.</li><li>Positives in the results are led by strong Return on Tangible Equity (RoTE) figures, which stood at 12.3% for the third quarter and 11.5% year-to-date.</li></ul>

Barclays' financial results for the third quarter of 2024 highlight a performance that aligns with the management's strategic objectives, yet also presents certain challenges and uncertainties.The results showcase notable strengths in some divisions and areas that require attention.Positives in the results are led by strong Return on Tangible Equity (RoTE) figures, which stood at 12.3% for the third quarter and 11.5% year-to-date.

Barclays’ Surprising Growth Strategy: What’s Fueling Their Global Comeback? - Major Drivers

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).</li>
<li>We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and SPX is above 6028-6059 (up from 5700-5785 as it is highly unlikely to be tested).</li>
<li>Some will point to August seasonality as a reason to be cautious; we simply are not seeing any signs that suggest a meaningful pullback is imminent.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).
We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and SPX is above 6028-6059 (up from 5700-5785 as it is highly unlikely to be tested).
Some will point to August seasonality as a reason to be cautious; we simply are not seeing any signs that suggest a meaningful pullback is imminent.


Market Extended Entering Seasonally Weak August; Meaningful Pullback Imminent? Not Likely

Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Commodities

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 16/May, U.S. crude inventories grew by 1.3m barrels (vs. expectations of a 0.9m barrel fall). Similarly, gasoline and distillate stockpiles unexpectedly rose.</li>
<li>The EIA reported a 120 Bcf storage build, exceeding analyst forecasts of an 118 Bcf increase. Storage levels are 3.9% above the five-year average.</li>
<li>Barclays initiated coverage on Saudi Aramco with an 'Overweight' rating. Jefferies downgraded BP to 'Hold' from ‘Buy’, and Citigroup lifted its price target on Occidental Petroleum.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 16/May, U.S. crude inventories grew by 1.3m barrels (vs. expectations of a 0.9m barrel fall). Similarly, gasoline and distillate stockpiles unexpectedly rose.
The EIA reported a 120 Bcf storage build, exceeding analyst forecasts of an 118 Bcf increase. Storage levels are 3.9% above the five-year average.
Barclays initiated coverage on Saudi Aramco with an 'Overweight' rating. Jefferies downgraded BP to 'Hold' from ‘Buy’, and Citigroup lifted its price target on Occidental Petroleum.


[ETP 2025/21] WTI Slips on Oversupply Fears, Henry Hub Hit by Mild Weather and Storage Surge

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 02/May, U.S. crude inventories fell by 2m barrels (vs. expectations of a 1.7m barrel fall). Gasoline stockpiles unexpectedly rose; distillate inventories fell less than anticipated.</li>
<li>The EIA reported a 104 Bcf storage build, slightly exceeding the 103 Bcf forecast. Storage levels are 1.4% above the five-year average.</li>
<li>Analysts cut price targets on Exxon, Chevron, Shell, Halliburton, and Schlumberger. Occidental exceeded Q1 EPS estimates but narrowly missed revenue forecasts.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 02/May, U.S. crude inventories fell by 2m barrels (vs. expectations of a 1.7m barrel fall). Gasoline stockpiles unexpectedly rose; distillate inventories fell less than anticipated.
The EIA reported a 104 Bcf storage build, slightly exceeding the 103 Bcf forecast. Storage levels are 1.4% above the five-year average.
Analysts cut price targets on Exxon, Chevron, Shell, Halliburton, and Schlumberger. Occidental exceeded Q1 EPS estimates but narrowly missed revenue forecasts.


[ETP 2025/19] WTI Wavers on Trade Talk Hopes, Henry Hub Pressured by Uncertain Demand Outlook

United Kingdom

Barclays PLC is a global financial services provider engaged in retail banking, credit cards, wholesale banking, investment banking, wealth management, and investment management services.

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Barclays (BCS US)

Barclays PLC: Setting Its Sights on $40B U.S. Card Surge—Will This Bold Bet Pay Off?

Barclays has reported its results for the first quarter of 2025, highlighting a blend of strengths and challenges within its operations and...

Baptista Research

Barclays’ Surprising Growth Strategy: What’s Fueling Their Global Comeback? - Major Drivers

Barclays' financial results for the third quarter of 2024 highlight a performance that aligns with the management's strategic objectives, yet also...

Baptista Research

Market Extended Entering Seasonally Weak August; Meaningful Pullback Imminent? Not Likely

Market Extended Entering Seasonally Weak August; Still Little Evidence that a Meaningful Pullback is Imminent. Still Bullish $SPX $QQQ since 4/22...

Vermilion Research

[ETP 2025/21] WTI Slips on Oversupply Fears, Henry Hub Hit by Mild Weather and Storage Surge

US crude inventories rose, gasoline and distillate stockpiles unexpectedly increased. EIA reported storage build slightly above forecast. Barclays...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2025/19] WTI Wavers on Trade Talk Hopes, Henry Hub Pressured by Uncertain Demand Outlook

US crude inventories fell, gasoline stockpiles rose, and analysts cut price targets on major oil companies while Occidental exceeded Q1 EPS...

Mint Finance

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Barclays PLC: Setting Its Sights on $40B U.S. Card Surge—Will This Bold Bet Pay Off?

Barclays has reported its results for the first quarter of 2025, highlighting a blend of strengths and challenges within its operations and...

Baptista Research

Barclays’ Surprising Growth Strategy: What’s Fueling Their Global Comeback? - Major Drivers

Barclays' financial results for the third quarter of 2024 highlight a performance that aligns with the management's strategic objectives, yet also...

Baptista Research

Market Extended Entering Seasonally Weak August; Meaningful Pullback Imminent? Not Likely

Market Extended Entering Seasonally Weak August; Still Little Evidence that a Meaningful Pullback is Imminent. Still Bullish $SPX $QQQ since 4/22...

Vermilion Research

[ETP 2025/21] WTI Slips on Oversupply Fears, Henry Hub Hit by Mild Weather and Storage Surge

​US crude inventories rose, gasoline and distillate stockpiles unexpectedly increased. EIA reported storage build slightly above forecast. Barclays...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2025/19] WTI Wavers on Trade Talk Hopes, Henry Hub Pressured by Uncertain Demand Outlook

​US crude inventories fell, gasoline stockpiles rose, and analysts cut price targets on major oil companies while Occidental exceeded Q1 EPS...

Mint Finance

US crude inventories rose, gasoline and distillate stockpiles unexpectedly increased. EIA reported storage build slightly above forecast. Barclays...

US crude inventories fell, gasoline stockpiles rose, and analysts cut price targets on major oil companies while Occidental exceeded Q1 EPS...