Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

With U.S. markets stumbling, the MSCI ACWI index is breaking down to new lows: defensive Sectors remain attractive. Relative to MSCI ACWI however, emerging markets are the place to be. China, Brazil, Hungary, Qatar, India, Poland, and Indonesia all display positive price and/or RS trends. In this report we recap technical important levels on all major indexes and highlight attractive stocks within Real Estate, Health Care/Pharma, Precious Metals Mining, and Utilities.

With U.S. markets stumbling, the MSCI ACWI index is breaking down to new lows: defensive Sectors remain attractive. Relative to MSCI ACWI however, emerging markets are the place to be. China, Brazil, Hungary, Qatar, India, Poland, and Indonesia all display positive price and/or RS trends. In this report we recap technical important levels on all major indexes and highlight attractive stocks within Real Estate, Health Care/Pharma, Precious Metals Mining, and Utilities.

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We expanded our coverage to seven gold companies, including Wesdome Gold Mining (WDO CN), which just released its Q1FY26 earnings. We will write a detailed insight on it shortly.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oceanagold-philippines-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40897:1" rel="noopener">OceanaGold Philippines (OGP PM)</a> trades at an 11% dividend yield and 9.2x PE, while <a target="_blank">Apex Mining Co (APX PM)</a> trades at an 8.3x PE valuation with a 6% yield. </li>
<li>Amongst the large caps, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/barrick-mining-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21023:1" rel="noopener">Barrick Mining (B US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newmont-mining-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14503:1" rel="noopener">Newmont Mining (NEM US)</a> trade at 8.3x PE and 10x PE, respectively, with 7.2% and 8.1% FCF yields. </li>
</ul>


We expanded our coverage to seven gold companies, including Wesdome Gold Mining (WDO CN), which just released its Q1FY26 earnings. We will write a detailed insight on it shortly.

OceanaGold Philippines (OGP PM) trades at an 11% dividend yield and 9.2x PE, while Apex Mining Co (APX PM) trades at an 8.3x PE valuation with a 6% yield. 
Amongst the large caps, Barrick Mining (B US) and Newmont Mining (NEM US) trade at 8.3x PE and 10x PE, respectively, with 7.2% and 8.1% FCF yields. 


Gold At 4,500 USD/Oz: Seven Ideas To Look At In the Gold Space

OceanaGold Philippines / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a target="_blank" rel="noopener">OceanaGold Philippines (OGP PM)</a> recorded Q1 FY26 revenue of $158.4M (+100% YoY); net income of $34.7M (+369% YoY); gold price tailwind drove record AISC margin of $3,751/oz.</li>
<li>This insight follows our initiation on 10th March, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/oceanagold-philippines-inc-ogp-pm-another-cheap-play-on-gold-price" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:226242" rel="noopener">OceanaGold Philippines, Inc. (OGP PM): Another Cheap Play On Gold Price</a>, flagging the company as a high-yield play on gold price.</li>
<li>At PHP 37.30, OGP trades at 4.7x FY26e EV/EBITDA and 9.2x FY26e P/E with 10.9% dividend yield; materially undervalued.</li>
</ul>



OceanaGold Philippines (OGP PM) recorded Q1 FY26 revenue of $158.4M (+100% YoY); net income of $34.7M (+369% YoY); gold price tailwind drove record AISC margin of $3,751/oz.
This insight follows our initiation on 10th March, OceanaGold Philippines, Inc. (OGP PM): Another Cheap Play On Gold Price, flagging the company as a high-yield play on gold price.
At PHP 37.30, OGP trades at 4.7x FY26e EV/EBITDA and 9.2x FY26e P/E with 10.9% dividend yield; materially undervalued.


OceanaGold Philippines (OGP PM) Q1FY26: Net Cash And Trading At A ~11% Yield On 4,500 USD/Oz Gold

Key themes:<ul><li>Downgrading Financials. Given the Sector’s relative deterioration, we are downgrading Financials to market weight. Pockets of strength still exist (e.g. exchanges), but breadth is problematic... see page 3</li><li>Gold miners are bullishly inflecting. A Group we recommended last week, gold miners continue to bullishly inflect. This is a buying opportunity... see pages 3, 8-14</li><li>Buy biotechs, overweight Health Care. In today’s report we highlight actionable charts throughout Health Care, our top-ranked Sector, emphasizing widespread opportunities within biotechs ... see pages 3, 15-19</li></ul>

Key themes:Downgrading Financials. Given the Sector’s relative deterioration, we are downgrading Financials to market weight. Pockets of strength still exist (e.g. exchanges), but breadth is problematic... see page 3Gold miners are bullishly inflecting. A Group we recommended last week, gold miners continue to bullishly inflect. This is a buying opportunity... see pages 3, 8-14Buy biotechs, overweight Health Care. In today’s report we highlight actionable charts throughout Health Care, our top-ranked Sector, emphasizing widespread opportunities within biotechs ... see pages 3, 15-19

U.S. Equity Strategy: Reiterating Biotechs, Gold Miners; Downgrading Financials to Market Weight

Materials, IPO & Equity Analyst

Venkat Ramana Nandyal

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Gold has had a great run in the last 15 years, beating almost all the other class. Is it the beginning of an another super cycle or is the current run going to peter out? We analyse gold as an investment vehicle, inflation hedge and its status as “asset of last resort”. We also look at the current trends in demand and supply and try to answer the eternal question “is it the right time to invest in gold or gold stocks”.

Gold has had a great run in the last 15 years, beating almost all the other class. Is it the beginning of an another super cycle or is the current run going to peter out? We analyse gold as an investment vehicle, inflation hedge and its status as “asset of last resort”. We also look at the current trends in demand and supply and try to answer the eternal question “is it the right time to invest in gold or gold stocks”.  

Gold: Is It the Beginning of New Golden Era or End of the Bull Run?

United States

Barrick Mining Corporation is a mining company. The Company produces gold and copper, as well as operating mines and development projects. Barrick Mining serves customers worldwide.

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Barrick Mining (B US)

Global Markets Deteriorating...Except EM

With U.S. markets stumbling, the MSCI ACWI index is breaking down to new lows: defensive Sectors remain attractive. Relative to MSCI ACWI however,...

Vermilion Research

Gold At 4,500 USD/Oz: Seven Ideas To Look At In the Gold Space

We provide an update on the valuation of seven cheap gold companies at 4,500 USD/oz. Our selection of stocks ranges from large caps to small caps,...

Sameer Taneja

OceanaGold Philippines (OGP PM) Q1FY26: Net Cash And Trading At A ~11% Yield On 4,500 USD/Oz Gold

OGP: Q1 FY26 - record gold price drives 100%+ revenue growth YoY; FCF $80M/qtr; Net Cash and a 10.9%. dividend yield with gold price at 4,500 USD/oz.

Sameer Taneja

U.S. Equity Strategy: Reiterating Biotechs, Gold Miners; Downgrading Financials to Market Weight

Key themes: Downgrading Financials. Given the Sector’s relative deterioration, we are downgrading Financials to market weight. Pockets of strength...

Vermilion Research

Gold: Is It the Beginning of New Golden Era or End of the Bull Run?

Gold has had a great run in the last 15 years, beating almost all the other class. Is it the beginning of an another super cycle or is the current...

Venkat Ramana Nandyal

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