Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On Friday 21 March, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ly-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19603:1" rel="noopener">LY (4689 JP)</a> made an <a href="https://www.lycorp.co.jp/en/ir/news/auto_20250321598131/pdfFile.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announcement</a> it had received all the required approvals and would launch the Tender Offer on 24 March. </li>
<li>Some were upset about the price originally but unlike other deals, this one traded below terms for three months since original announcement. Three activish funds had pitched in their 30%.</li>
<li>This is now trading tight, and will continue to trade tight. If you own, whether you hold through early May depends on whether you are bullish or bearish the market.</li>
</ul>


On Friday 21 March, LY (4689 JP) made an announcement it had received all the required approvals and would launch the Tender Offer on 24 March. 
Some were upset about the price originally but unlike other deals, this one traded below terms for three months since original announcement. Three activish funds had pitched in their 30%.
This is now trading tight, and will continue to trade tight. If you own, whether you hold through early May depends on whether you are bullish or bearish the market.


LY Corp (4689) Launches Beenos (3328) Tender Offer at ¥4,000

<ul>
<li>Early today, the Nikkei had an article saying <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ly-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19603:1" rel="noopener">LY (4689 JP)</a> would launch a takeover of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beenos-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18023:1" rel="noopener">Beenos Inc (3328 JP)</a>. The stock went limit up. Shorts are many times ADV. </li>
<li>Post-Close, we get a deal much as implied by the Nikkei article. It seems light to me but the top three holders have agreed to the deal.</li>
<li>Regulatory will take a couple of months. This will likely fall tomorrow. If you are a long-only fund holder, think about the alternatives (read the conclusions here).</li>
</ul>


Early today, the Nikkei had an article saying LY (4689 JP) would launch a takeover of Beenos Inc (3328 JP). The stock went limit up. Shorts are many times ADV. 
Post-Close, we get a deal much as implied by the Nikkei article. It seems light to me but the top three holders have agreed to the deal.
Regulatory will take a couple of months. This will likely fall tomorrow. If you are a long-only fund holder, think about the alternatives (read the conclusions here).


LY Corp (4689) Announces Takeover of Beenos (3328) - Lightish at ¥4,000 But A Done Deal

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beenos-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18023:1" rel="noopener">Beenos Inc (3328 JP)</a>, despite missing earnings and offering smaller-than-expected buybacks, is potentially a deeply undervalued investment.</li>
<li>Beenos holds 38% of its market-cap in cash 14% in GoTo shares 72% in VC investments and 9% in investment securities, which amounts to over 133% of its current market-cap.</li>
<li>Distributing these excess assets to investors could potentially generate more than 100% upside.</li>
</ul>



Beenos Inc (3328 JP), despite missing earnings and offering smaller-than-expected buybacks, is potentially a deeply undervalued investment.
Beenos holds 38% of its market-cap in cash 14% in GoTo shares 72% in VC investments and 9% in investment securities, which amounts to over 133% of its current market-cap.
Distributing these excess assets to investors could potentially generate more than 100% upside.


Beenos: Holds 133% of Its Market Cap in Cash, GoTo Shares, VC Investments & Investment Securities

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beenos-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18023:1" rel="noopener">Beenos Inc (3328 JP)</a> is currently one of the cheapest stocks in the Japanese e-commerce sector with a consensus FY+2 EV/OP of 4.5x with an OP CAGR of around 130%.</li>
<li>In addition, the relatively cheap-looking valuation multiple excludes the current valuation of Beenos’ incubation program investments.</li>
<li>We think Beenos can sell its stake in GoTo in the short-term to conduct a big share buyback as the management thinks that Beenos is unfairly valued by the market.</li>
</ul>



Beenos Inc (3328 JP) is currently one of the cheapest stocks in the Japanese e-commerce sector with a consensus FY+2 EV/OP of 4.5x with an OP CAGR of around 130%.
In addition, the relatively cheap-looking valuation multiple excludes the current valuation of Beenos’ incubation program investments.
We think Beenos can sell its stake in GoTo in the short-term to conduct a big share buyback as the management thinks that Beenos is unfairly valued by the market.


Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

The Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) calculates Free-Float Weight (FFW) for each listed company and uses this value as a key component of TOPIX Index Calculation. For companies with "low liquidity" the FFW will be multiplied by a fixed liquidity factor of 0.75 to derive the final FFW used for index calculation. This affects both TSE-1 incumbents and new entrants (depending on the date of entry). Every April, the application of this liquidity factor is reviewed by the TSE for all TSE1 constituents. Last April, 71 constituents saw their liquidity factors removed causing an increase in their respective FFWs used for index calculation resulting in a TOPIX upweight.This situation opens up interesting opportunities for a basket trade. Below is a discussion regarding the key details of TSE's FFW Calculation Methodology and the candidate stocks which could potentially experience a change in the application of the liquidity factor (including some surprisingly big names).

The Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) calculates Free-Float Weight (FFW) for each listed company and uses this value as a key component of TOPIX Index Calculation. For companies with "low liquidity" the FFW will be multiplied by a fixed liquidity factor of 0.75 to derive the final FFW used for index calculation. This affects both TSE-1 incumbents and new entrants (depending on the date of entry). Every April, the application of this liquidity factor is reviewed by the TSE for all TSE1 constituents. Last April, 71 constituents saw their liquidity factors removed causing an increase in their respective FFWs used for index calculation resulting in a TOPIX upweight.This situation opens up interesting opportunities for a basket trade. Below is a discussion regarding the key details of TSE's FFW Calculation Methodology and the candidate stocks which could potentially experience a change in the application of the liquidity factor (including some surprisingly big names).   

TOPIX Index Upweights: The Big April Basket 2021

Japan

Beenos Inc sells various type of merchandise using group-buying method through Internet. The Company's merchandises include fashion goods, brand goods, convenience goods, baby goods, and toiletry goods.

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Beenos Inc (3328 JP)

LY Corp (4689) Launches Beenos (3328) Tender Offer at ¥4,000

LY Corp now has all its anti-trust approvals and will launch its Tender Offer for Beenos at ¥4,000/share on Monday. It's basically a done deal and...

Travis Lundy

LY Corp (4689) Announces Takeover of Beenos (3328) - Lightish at ¥4,000 But A Done Deal

LY (4689) has signed a deal to buy out Beenos (3328). This is not terribly surprising. That LY got the top three active-ist-ish-y holders with 28%...

Travis Lundy

Beenos: Holds 133% of Its Market Cap in Cash, GoTo Shares, VC Investments & Investment Securities

Beenos, despite missing earnings and offering smaller-than-expected buybacks, is potentially a deeply undervalued investment. It Holds over 133% of...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Beenos: Big Buybacks Forthcoming

We think it is quite possible for Beenos to sell its stake in GoTo in the short term to conduct a big share buyback as the management is of the...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

TOPIX Index Upweights: The Big April Basket 2021

TOPIX does an annual exercise to adjust Liquidity Factor. The time for trades around that is upon us. This insight looks at the best trade around...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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