Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We see 8 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 11 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 14 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.</li>
<li>Some stocks were added to global indices last month while some could be added in February. There are potential index implications for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index</a> too.</li>
<li>The upward migrations have continued to outperform the downward migrations. The largest recent outperformance has come from stocks expected to move from the Mid Cap to the Large Cap segment.</li>
</ul>


We see 8 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 11 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 14 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.
Some stocks were added to global indices last month while some could be added in February. There are potential index implications for the NIFTY Index and Nifty Next 50 Index too.
The upward migrations have continued to outperform the downward migrations. The largest recent outperformance has come from stocks expected to move from the Mid Cap to the Large Cap segment.


AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2023): MidCap to LargeCap Migrations Outperforming

<ul>
<li>We see 8 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 13 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 14 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.</li>
<li>Some stocks are expected to be inclusions to global indices later this month while others are potential <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a> and/or <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index</a> changes in March.</li>
<li>On average, the upward migrating stocks have outperformed the downward migrating stocks by close to 100% over the last 8 months. The passive flow can be used as an exit.</li>
</ul>


We see 8 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 13 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 14 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.
Some stocks are expected to be inclusions to global indices later this month while others are potential NIFTY Index and/or Nifty Next 50 Index changes in March.
On average, the upward migrating stocks have outperformed the downward migrating stocks by close to 100% over the last 8 months. The passive flow can be used as an exit.


AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2023): HUGE Outperformance as Active and Passive Meet

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Sai Silk Kalamandir / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sai-silks-kalamandir-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36216:1" rel="noopener">Sai Silk Kalamandir (SSKL IN)</a> is looking to raise about US$145m in its India IPO.</li>
<li>Sai Silk Kalamandir (SSK) is one of the largest retailers of ethnic apparel in South India, particularly in sarees, according to Technopak.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the company’s past performance and provide our thoughts on valuations.</li>
</ul>



Sai Silk Kalamandir (SSKL IN) is looking to raise about US$145m in its India IPO.
Sai Silk Kalamandir (SSK) is one of the largest retailers of ethnic apparel in South India, particularly in sarees, according to Technopak.
In this note, we look at the company’s past performance and provide our thoughts on valuations.


Sai Silks Kalamandir IPO - Not Particularly Exciting but Is Relatively Cheap

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedant-fashions-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34260:1" rel="noopener">Vedant Fashions (MANYAVAR IN)</a>' Promoter is looking to raise US$239m via trimming a 7% stake in the firm. </li>
<li>The selldown here is to meet the minimum public shareholding requirement of 25% set by SEBI.</li>
<li>The deal would be a large one to process with the base deal alone representing 187 days of the firm’s three month ADV.</li>
</ul>



Vedant Fashions (MANYAVAR IN)' Promoter is looking to raise US$239m via trimming a 7% stake in the firm. 
The selldown here is to meet the minimum public shareholding requirement of 25% set by SEBI.
The deal would be a large one to process with the base deal alone representing 187 days of the firm’s three month ADV.


Vedant Fashion OFS - Well Flagged and Recent Earnings Momentum Has Been Decent

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Consumer sentiment is soft, but competition is limited for both <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bata-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3051:1" rel="noopener">Bata India Ltd (BATA IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/campus-activewear-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35877:1" rel="noopener">Campus Activewear (CAMPUS IN)</a> </li>
<li>Bata enjoys good relationships with its distributors and franchisees, traction for offline sales channels is strong.</li>
<li>Campus is in an aggressive expansion mode, with leadership in the sports shoe segment driving sales.</li>
</ul>


Consumer sentiment is soft, but competition is limited for both Bata India Ltd (BATA IN) and Campus Activewear (CAMPUS IN) 
Bata enjoys good relationships with its distributors and franchisees, traction for offline sales channels is strong.
Campus is in an aggressive expansion mode, with leadership in the sports shoe segment driving sales.


India Channel Insight #46 | Bata India, Campus Activewear

India

Bata India Limited manufactures a wide range of leather, rubber/canvas and plastic footwear products.  The Company also manufactures sports apparel and leather accessories.  Bata India sells its products through its chain of company owned retail stores in India, as well as to businesses in the USA, United Kingdom, Europe, the Middle East and the Far East.

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Bata India Ltd (BATA IN)

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2023): MidCap to LargeCap Migrations Outperforming

We see 41 stocks migrating between different market cap segments in Jan. A lot of stocks will have passive flows from NIFTY, NIFTYJR and global...

Brian Freitas

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2023): HUGE Outperformance as Active and Passive Meet

We see 43 stocks migrating between different market cap segments in Jan. A lot of stocks will have passive flows from NIFTY, NIFTYJR and global...

Brian Freitas

Sai Silks Kalamandir IPO - Not Particularly Exciting but Is Relatively Cheap

Sai Silk Kalamandir (SSKL IN) is looking to raise about US$145m in its India IPO. In this note, we look at the company's past performance and talk...

Sumeet Singh

Vedant Fashion OFS - Well Flagged and Recent Earnings Momentum Has Been Decent

Vedant Fashions (MANYAVAR IN)' Promoter is looking to raise US$239m via trimming a 7% stake in the firm. The selldown here is to meet the minimum...

Clarence Chu

India Channel Insight #46 | Bata India, Campus Activewear

We interacted with Bata's Franchise owner and Campus Distributor with the objective to understand the competitive intensity, distributor relations...

Pranav Bhavsar

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