HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>This year's NRDL negotiations could be a turnaround. If the final result really shows a moderate price decline, it will be “a landmark event” for the innovative drug industry.</li>
<li>Starting from 23Q2, with the peak of respiratory disease/COVID-19 outbreak past, the demand for related TCM would weaken. Then, the pullback of TCM would really begin.</li>
<li>Even if biotech initially tells the story of becoming a biopharma to obtain financing, it will not be realized in the end.</li>
</ul>


This year's NRDL negotiations could be a turnaround. If the final result really shows a moderate price decline, it will be “a landmark event” for the innovative drug industry.
Starting from 23Q2, with the peak of respiratory disease/COVID-19 outbreak past, the demand for related TCM would weaken. Then, the pullback of TCM would really begin.
Even if biotech initially tells the story of becoming a biopharma to obtain financing, it will not be realized in the end.


China Healthcare Weekly (Jan.1) - NRDL Negotiation Turnaround, Pullback of TCM, Biotech Sales System

Healthcare Analyst

Wilfred Yuen

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>2Q26 results driven by continued growth of Brukinsa (+31% YoY or +14% QoQ to US$1.2bn); 2026 guidance upgrade: operating income revised up 29-33% to US$1-1.1bn on 5% raise on topline</li>
<li>2H26 key catalysts: ESMO data on PRMT5, CEA ADC, and GPC3 x 4-1BB bsAb; Mangrove (Brukinsa + rituximab in 1L MCL) global submission; multiple phase 3 initiations</li>
<li>See inside for key takeaways, upcoming events/catalysts, and company's quarterly financials.</li>
</ul>


2Q26 results driven by continued growth of Brukinsa (+31% YoY or +14% QoQ to US$1.2bn); 2026 guidance upgrade: operating income revised up 29-33% to US$1-1.1bn on 5% raise on topline
2H26 key catalysts: ESMO data on PRMT5, CEA ADC, and GPC3 x 4-1BB bsAb; Mangrove (Brukinsa + rituximab in 1L MCL) global submission; multiple phase 3 initiations
See inside for key takeaways, upcoming events/catalysts, and company's quarterly financials.


BeOne (ONC.US): 2Q Results Call Takeaway; 2026 Guidance Raised on Strength of Brukinsa; Next up ESMO

<ul>
<li>The government issued a central infrastructure investment budget of RMB26.52 billion in healthcare sector for 2022. Related leading domestic manufacturers would maintain relatively stable growth in the next 2-3 years.</li>
<li>Behind the wave of import substitution of endoscopes, the demand for anesthetic drugs would also increase, which are not affected by VBP. We think this market deserves investors’ attention.</li>
<li>Considering the large number of insomniacs, the resulting demand for treatment makes the insomniacs market show a good growth prospect.</li>
</ul>


The government issued a central infrastructure investment budget of RMB26.52 billion in healthcare sector for 2022. Related leading domestic manufacturers would maintain relatively stable growth in the next 2-3 years.
Behind the wave of import substitution of endoscopes, the demand for anesthetic drugs would also increase, which are not affected by VBP. We think this market deserves investors’ attention.
Considering the large number of insomniacs, the resulting demand for treatment makes the insomniacs market show a good growth prospect.


China Healthcare Weekly (Nov.18) - Central Investment Budget, Anesthetic Drugs, Insomniacs Demand

<ul>
<li>The "Spring Coil Alliance Centralized Procurement" in 21 provinces led by Jilin is about to start. Such large-scale centralized procurement has certain reference significance for future nationwide centralized procurement expansion.</li>
<li>The rules and varieties of 8th national VBP could change, and biological drugs may be included in VBP together with chemical drugs.</li>
<li>The US FDA has recently tightened the policy of accelerated approval, which is correct, because at present, pharmaceutical enterprises are trying to “exploit loopholes”.</li>
</ul>


The "Spring Coil Alliance Centralized Procurement" in 21 provinces led by Jilin is about to start. Such large-scale centralized procurement has certain reference significance for future nationwide centralized procurement expansion.
The rules and varieties of 8th national VBP could change, and biological drugs may be included in VBP together with chemical drugs.
The US FDA has recently tightened the policy of accelerated approval, which is correct, because at present, pharmaceutical enterprises are trying to “exploit loopholes”.


China Healthcare Weekly (Nov.11)-Largest Spring Coil VBP; Biological Drug VBP; FDA Changes Game Rule

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Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

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Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Power / Cover Story: The dilemma of China’s power market restructuring</li><li>Policy / Xi Jinping repeats China’s commitment to opening-up policy</li><li>Covid-19 / Beijing shames local authorities for ‘one-size-fits-all’ Covid policies</li></ul>

Power / Cover Story: The dilemma of China’s power market restructuringPolicy / Xi Jinping repeats China’s commitment to opening-up policyCovid-19 / Beijing shames local authorities for ‘one-size-fits-all’ Covid policies

CX Daily: The Dilemma of China’s Power Market Restructuring

China

BeiGene, Ltd. operates as a commercial stage biopharmaceutical company. The Company focuses on discovery, development, and commercialization of molecularly targeted and immuno-oncology drugs for the treatment of cancer. BeiGene serves patients worldwide.

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BeOne (ONC US)

China Healthcare Weekly (Jan.1) - NRDL Negotiation Turnaround, Pullback of TCM, Biotech Sales System

This year's NRDL negotiation could be “a landmark event” for innovative drug industry.Pullback of TCM may really begin from 23Q2.We analyzed...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

BeOne (ONC.US): 2Q Results Call Takeaway; 2026 Guidance Raised on Strength of Brukinsa; Next up ESMO

2Q26 Brukinsa revenue +14% QoQ to US$1.2bn; 2026 guidance: op income revised up 29-33% on 5% topline raise; 2H catalysts: ESMO on PRMT5, CEA ADC,...

Wilfred Yuen

China Healthcare Weekly (Nov.18) - Central Investment Budget, Anesthetic Drugs, Insomniacs Demand

New central infrastructure investment budget means stable growth of medical devices; Anesthetic drugs are not affected by VBP, which deserves...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Nov.11)-Largest Spring Coil VBP; Biological Drug VBP; FDA Changes Game Rule

The largest spring coil VBP led by Jilin has certain reference significance. Biological drugs may be included in 8th national VBP.After FDA changes...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

CX Daily: The Dilemma of China’s Power Market Restructuring

Cover Story: The dilemma of China’s power market restructuring. Xi Jinping repeats China’s commitment to opening-up policy

Caixin Global

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