Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Kuaishou reported C1Q24 revenue, IFRS OP, and IFRS Net income inline, 58%, and 78% vs. our estimates; and inline, 67% and 86% vs. consensus</li>
<li>Company suggested contribution of Generative AI (GAI) to the growth of the advertising business to be substantial;</li>
<li>We reiterate our BUY rating and raised target price to HK$83, implying 17x PE in 2025.</li>
</ul>


Kuaishou reported C1Q24 revenue, IFRS OP, and IFRS Net income inline, 58%, and 78% vs. our estimates; and inline, 67% and 86% vs. consensus
Company suggested contribution of Generative AI (GAI) to the growth of the advertising business to be substantial;
We reiterate our BUY rating and raised target price to HK$83, implying 17x PE in 2025.


[Kuaishou (1024 HK, BUY, TP HK$83) Target Price Change]: Out-Performance in Off-Season Thanks to GAI

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>Kuaishou delivered another upbeat quarter, with topline/bottom line +17%/+10,348% YoY (1%/37% above consensus).</li><li>We expect such margin surprise with a HK$16bn new share repurchase program should help its rerating.</li><li>We reiterate our confidence on KS’s resilient growth and earnings upside, and expect a solid 2Q24E ahead. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Kuaishou delivered another upbeat quarter, with topline/bottom line +17%/+10,348% YoY (1%/37% above consensus).We expect such margin surprise with a HK$16bn new share repurchase program should help its rerating.We reiterate our confidence on KS’s resilient growth and earnings upside, and expect a solid 2Q24E ahead. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Kuaishou (1024 HK) - Bullish on Earnings Upside

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>In 1Q24, revenue grew by 17% YoY and e-commerce GMV grew by 28% YoY.</li>
<li>Both the operating margin and the operating profit reached historical highs in 1Q24.</li>
<li>We set an upside of 47% and the price target at HK$86.00. Buy.</li>
</ul>


In 1Q24, revenue grew by 17% YoY and e-commerce GMV grew by 28% YoY.
Both the operating margin and the operating profit reached historical highs in 1Q24.
We set an upside of 47% and the price target at HK$86.00. Buy.


KS / Kuaishou (1024 HK): 1Q24, Strong GMV and Historical High Op Margin Again

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

HD Hyundai Heavy Industries  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, Indian IPOs continued to do well, we also looked at two upcoming deals in Hong Kong.</li>
<li>On the placement front, last week ended up being one of the busiest ones so far this year with five deals live just on Thursday night alone. </li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPO front, Indian IPOs continued to do well, we also looked at two upcoming deals in Hong Kong.
On the placement front, last week ended up being one of the busiest ones so far this year with five deals live just on Thursday night alone. 


ECM Weekly (20th May 2024) -Lalatech, Go Digit, Aadhar, TBO Tek, Ecopro, Nexus, Modec, Hyundai Heavy

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>As expected, there are no constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> in June. However, there are float and capping changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 8% leading to a round-trip trade of HK$19.2bn (US$2.46bn). There is over 3x ADV to buy in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto (2015 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>Short interest is quite elevated on a lot of stocks both in terms of days of ADV and in terms of free float.</li>
</ul>


As expected, there are no constituent changes for the Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX) in June. However, there are float and capping changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 8% leading to a round-trip trade of HK$19.2bn (US$2.46bn). There is over 3x ADV to buy in Li Auto (2015 HK). 
Short interest is quite elevated on a lot of stocks both in terms of days of ADV and in terms of free float.


HSTECH Index Rebalance: Float & Capping Changes Result in 8% Turnover & US$2.5bn Round-Trip Trade

China

Kuaishou Technology operates as a content community and social platform. The Company helps users create, upload and watch short videos on mobile devices. Kuaishou Technology offers services worldwide.

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Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)

[Kuaishou (1024 HK, BUY, TP HK$83) Target Price Change]: Out-Performance in Off-Season Thanks to GAI

Kuaishou's strong revenue and income performance, driven by Generative AI, prompts analysts to reiterate BUY rating and raise target price to HK$83.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Kuaishou (1024 HK) - Bullish on Earnings Upside

We expect such margin surprise with a HK$16bn new share repurchase program should help its rerating. We reiterate our confidence on KS’s resilient...

CMB International

KS / Kuaishou (1024 HK): 1Q24, Strong GMV and Historical High Op Margin Again

In 1Q24, revenue grew by 17% YoY and e-commerce GMV grew by 28% YoY. Both the operating margin and the operating profit reached historical highs in...

Ming Lu

ECM Weekly (20th May 2024) -Lalatech, Go Digit, Aadhar, TBO Tek, Ecopro, Nexus, Modec, Hyundai Heavy

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

HSTECH Index Rebalance: Float & Capping Changes Result in 8% Turnover & US$2.5bn Round-Trip Trade

Float and capping changes will result in one-way turnover of 8% and in a round-trip trade of HK$19.2bn (US$2.46bn). Li Auto is the largest passive...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Kuaishou (1024 HK, BUY, TP HK$83) Target Price Change]: Out-Performance in Off-Season Thanks to GAI

​Kuaishou's strong revenue and income performance, driven by Generative AI, prompts analysts to reiterate BUY rating and raise target price to HK$83.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Kuaishou (1024 HK) - Bullish on Earnings Upside

We expect such margin surprise with a HK$16bn new share repurchase program should help its rerating. We reiterate our confidence on KS’s resilient...

CMB International

KS / Kuaishou (1024 HK): 1Q24, Strong GMV and Historical High Op Margin Again

In 1Q24, revenue grew by 17% YoY and e-commerce GMV grew by 28% YoY. Both the operating margin and the operating profit reached historical highs in...

Ming Lu

ECM Weekly (20th May 2024) -Lalatech, Go Digit, Aadhar, TBO Tek, Ecopro, Nexus, Modec, Hyundai Heavy

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

HSTECH Index Rebalance: Float & Capping Changes Result in 8% Turnover & US$2.5bn Round-Trip Trade

Float and capping changes will result in one-way turnover of 8% and in a round-trip trade of HK$19.2bn (US$2.46bn). Li Auto is the largest passive...

Brian Freitas

Kuaishou's strong revenue and income performance, driven by Generative AI, prompts analysts to reiterate BUY rating and raise target price to HK$83.