Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<div><p>There are currently ~1,500 stocks listed in the Mothers, JASDAQ, and Second Sections of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. As time passes, some of these stocks will "graduate" to the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE1), triggering inclusion into the TOPIX Index causing passive funds tracking TOPIX to buy them on an inclusion event. This presents various trading opportunities in several phases of this event timeline.  </p></div><div>
<p>Being able to identify such candidates at a "Pre-event" phase (before the TSE reassignment is confirmed) can unlock great value for speculative bets. Smartkarma readers familiar with the work of Quiddity Advisors will be able to recall the attractive rewards <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinnihonseiyaku-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28122:1" rel="noopener">Shinnihonseiyaku Co Ltd (4931 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gremz-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1858:1" rel="noopener">Gremz Inc (3150 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sansan-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28112:1" rel="noopener">Sansan Inc (4443 JP)</a> were able to deliver in their pre-event phases. </p>
<p>This insight is a continuation of our work in identifying such pre-event candidates.</p>
<p><em>More below the fold</em>  </p>
</div>

There are currently ~1,500 stocks listed in the Mothers, JASDAQ, and Second Sections of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. As time passes, some of these stocks will "graduate" to the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE1), triggering inclusion into the TOPIX Index causing passive funds tracking TOPIX to buy them on an inclusion event. This presents various trading opportunities in several phases of this event timeline.  
Being able to identify such candidates at a "Pre-event" phase (before the TSE reassignment is confirmed) can unlock great value for speculative bets. Smartkarma readers familiar with the work of Quiddity Advisors will be able to recall the attractive rewards Shinnihonseiyaku Co Ltd (4931 JP), Gremz Inc (3150 JP), and Sansan Inc (4443 JP) were able to deliver in their pre-event phases. 
This insight is a continuation of our work in identifying such pre-event candidates.
More below the fold  


<p>In the month of January 2021, one of the most anticipated TOPIX Inclusion candidates, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a> announced its move to TSE1 triggering what could potentially be one of the largest TOPIX Inclusion events in recent memory. The stock could see its TOPIX Inclusion take place at the end of February, along with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sansan-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28112:1" rel="noopener">Sansan Inc (4443 JP)</a> - another larger-than-usual candidate - and two other super-high-impact names <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bull-dog-sauce-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16235:1" rel="noopener">Bull Dog Sauce (2804 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alps-logistics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3935:1" rel="noopener">Alps Logistics (9055 JP)</a>. There is plenty to look forward to. </p><p>In this insight, I have provided performance updates for 6 "Live" event stocks (including the names mentioned above) which are expected to have Inclusion Events at the end of February 2021 and 14 "Post" event stocks that completed their Inclusion Events at the end of December 2020 and January 2021 (on 28 January 2021).</p><p>Furthermore, I have also highlighted some interesting Pre-event situations involving stocks that are likely to become TSE1-promotion candidates in the near future. </p>

In the month of January 2021, one of the most anticipated TOPIX Inclusion candidates, Toshiba Corp (6502 JP) announced its move to TSE1 triggering what could potentially be one of the largest TOPIX Inclusion events in recent memory. The stock could see its TOPIX Inclusion take place at the end of February, along with Sansan Inc (4443 JP) - another larger-than-usual candidate - and two other super-high-impact names Bull Dog Sauce (2804 JP) and Alps Logistics (9055 JP). There is plenty to look forward to. In this insight, I have provided performance updates for 6 "Live" event stocks (including the names mentioned above) which are expected to have Inclusion Events at the end of February 2021 and 14 "Post" event stocks that completed their Inclusion Events at the end of December 2020 and January 2021 (on 28 January 2021).Furthermore, I have also highlighted some interesting Pre-event situations involving stocks that are likely to become TSE1-promotion candidates in the near future. 

<p>Today after market close, Japan-based business card digitisation company <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sansan-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28112:1" rel="noopener">Sansan Inc (4443 JP)</a> announced they had <a href="https://ir.corp-sansan.com/en/ir/news/auto_20210114444245/pdfFile.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">received approval</a> to move from the MOTHERS section to the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange on the 21st of January 2021.</p><p>This was one of the eight picks highlighted in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/topix-inclusions-new-regulations-who-is-ready-2-0" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:45783" rel="noopener">TOPIX Inclusions:  New Regulations! Who Is READY? 2.0</a> at the end of November 2020, and so far it is the third stock among those eight listed to graduate to TSE1 after <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sre-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29672:1" rel="noopener">SRE Holdings Corp (2980 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/base-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29159:1" rel="noopener">Base Co Ltd (4481 JP)</a>.  </p><p>TSE1 reassignment triggers inclusion into the TOPIX Index and the Inclusion Event can be expected to be at the close of trading 25th February 2021.   </p><p>This will be a Very Large TOPIX Inclusion Event.  </p><p>In this insight, we take a look at the Index Inclusion Parameters and the Fundamentals of the company to evaluate the upside potential of the TOPIX Inclusion Event. </p>

Today after market close, Japan-based business card digitisation company Sansan Inc (4443 JP) announced they had received approval to move from the MOTHERS section to the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange on the 21st of January 2021.This was one of the eight picks highlighted in TOPIX Inclusions:  New Regulations! Who Is READY? 2.0 at the end of November 2020, and so far it is the third stock among those eight listed to graduate to TSE1 after SRE Holdings Corp (2980 JP) and Base Co Ltd (4481 JP).  TSE1 reassignment triggers inclusion into the TOPIX Index and the Inclusion Event can be expected to be at the close of trading 25th February 2021.   This will be a Very Large TOPIX Inclusion Event.  In this insight, we take a look at the Index Inclusion Parameters and the Fundamentals of the company to evaluate the upside potential of the TOPIX Inclusion Event. 

<p>With the Section Transfer Requirements to move to TSE1 becoming more stringent, some small-cap candidates have been rushing to enter TSE1 so that they can avoid having to face the new regulations under which they may struggle to qualify. This trend has resulted in a "<em>flurry</em>" of TOPIX Inclusion Trades in the month of December 2020 as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/travis-lundy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:25" rel="noopener">Travis Lundy</a> predicted in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/the-tse-s-listing-criteria-revisions-part-i" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:43150" rel="noopener">The TSE's Listing Criteria Revisions - Part I</a>.</p>
<blockquote>
<p>For index inclusion and event traders taking advantage of a large number of interesting trades, the number will suddenly go waaaay down. This means <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/janaghan-jeyakumar-cfa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:3173" rel="noopener">Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA</a> likely has a flurry of interesting trade ideas to read about in the next few months, but after about March next year, things will drop off in a hurry.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>In this insight, I have provided performance updates for 11 "Live" event stocks which are expected to have Inclusion Events at the end of January 2021 and 6 "Post" event stocks that completed their Inclusion Events at the end of November 2020 and December 2020. Furthermore, I have also highlighted some interesting Pre-event situations involving stocks that are likely to become TSE1-promotion candidates in the near future. </p>

With the Section Transfer Requirements to move to TSE1 becoming more stringent, some small-cap candidates have been rushing to enter TSE1 so that they can avoid having to face the new regulations under which they may struggle to qualify. This trend has resulted in a "flurry" of TOPIX Inclusion Trades in the month of December 2020 as Travis Lundy predicted in The TSE's Listing Criteria Revisions - Part I.

For index inclusion and event traders taking advantage of a large number of interesting trades, the number will suddenly go waaaay down. This means Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA likely has a flurry of interesting trade ideas to read about in the next few months, but after about March next year, things will drop off in a hurry.

In this insight, I have provided performance updates for 11 "Live" event stocks which are expected to have Inclusion Events at the end of January 2021 and 6 "Post" event stocks that completed their Inclusion Events at the end of November 2020 and December 2020. Furthermore, I have also highlighted some interesting Pre-event situations involving stocks that are likely to become TSE1-promotion candidates in the near future. 

Capital Asset Planning Inc / Event-Driven

<p>Today after market close, smallcap systems integrations company <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capital-asset-planning-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31090:1" rel="noopener">Capital Asset Planning (3965 JP)</a> announced (<a href="https://contents.xj-storage.jp/xcontents/AS90835/e934ec6a/92a9/4cf2/8dd1/6d53df959c14/140120201216435641.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">J-only</a>) they had received approval to move from the Second Section to the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange as of 23rd December 2020. </p><p>TSE1 reassignment triggers inclusion into the TOPIX Index and the Inclusion Event can be expected to be at the close of trading 28th January 2021. </p><section class="figure"></section><section class="figure">CAP is a boutique system integrator specialising in services and software to the businesses catering to the financial retail market mainly focusing on actuarial life insurance, investment trusts, asset management, and tax affairs.</section><section class="figure">                     </section><section class="figure"></section><section class="figure"></section><section class="figure"></section><section class="figure"></section><p>In this insight, we take a look at the Index Inclusion Parameters and the Fundamentals of the company to evaluate the upside potential of the TOPIX Inclusion Event. </p>

Today after market close, smallcap systems integrations company Capital Asset Planning (3965 JP) announced (J-only) they had received approval to move from the Second Section to the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange as of 23rd December 2020. TSE1 reassignment triggers inclusion into the TOPIX Index and the Inclusion Event can be expected to be at the close of trading 28th January 2021. CAP is a boutique system integrator specialising in services and software to the businesses catering to the financial retail market mainly focusing on actuarial life insurance, investment trusts, asset management, and tax affairs.                     In this insight, we take a look at the Index Inclusion Parameters and the Fundamentals of the company to evaluate the upside potential of the TOPIX Inclusion Event. 

TOPIX Inclusion (3965 JP): Capital Asset Planning, Inc.

Japan

Base Co., Ltd. offers inforamtion technology services. The Company provides computer programming, system integration, solution development, software development, and other services. Base provides its services throughout Japan.

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Base Co Ltd (4481 JP)

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We update which stocks in MOTHERS/JASDAQ/TSE2 are eligible, ready, or could be ready to move to TSE1 (TOPIX inclusion). The last list at end-Nov...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

TOPIX Inclusion Trade Summary: Jan 2021

TOPIX Inclusion Monthly Summary for December inclusions and how they did in January (badly), how January inclusions did vs TOPIX (on average well)...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

TOPIX Inclusion: Sansan Inc (4443 JP)

Sansan is a SaaS company purpose-built for Japan's reverence for business cards. The inclusion was predicted, but will come as a surprise to many....

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

TOPIX Inclusion Trade Summary: Dec 2020

TOPIX Inclusions for the month of December - past, current, and looking ahead to January. There is still a flurry of pre-Nov1 application names...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

TOPIX Inclusion (3965 JP): Capital Asset Planning, Inc.

This is a smallcap TOPIX inclusion which should not have much pre-positioning in it, and should have significant impact in terms of ADV to buy....

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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